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Awesemo’s NEW Optimal Lineup Tool: Week 14 DraftKings & FanDuel Picks




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Using Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool, each player carries an optimal lineup percentage score, which is the probability that player will be in perfect lineup for that slate based on Awesemo’s projections. Below are three of the players with the highest Week 14 DraftKings and FanDuel optimal lineup percentage scores of the week using the Boom/Bust Tool. Check out all of the Awesemo expert tools and cheat sheets when making your NFL DFS picks this week.

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Week 14 NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks & Projections

*Percentages indicate Optimal Lineup Scores

Taysom Hill — DraftKings: 18.6%, FanDuel: 13%

Hill is laughably underpriced at only $5,600 on DraftKings. In his first start of the season this past weekend against the Cowboys, Hill threw four interceptions but still finished with 264 yards passing and a pair of touchdowns. More importantly, as a rusher he carried the ball 11 times for 101 yards, lifting him to 27.7 DraftKings points. Hill is expected to make another start this Sunday when the Saints visit the hopeless Jets. New York is the worst-graded defense on PFF this season. Furthermore, they are yielding the second-most yards per pass attempt (7.8) and seventh-most yards per rush (4.5).

For his career, Hill is producing a strong 0.34 DraftKings points per snap. To put this in perspective, Josh Allen’s career average is only slightly better at 0.36. Plus, in the five career starts Hills has made, he is contributing 23.4 DraftKings point per game, with no efforts below 18.5 DraftKings points. Hill brings a ceiling near 30 fantasy points in this smash spot and has the highest optimal lineup score among all quarterbacks for DraftKings this week, according to Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool.

Jarvis Landry — DraftKings: 15.5%, FanDuel: 12.7%

Prior to the Browns’ bye week, Landry caught six of his 10 targets for a season-high 111 yards against the Ravens. This marked the 16th game he has played without Odell Beckham Jr. over the last two seasons, and in those games, Landry has led the Browns with a 24.4% target share. He racked up 22 red-zone targets in these contests, which is a massive 39.6% red-zone target share. Fresh off the bye, he and the Browns get a rematch with the Ravens this Sunday. Baltimore has been susceptible through the air this season, giving up the third-most yards per attempt (7.5) and the seventh-most yards to receivers (2,079).

Landry is far too cheap for his upside in this spot and is expected to come with modest ownership on both DraftKings and FanDuel. According to Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool, he sports a top-10 optimal lineup score among receivers for both sites.

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Hunter Renfrow — DraftKings: 12.2%, FanDuel: 10.5%

Renfrow is a value that needs to be utilized with Darren Waller (knee/back) expected to remain sidelined. Including Week 12 when Waller was only available for 24% of the snaps, Renfrow has led the Raiders with a 25.7% target share over the last two weeks, including three targets over 20 yards, while running a route on 85% of Derek Carr’s dropbacks. With the large role, Renfrow has contributed 23.4 DraftKings points per game. This season he has been one of the efficient players in the league, ranking sixth in DraftKings points per snap among receivers (0.34).

After back-to-back impressive performances as the Raiders’ alpha, Renfrow’s success should continue this Sunday against the Chiefs. This matchup’s total is the third highest on the slate (48 points), and Kansas City is a 9.5-point favorite. As large underdogs, Las Vegas should be forced into a pass-heavy game plan, and to top it all off, the Chiefs are allowing the sixth-most yards per pass attempt (7.2). Renfrow has a strong chance to exceed 20 DraftKings points for the third consecutive game and is the perfect bring-back option for Chiefs stacks. According to Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool, Kansas is the No. 1 offense to stack for Week 14.

Fellow NFL DFS writer Matt Gajewski has his eye on one of Renfrow’s teammates in Sunday’s matchup against the Chiefs. See who Matt is touting in his Week 14 NFL DFS DraftKings & FanDuel First Look.

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If you’re interested in other DFS NFL football for multiple game slates, head over to NFL ownership projections, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL DFS rankings, and daily fantasy football stacking. View our DraftKings DFS NFL rankings and our FanDuel DFS NFL ownership rankings. Take a look at our NFL depth charts, NFL starting line-ups and inactives list. We also have single-game projections and single-game ownership projections.
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