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MUST BET: NFL Best Bets, Player Props & Picks | Sunday Week 16 

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NFL DFS DraftKings FanDuel lineup optimizer picks optimal projections today tonight Week 16 fantasy football picks Diontae Johnson free expert cheat sheets Sunday main slate free expert player props parlays picks odds lines predictions

NFL Best Bets & Picks Today for Week 16 

Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, Dec. 26, 2021

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Time: 1:00 p.m. EST

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, GA

Coverage: FOX

Lions vs. Falcons Betting NFL Picks + Odds Shopping

Using Awesemo’s OddsShopper tool, we can easily compare the NFL odds for Lions vs. Falcons betting across the major sportsbooks. Make sure to check out the OddsShopper tool yourself to get the most up-to-date odds.

Lions vs. Falcons NFL Betting Trends

  • Detroit is 9-5 against the spread this season.
  • The under is 9-5 for the Lions this season.
  • Atlanta is 6-8 against the spread this season.
  • The under is 8-6 for the Falcons this season..

Lions vs. Falcons Betting Stats

  • Detroit is averaging 17.4 points per game this season (28th).
  • The Lions are allowing 26.1 points per game this season (26th).
  • Atlanta is averaging 18.4 points per game this season (26th).
  • The Falcons are allowing 27.4 points per game this season (31st).

Lions vs. Falcons Best Bets

DET Lions Moneyline
Projected ROI – 21%, Projected Win – 41%
FanDuel: +240
SugarHouse: +250

The Lions are arguably the hotter of the two teams entering this Sunday showdown after starting December 2-1. Both are 2-3 over their last five games but Detroit is coming off an upset victory over Arizona, 30-12, their second win all season, while the Falcons suffered a 31-13 defeat to San Francisco last week. Atlanta is 0-5 in Mercedes-Benz Stadium with their lone “home” win coming in London against the New York Jets back in Week 5. The Lions have yet to win on the road but Dan Campbell seems determined to finish the season building a culture instead of establishing position in the upcoming draft.

DET Lions vs. ATL Falcons Total
Projected ROI – 12%, Projected Win – 63%
FanDuel: -105 ; o42.5

Over the past four games, Atlanta is averaging 20 points per game while Detroit has put up 23 points per game over the last three weeks. Their defenses allow 27.4 points and 26.1 points per game, respectively, and will have issues getting each other off the field with the 29th and 30th ranked third down defenses in the league. FanDuel offers the best odds at -105 and yields a projected ROI of 12% and a projected win of 63%. Awesemo’s NFL Sports Betting Model projects a slate-leading 8% ROI on the over in this one and with the defensive struggles these teams have displayed over the season, it’s hard to argue.

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, Dec. 26, 2021

Time: 4:25 p.m. EST

Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium — Kansas City, MO

Coverage: CBS

Steelers vs. Chiefs Betting NFL Picks + Odds Shopping

Using Awesemo’s OddsShopper tool, we can easily compare the NFL odds for Steelers vs. Chiefs betting across the major sportsbooks. Make sure to check out the OddsShopper tool yourself to get the most up-to-date odds.

Steelers vs. Chiefs NFL Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh is 6-8 against the spread this season.
  • The under is 8-5-1 for the Steelers this season.
  • Kansas City is 7-7 against the spread this season.
  • The over is 7-7 for the Chiefs this season..

Steelers vs. Chiefs Betting Stats

  • Pittsburg is averaging 20.8 points per game this season (20th).
  • The Steelers are allowing 23.9 points per game this season (22nd).
  • Kansas City is averaging 27.5 points per game this season (6th).
  • The Chiefs are allowing 21.1 points per game this season (8st).

PIT Steelers Moneyline
Projected ROI – 22%, Projected Win – 34%
FanDuel: +330
SugarHouse: +330

This play is far from a lock as Pittsburgh enters as 8.5-point underdogs and Kansas City is rolling along a seven-game win streak. However, with COVID running rampant through the Chiefs organization they could be without up to thirteen roster members including three perennial Pro Bowlers in Chris Jones, Travis Kelce, and Tyreek Hill heading into an AFC matchup involving playoff implications. The Steelers need this win to continue scrapping in the AFC North while a win for the Chiefs would further there lead in the AFC West and separate them from the Tennessee Titans for the number one seed. While the ML would be lucrative, you may find more comfort in playing the spread where siding with the underdog yields a 60% projected win and an ROI of 8% on odds of -110 at nearly all major sportsbooks. 

PIT Steelers vs. KC Chiefs Total
Projected ROI – 8%, Projected Win – 60%
SugarHouse: -108 ; o45

Kansas City has found their offense as of late averaging 34.7 points per game over the last three weeks. Pittsburgh has bettered their season average over that span as well scoring 22.3 points per game since Week 13. Prior to the Steelers stellar defensive showing last week, they had struggled mightily allowing 30 points per game since Week 11. The injury report is certainly crucial to monitor as there are individuals that could sway the offensive output on Kansas City’s side but also defensive players for both teams that could diminish those units significantly. The weather forecast has winds up to 15 mph which could affect Ben Roethlisberger’s aging arm but should have little impact on Patrick Mahomes. Regardless, these defenses have been wretched at containing opposing running backs over the past five weeks. Pittsburgh has allowed the most fantasy points (31.4) to the running back position while Kansas City has allowed the eighth-most (22.8) over this span. With the defensive struggles on Pittsburgh’s end and Kansas City’s offense heating up the last few months gives reason to believe this game total is far too low. 

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