March Madness is upon us, but let’s not forget the NBA is still in action, too. There is an eight-game NBA SuperDraft slate tonight, and if you’re looking for some lineup advice and picks, you’re in the right place. Also, our full SuperDraft projections are free today, so feel free to peruse those as well!
If you haven’t heard of SuperDraft, it’s an innovative new way to play DFS. Instead of using a salary cap, players receive multipliers that inversely correspond to their value. For example, Stephen Curry will come with a lower multiplier because he should play most of the game. In comparison, a rotational player like Jae Crowder will receive a higher multiplier to compensate for his limited minutes.
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Top Five Low-Multiplier Plays
Using Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections and OddsShopper’s projected point totals, here are the top five high-value players for your NBA SuperDraft lineup. For a player to qualify, they must have a multiplier at or below 1.35x.
Nikola Vucevic (1.2x)
Vucevic is a great upside play with his surprisingly high multiplier. He’ll take on the Nets, who have struggled against opposing centers all season. My one concern is that the Magic gave Vucevic 36 minutes of run against the Knicks last night, but Orlando hasn’t shied away from giving him lots of run after little rest.
Nikola Jokic (1x)
Jokic may not have a multiplier tonight, but he ranks seventh in our projections regardless. The Bulls have seriously struggled against centers of late — they allowed Moses Brown and Jakob Poeltl to post exactly 20 points and 16 rebounds in their last two outings — so look for Jokic to have a huge game in this smash spot.
Karl-Anthony Towns (1.25x)
This play is another weird one for me. I hate chasing points, so taking Towns after he dropped 41 points and 10 rebounds against the Suns last night feels wrong. However, his multiplier remains high enough to warrant the pick, as does his eligibility at a relatively underwhelming forward position. It helps that this game has the slate’s second-highest total (232).
Rudy Gobert (1.35x)
As you can tell, I love the options at center on this slate, and Gobert is no exception. He has a ridiculously high multiplier despite the fact that he’ll play in what should be a high-scoring matchup against the Raptors. He did play over 30 minutes last night, but the Jazz won’t want to drop two in a row, so look for him to get the run necessary for Utah to secure the win.
Donovan Mitchell (1.35x)
I haven’t featured a single guard yet, but I’ll recommend Mitchell as my first. He just dropped 42 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists against the Wizards, and he’ll look to maintain that momentum against a struggling Toronto squad. With a multiplier this high, you must consider Mitchell — especially since he’ll play in the game with the slate’s third-highest total (230.5).
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Top Five High-Multiplier Plays
I’ll also use Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections and OddsShopper’s projected point totals to identify the top five low-value players for tonight’s slate. For a player to qualify, they must have a multiplier at or above 1.60.
Delon Wright (1.6x)
Our projections are in love with the Pistons tonight, so I’ll spare you the full list and feature the three I like most instead. Wright ranks highest of the high-multiplier Pistons (although Jerami Grant (1.45x) tops the full list) from his guard position. This game isn’t projected for a ton of points (216), but Wright double-doubled in his last appearance, and he consistently gets 30-plus minutes of playing time. That is enough to hit value at a multiplier this high.
Saddiq Bey (1.8x)
Our rankings also like Bey, although not as much as some other Pistons. I’m partial to Bey because of his high upside. Like Wright, he double-doubled in his last outing, although he put up considerably more points than Wright with a whopping 28. Bey may not hit his ceiling again tonight, but the Rockets have been a safe team to target due to their litany of injuries, and Bey is getting the minutes necessary to turn this multiplier into tons of points.
Mason Plumlee (1.6x)
I’ll wrap up with one final Piston. Plumlee, their starting center (with forward eligibility), may have to take on Christian Wood, but I’m not worried. Plumlee has double-doubled in half of his games since the beginning of March, and Houston couldn’t contain the Warriors even with Wood back in the lineup.
Andrew Wiggins (1.65x)
Wiggins’ multiplier sits surprisingly high for a starter of his caliber — especially since Kelly Oubre and Stephen Curry are doubtful. This game’s total (223.5) may not be the slate’s highest, but Wiggins will get a ton of extra usage if those two can’t play. He could be a chalk play for your NBA SuperDraft lineup.
Carmelo Anthony (1.9x)
I’ll wrap up with one play I like more than the rankings do. Sure, C.J. McCollum is back for the Trail Blazers, but Anthony shouldn’t see his usage drop enough to warrant this high of a multiplier. Also, Portland made a clear effort to keep him fresh for tonight’s game by limiting him to 24 minutes yesterday. Look for him to go wild in the game with the slate’s highest total (232.5).
Five SuperDraft NBA Fade Picks
Here are some players that players do our projections say you should avoid when building your NBA SuperDraft lineup.
Naz Reid (1.65x)
Our projections have Reid as the lowest player with a multiplier set at 1.65x or above. The Timberwolves gave him only 15 minutes in the front half of their back-to-back against the Suns, and he has played more than 20 minutes just twice in his last ten outings. That isn’t enough playing time to warrant consideration at a multiplier this low.
Pascal Siakam (1.3x)
Siakam ranks the lowest among active players with a multiplier at 1.5x or above. The Raptors gave him a half-hour of playing time in his first game back from COVID, but he turned that workload into just 13 points and 5 rebounds. Let him get back up to game speed before using him in DFS — especially when his multiplier is this low.
Doug McDermott (1.75x)
It’s hard to hype up a player like McDermott, who has averaged just 24.5 minutes per game since the All-Star Break, when players with larger roles have higher multipliers. I would avoid McDermott even though he’ll play in what should be a high-scoring game.
Wendell Carter (1.55x)
The Nuggets haven’t been friendly to opposing centers, and Carter has seen his playing time decrease of late. He has averaged only 19.3 minutes per game since the All-Star Break, and you can find much better options at forward, where Carter is listed at SuperDraft.
Aaron Gordon (1.6x)
The Magic have been easing Gordon back into the lineup as they try to trade him, and after he played 31 minutes last night, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the team give him some rest this evening. Gordon is a decent value option at this multiplier, but it’s hard to trust him in your NBA SuperDraft lineup when the Magic are clearly trying to move in a different direction.
Looking for more SuperDraft NBA fantasy picks content? We have loads of SuperDraft picks articles, data, cheat sheets and more on the Awesemo NBA home page. Just click HERE.
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