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Week 16 NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel




NFL DFS DraftKings FanDuel lineup optimizer picks optimal projections today tonight Week 16 fantasy football picks Diontae Johnson free expert cheat sheets Sunday main slate free expert player props parlays picks odds lines predictions

Using Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool, each player carries an optimal lineup percentage score, which is the probability that player will be in perfect lineup for that slate based on Awesemo’s projections. Below are three of the players with the highest Week 16 DraftKings and FanDuel optimal lineup percentage scores of the week using the Boom/Bust Tool. Check out all of the Awesemo expert tools and cheat sheets when making your NFL DFS picks this week.

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Week 16 NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks & Projections

*Percentages indicate Optimal Lineup Scores

James Robinson — DraftKings: 29.4%, FanDuel: 18.2%

Robinson is far too cheap for his role as the Jags’ featured back. In Jacksonville’s first game after firing Urban Myer, Robinson logged 84.3% of the snaps this past Sunday against the Texans and saw 18 of the 19 running back carries for the team, including four red zone rushes. With this volume, the back finished with 75 yards and a score as a rusher. As a receiver, Robinson hauled in three of his six targets for 13 yards, while running a route on 64% Trevor Lawrence’s dropbacks, which ranked third on the team for the week.

Including this outing, Robinson has now scored at least 17 DraftKings points in six of his 13 starts this season and is averaging a strong 0.94 DraftKings points per touch. On the menu for this Sunday is a date with the Jets, who are the worst graded defense on PFF. They are yielding the eighth highest yards per rush (4.5) and most rushing touchdowns to opposing backfields this season (21). Robinson should be in line for 15-20 touches in this elite spot and is a great bet to find the end zone at least once. He is a terrific target on both sites, but at only $5,900 on DraftKings, Robinson owns the highest Optimal Lineup Percentage score among running backs.

Diontae Johnson — DraftKings: 14%, FanDuel: 13.7%

This is a tremendous time to buy low on Johnson. This past week, he was owned by 20.4% of the field in the DraftKings Millionaire Maker, but only finished with five catches for 38 yards against the Titans. This should result in somewhat depressed ownership for him this week in an excellent bounce back spot against the Chiefs. Kansas City is giving up the eighth highest yards per attempt (7.0) and the Steelers are large eight-point underdogs. Naturally, Pittsburgh should be forced to rely on their passing game in this contest, which is great news for Johnson.

As Ben Roethlisberger’s main weapon this season, Johnson ranks fifth in the league in target share (29.2%), 20th in red zone targets (14), 12th in targets over 20 yards (21), 16th in air yards (1,214) and eighth in yards after the catch (460). Before last week, the wideout had racked up double-digit targets in 10 of his first 12 contests of the season, and in the eight tilts that the Steelers have been underdogs this year, Johnson has been outstanding with 20.4 DraftKings points per game. Via Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool, Johnson possesses a top-five Optimal Lineup Percentage score among receivers, and is the perfect bring-back option for Chiefs’ stacks.

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Russell Gage — DraftKings: 10.4%, FanDuel: 9.3%

With Calvin Ridley (personal) away from the team, Gage has flourished as the Falcons’ top wideout. Over the last five weeks, the 25-year-old has led Atlanta with a 28.4% target share, which ranks 11th in the NFL over this span. Gage has hauled in 77.3% of his targets during this time and has produced 17.3 DraftKings points per game.

This Sunday, Gage gets to face a Lions’ defense that is allowing the second highest yards per attempt (7.6) and is the second worst graded unit on PFF. In this juicy spot, the Falcons’ carry a solid implied team total of 24 points. Particularly on DraftKings where Gage is priced at a very affordable $5,900, he is severely underpriced for his upside and is one of the best receiver values on the slate.

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Take a look at our depth charts for NFL games, inactives list and starting lineups. We also have showdown projections and NFL showdown ownership projections. If you’re interested in other NFL DFS news for multiple game slates, head over to NFL DFS ownership projections, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL daily fantasy football rankings, and daily fantasy football stacking. View our FanDuel NFL rankings and our DraftKings NFL rankings.
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