Using Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool, each player carries an optimal lineup percentage score, which is the probability that player will be in perfect lineup for that slate based on Awesemo’s projections. Below are three of the players with the highest Divisional Round Playoffs DraftKings and FanDuel optimal lineup percentage scores of the week using the Boom/Bust Tool. Check out all of the Awesemo expert tools and cheat sheets when making your NFL DFS picks this week.
NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Projections
*Percentages indicate Optimal Lineup Scores
Devin Singletary — DraftKings: 25%, FanDuel: 40.6%
After using a running back by committee for most of the season, the Bills decided to give Singletary a featured role in Week 14 and have not looked back since. Over this six-game stretch, Singletary has handled 16 carries per game, which is 84% of the running back carries for Buffalo, while playing 82.3% of the snaps. 30 of these attempts have come in the red zone for Singletary, and he also has a 12% target share while running a route on 68% of Josh Allen’s dropbacks. With this large workload, Singletary has produced 21 DraftKings points per game.
Singletary has found the pay dirt seven times across his last five starts and meets a Chiefs defense this Sunday that has yielded the second-most yards per carry this season (4.7). This clash between two of the best offenses in football has far and away the highest total on the slate (54 points), and the Bills also carry the third-largest total on the board (26.25 points). Particularly at only $5,900 on DraftKings, Singletary is an outstanding combination of safety and upside to attack from this expected shootout.
Rob Gronkowski — DraftKings: 30%, FanDuel: 45.7%
In Sunday’s win over the Eagles, Gronkowski hauled in five of his six targets for 31 yards and a touchdown. Despite this success, Gronkowski’s price tags on both DraftKings and FanDuel have strangely decreased to very reasonable levels. This season he has been targeted on a strong 22% of his routes, including 13 red-zone targets and 12 targets north of 20 yards in only 13 games. Gronkowski has double-digit targets in three of his last five starts, and Tom Brady should heavily rely on him this Sunday against the Rams. Jalen Ramsey will likely defend Mike Evans on the outside, and both Chris Godwin (knee) and Antonio Brown (released) are unavailable for the Buccaneers.
This matchup with Los Angeles boasts the second-highest total on the slate (48 points), and the Buccaneers’ implied team total is the fifth largest of the weekend (25.25 points). In this spot Gronkowski’s props are set at 5.5 catches and 63.5 yards on BetMGM. He also carries solid +105 odds to find the end zone. Gronkowski has the potential for over 20 fantasy points this Sunday and is rating as the No. 1 tight end value for both DraftKings and FanDuel in Awesemo’s projections.
Derrick Henry — DraftKings: 27.5%, FanDuel: 50%
Henry (foot) returned to full contact practice this week and is expected to suit up for Saturday’s Divisional matchup against the Bengals. Coming off a nine-game absence, Henry’s salaries on both DraftKings and FanDuel have plummeted to levels that make him extremely difficult to ignore. Given Henry was able to practice all week without any setbacks, and since this is a win-or-go-home scenario, he should receive his usual workload on Saturday.
Prior to the foot injury, Henry was averaging a league-high 27.4 carries per game, including a whopping 32 red-zone carries in only eight starts. Additionally, he was also seeing decent work as a receiver for the first time in his career, running a route 40% of dropbacks and being targeted on 17% of those routes. With this role, Henry was averaging 26 DraftKings points per game, and hosting the Bengals the Titans sport the fourth-highest implied team total on the slate (25.5 points) and are 3.5-point home favorites. Henry is a massive -185 favorite on BetMGM to score a touchdown, and he averages 24 DraftKings points in the 18 games over the last three seasons that he has played behind an implied team total of at least 25 points. Henry has the highest projection among all running backs this weekend and a top-five optimal lineup score for both DraftKings and FanDuel regardless of position in Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool.
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