From the Slot: Week 6 NFL DFS Picks, Free Awesemo Grades

Week 6 of the NFL season is upon us and that means it’s time for some FREE NFL DFS Picks from Awesemo’s premium grades and values, for your daily fantasy lineups on DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo, and FantasyDraft, including Leonard Fournette at home against the Saints.

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NFL DFS Picks: Quarterback

Matt Ryan vs. Arizona Cardinals

Grades: A, Values: A

Back-to-back Matt Ryan weeks, who’s priced up a bit with a matchup against the Arizona Cardinals. Though the Falcons have been bad this year, Ryan’s fantasy performance hasn’t. He’s topped 300 yards in five straight games to start the season and the Falcons are running passing plays at the highest rate in the NFL this year (72%). That stat is at least in part due game scripts constantly forcing the Falcons to come from behind, but even a matchup against the Arizona Cardinals should provide problems for this defense.

We’ve got one more week to take advantage of this Patrick Peterson absence in this secondary. In his absence, the Cardinals are allowing the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season, with an average of 290 passing yards and three touchdowns. Checking in on the pace stats, the Cardinals have fallen off a bit from their probably unsustainable early season 20 seconds per play, but still sit second in the league.

This game has sneaky shootout potential and should go underowned with two other games in the 50s on the slate. Atlanta ranks last in defending opposing WR1s and WR2s, so head to Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk in your game stacks.

NFL DFS Picks: Running Back

Leonard Fournette vs. New Orleans Saints

Grades: A, Values: A

All about those snap counts. Leonard Fournette has returned to bell-cow status this year, with the third-highest snap count in the NFL through five weeks. He’s got 400 yards rushing in his last three games, and with the emergence of D.J. Chark and Gardner Minshew, this offense might not be playing catch-up all game long anymore. That bodes well for Fournette’s fantasy status for the remainder of the season. This matchup is on the tougher side against the Saints pass-funnel defense, but their DVOA splits haven’t been as pronounced this year as they usually are (Pass: 20th, Run: 17th).

The Saints are fourth in fantasy points against to opposing backs, which should scare some DFSers off, especially on DraftKings. There’s one tenet of DFS that perhaps hasn’t caught as much as it should: volume trumps matchup. Fournette also ranks first in the NFL in Yards After Contact per Attempt, making him more matchup proof than most.

NFL DFS Wide Receiver

Robert Woods vs. San Francisco 49ers: Grades B, Values: B

Tough matchup here as the Rams get the San Francisco 49ers this week, who boast the #best DVOA pass defense in the NFL this season. With Brandin Cooks a possibility to miss this week’s contest, Woods could get pushed outside more often, though it’s also possible Josh Reynolds steps in as a like for like replacement. This price is just too cheap for me, across all sites. Woods ranks fifth in the NFL in targets, the game total is above 50 and one of Goff’s three main targets is hobbled/out.

NFL DFS Picks: Tight End

George Kittle vs. the LA Rams

DrafKings, FantasyDraft: Grades: A, Values: A

Yahoo, FanDuel: Grades: A, Values: B,C

George Kittle is off to a relatively slow start this week with just one 70-yard, 20-fantasy point performance to speak of. The 49ers are running the ball at the highest rate in the NFL this season, but that might change this week against the Rams with both their starting tackles out and the game script favoring the Rams at home. This is just guesswork, but if the 49ers are unable to impose their will on the ground, that should force a more pass-heavy attack.

Kittle is PFF’s top-ranked tight end this year with a 92.3 receiving grade. He’s catching 82% of his passes and sits second in yards per route run. The real question here is whether or not the volume is going to come. The price point is good enough on DraftKings and FantasyDraft that you don’t necessarily need an elite performance and Austin Hooper, up against the worst tight end defense in the NFL, should soak up most of the ownership in that price range. Though the Rams are solid against tight ends, they are quietly playing at the fastest pace in the NFL this year at 23.91 seconds per play.

Contrarian Stack

The Browns! Fresh off a disastrous Week 5 cross-country road trip to San Francisco where the entire country watch an awful performance against the 49ers, the Browns head back home for another perceived touch matchup against the Seahawks. Baker Mayfield is CHEAP (A,C) and so are his receivers. Odell Beckham Jr. (B,B) is just $6800 and Jarvis Landry (B,B) just $5200. Those two got 99% snap rates last week against the 49ers and provide a very concentrated stack, should the Browns offense actually wake up at home this week. Bring it back with Tyler Lockett for a cheap game stack and hope the masses don’t catch on and the narrative that the Browns offense is awful, continues.

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