NBA SuperDraft Lineup Picks: Today's Expert DFS Tips

The NBA is slowly returning to normal following the trade deadline. Some players debuted for their new teams last night and those who didn’t have a good chance to do so his evening. The uncertainty creates some value, and here are some recommended players to feature in your NBA SuperDraft lineup.

If you haven’t heard of SuperDraft, it’s an innovative new way to play DFS. Instead of using a salary cap, players receive multipliers that inversely correspond to their value. For example, James Harden will come with a lower multiplier because he should play most of the game. In comparison, a rotational player like Jae Crowder will receive a higher multiplier to compensate for his limited minutes. Plus, Awesemo has expert projections from No. 1 DFS player in the world Alex “Awesemo” Baker to help you get to the winner’s circle.

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SuperDraft NBA Fantasy Picks Advice | March 27

Top Five Low-Multiplier Plays

Using Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections and OddsShopper’s projected point totals, here are the top five high-value players for your NBA SuperDraft lineup. For a player to qualify, they must have a multiplier at or below 1.40x.

Nikola Vucevic (1.2x)

Vucevic will debut for the Bulls today, and he should be in line for plenty of minutes. He had been averaging 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds per game for the Magic. With Zach LaVine questionable tonight, Vuc could be called upon to lead the charge for Chicago. You should feel confident about targeting him with a multiplier this high.

Kawhi Leonard (1.2x)

The Clippers will take on the Joel Embiid-less 76ers tonight, and Leonard sits in second in our rankings for the matchup. His base points projection leaves something to be desired, but at a multiplier this high, it’s hard to leave Leonard out of your NBA SuperDraft lineup.

De’Aaron Fox (1.3x)

Fox has been going off lately. He has scored 28-plus points in all but one of his outings since the All-Star Break, good for an average of 30.6 points per game. The Kings did just acquire guard Delon Wright, but his arrival will affect Tyrese Haliburton much more than Fox. Keep riding his hot streak in his matchup against the Cavaliers.

Kristaps Porzingis (1.3x)

I absolutely love Porzingis on this slate. The Pelicans are on the wrong end of a back-to-back, and they lead the NBA in made threes allowed per game (15.4). That should allow Porzingis, who has shot 36% from deep through his career, to hit value at a multiplier this high. Also, the Pelicans and Mavericks are projected to combine for the slate’s highest score (230.5), per OddsShopper.

Brandon Ingram (1.35x)

Ingram enters this one as one of the Pelicans’ fresher starters. He played only 37 minutes last night, a bit less than Zion Williamson (39) and Steven Adams (41). In what should be a high-scoring matchup, Ingram looks like a fantastic asset at this high of a multiplier.

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Top Five High-Multiplier Plays

These picks will also be based upon Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections, and OddsShopper’s projected point totals to identify the top five low-value players for tonight’s slate. For a player to qualify, they must have a multiplier at or above 1.60.

Ivica Zubac (1.6x)

Zubac will remain the starter with Serge Ibaka sidelined. He has averaged 12.5 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 1.7 blocks per game since taking over. Also, Zubac sits below only Nikola Vucevic at center in our rankings, and there is a significant drop-off from him to the next-best Rudy Gobert.

Derrick White (1.75x)

The Spurs will play Chicago’s vulnerable defense this evening. They play at the NBA’s seventh-fastest pace, too, which should give the Spurs plenty of chances to score. White has averaged 33.1 minutes played over his last three, and he posted 15 points, 3 rebounds, and 1.7 assists per game through that stretch. The guard should be a decent option at a multiplier this high.

Keldon Johnson (1.8x)

I’ll target another Spur here. Johnson’s multiplier is incredibly high for a starter who averages almost 30 minutes per game. Sure, he hasn’t produced a lot of points lately — he has totaled just 19 points over his last three games — but this play is all about upside. Johnson went off for 23 points and 21 rebounds last Friday against the Cavaliers, which constitutes slate-winning ceiling at a multiplier like this one.

Evan Fournier (1.6x)

Fournier should make his Celtics debut this evening against the Thunder. With Boston on the wrong end of a back-to-back, the Celtics’ new sixth man could see plenty of run against the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight. He is a high-risk asset for the matchup, but as with Johnson, he offers you plenty of upside.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (1.7x)

The Pelicans and Mavericks are projected to combine for the slate’s highest total, and with Lonzo Ball on the shelf and J.J. Redick gone, NAW should continue to play extra minutes. He has played 30-plus over his last three outings.

Five SuperDraft NBA Fade Picks

Here are some players that our projections say you should avoid when building your NBA SuperDraft lineup.

Coby White (1.7x)

White hasn’t played over half an hour since the Bulls pulled him from the starting five. He has averaged 10.1 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game through that span, too, which doesn’t constitute value at this low of a multiplier. That said, White could be worth using if Zach LaVine sits, so make sure to follow Chicago’s injury report closely.

Shake Milton (1.65x)

Milton remains a rotational piece for the 76ers, and he has averaged just 23.6 minutes per game since the All-Star Break. That includes a 35-minute outlier game that Milton started in place of an injured Ben Simmons. Don’t expect Milton to do much against the slow-paced Clippers.

Grayson Allen (1.75x)

Our projections are out on Grayson Allen despite his decently high multiplier this evening. He has played well for Memphis recently, averaging 18.5 points and 5 rebounds per game over the last two games. However, Utah’s tough defense doesn’t make him an especially attractive asset.

Delon Wright (1.55x)

Wright could make his debut for the Sacramento Kings tonight, but this multiplier is far too low for the rotational role he is likely to play alongside Haliburton and Fox. Leave him out of your NBA SuperDraft lineup until we have a more accurate picture of this lineup.

Lauri Markkanen (1.55x)

The Bulls actively tried to shop Markkanen, and the acquisition of Nikola Vucevic should limit his opportunities moving forward.

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Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.