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Dolphins vs. Jaguars London Game Week 6 NFL Showdown Game Breakdown & NFL DFS Picks

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Welcome to the NFL Showdown Matchups Showdown Highlights for the special Week 6 London Game. Here we will provide a quick overview of the game’s key storylines and highlight some of the key insights from Awesemo’s world-class suite of tools to find the best NFL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel showdown lineups. Let’s dive into the NFL DFS picks today for the Week 6 Dolphins vs. Jaguars London Game matchup.

Week 6 London Game NFL DFS Showdown Picks

Week 6 marks the second-straight London Slate for 2021, with two of the worst teams in the NFL squaring off at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The teams have a combined record of 1-9 and both have offenses that rank outside the top 25 in overall efficiency. The two teams have scored more than 21 points in a game exactly one time; Jacksonville hasn’t done it at all. Needless to say, touchdowns may be at a premium this Sunday. Still, there should be plenty of opportunities for fantasy scoring, and with so little expected offense, strategy and game theory become even more important aspect when creating lineups for this single-game slate.

Tua Tagovailoa Could Have Breakout Performance

In his first game back in action after missing three weeks with a rib injury, Tagovailoa has a chance to have his best game of the season due to the ineptitude of the Jaguars’ defense this season. Jacksonville currently ranks dead last in the NFL in FootballOutsiders’ defensive DVOA, they’re 31st in yards allowed per attempt, and 30th in points allowed per play. There isn’t an easier secondary to pick on in the entire AFC. Especially on FanDuel, where there’s no premium to move a player to the MVP slot, Tagovailoa is my favorite play on this ugly slate.

DeVante Parker’s Absence Opened the Door for … Durham Smythe?

With Parker missing the Dolphins’ Week 5 game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, many fantasy gamers expected rookie wideout Jaylen Waddle and tight end Mike Gesicki to pick up the slack in the receiving game. Instead, Waddle earned a middling six targets, and while Gesicki ultimately earned seven, but neither player was particularly impressive with their opportunity. The surprise contributor, however, was Smythe who earned 33% of the team’s red zone targets, and still has a salary of just $600 on DraftKings. Smythe, though still a volatile play, looks like an excellent value at minimal salary, especially if he continues getting valuable looks.

Myles Gaskin, Hybrid Weapon

The one bright spot in the Dolphins’ 28-point loss last weekend was the improved play of Myles Gaskin, who earned a career-high 10 targets, and scored twice through the air en route to a 30-plus fantasy point performance. Gaskin continues to be shifted to a receiving back role, having earned only seven carries over his last two games. In fact he has single-digit carries in all but one game this season. Meanwhile, he has averaged 5.2 targets per game, and has been consistent in his receiving opportunity, earning five-plus looks in all but one game this year. Gaskin has the highest probability of hitting 20-plus DraftKings points of any Dolphins’ skill position player this weekend.

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Laviska Shenault Still is not a Featured Wide Receiver

With D.J. Chark out for the season for the Jaguars, the hope had been that second-year receiver Laviska Shenault would slot into an every down wide receiver role, and in Week 4, that seemed to be coming to fruition. In that game, Shenault earned seven targets and a career high in air yards, in Week 5 Shenault didn’t see a target until the second half. Shenault should still be utilized more than hybrid back Jamal Agnew and tight end Dan Arnold, but if last week is any indication, Shenault’s usage is going to be highly variable from week to week. He’s a high-upside but volatile play at $7,600 on DraftKings.

Trevor Lawrence has Flashed his Rushing Upside

The Jaguars are playing extremely conservatively in the passing game, protecting their young quarterback from costly turnovers. Lawrence hasn’t completed more than 23 passes in a game since Week 1, and has completed under 20 times in two of the Jaguars first five games. Jacksonville has replaced many of these pass attempts with option plays, and even designed quarterback runs, especially over the last three weeks. Since Week 3, Lawrence is averaging seven rush attempts and 30.3 yards rushing per game, and has found the end zone twice. That’s a massive boost to Lawrence’s floor and ceiling. On FanDuel, his rock-solid projection makes him the third-highest value play on the slate, despite having the highest salary.

The Bottom Line

With a middling 46.5 point Vegas total, and two sputtering offenses, it’s hard to envision a scenario where this game shoots out, but with Jacksonville ranking among the worst secondaries in the NFL, and the Dolphins ranking 29th in defensive efficiency — having just given up 45 points in their previous outing– there’s more potential for fantasy scoring in this matchup than the Vegas line may indicate. With Tagovailoa back for Miami, and Lawrence continuing to open the Jaguars’ offense, especially as a rusher, we could see a situation where two middling offenses are made to look better by two even worse defenses. If neither defensive unit can get off the field, then we may be in for more scoring than expected. Unfortunately, though, that’s not the most likely outcome, here. Instead, I’m afraid we could see some ugly football — conservative, uninspired play calling and mediocre execution. I genuinely hope I’m wrong.

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Week 6 London Game Prediction: Jaguars 22, Dolphins 19


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Take a look at our inactive player list, depth charts for NFL games and NFL starting lineups. If you’re interested in other DFS NFL advice for multiple game slates, head over to DFS NFL projected ownership, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, DFS NFL rankings, and DFS NFL stacking. We also have NFL DFS single-game projections and NFL showdown ownership projections. View our FanDuel NFL DFS ownership rankings and our DraftKings NFL ownership rankings.

A middling athlete who was offered his first sports analytics position at age 14, I've been working on NFL and fantasy football data science since 2017. With a particular passion for data visualization and dashboard building, I love to make data accessible by using graphs and charts to communicate ideas that are difficult to explain with words alone. You can contact me by e-mailing [email protected]

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