Low-Priced Value Plays: Week 15 NFL DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel

The value in Week 15 is sparse so picking out the few good options to save money and generate points is all the more crucial to winning cash games and tournaments. Here are the best NFL DFS picks values across the board for the Week 15 NFL DFS main slates on DraftKings and FanDuel.

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NFL DFS Picks: Week 15 DraftKings + FanDuel Value Plays

NFL Picks: Quarterback

Jalen Hurts ($5,900 DraftKings / $6,900 FanDuel)

Hurts got his first NFL start last week, and from a fantasy perspective, it went incredibly well. He logged 18 carries for 104 yards. He reached the fifth-most carries for a quarterback in a single game since 2000. There have only been 42 100-yard games by a quarterback in that same timeframe. Hurts was a dominant runner in college. He rushed for nearly 1,300 yards in his final season at Oklahoma. For reference, Kyler Murray rushed for 1,001 yards in his final season, while Lamar Jackson peaked at 1,601 yards. Hurts likely falls somewhere close to those two players’ NFL rushing production.

He was priced up by both sites this week but the bump wasn’t enough. Hurts gets the Cardinals this week. Arizona is allowing the sixth-most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks, and their games also play quickly. Arizona’s opponents average 65.4 plays per game, 11th most in the league. The Eagles offense is running the ninth-most plays per game. This is a sneaky game to target before the confluence of Hurts’ price and rushing value enters the conversation. Add those factors into the mix, and Hurts is arguably the best value at quarterback.

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NFL DFS Picks: Wide Receiver

Calvin Ridley ($8,200 DraftKings / $8,400 FanDuel)

The term “Low Price” might be getting used in the relative sense here, but it still applies. Ridley is at a low price compared to his projection on both DraftKings and Fanduel. There isn’t a ton of value at receiver this week and the prices on the best wideouts have risen in recent weeks. Ridley is either projected to be the highest or second-highest-scoring receiver on the main slate depending on the site you play, but his price is lagging behind that. His projection is so high this week because Julio Jones will be sidelined once again, and whenever Jones misses time, Ridley becomes one of the most targeted receivers in the NFL.

Ridley has played in four games without Jones this year. In those games, he has averaged 11 targets per game. Ridley has converted that volume into 6.8 receptions for 0.5 scores and 105 yards per game across those four contests. The Falcons – Buccaneers game has a 48.5-point total, and Ridley is the only unquestioned No. 1 receiver in that game.

NFL Picks: Running Back

Cam Akers ($6,600 DraftKings / $6,700 FanDuel)

Over the past two weeks, Akers has separated himself as the clear lead-back for the Rams. He has 50 carries in his previous two games, while Malcolm Brown and Darrell Henderson have combined for eight carries. Akers has 243 rushing yards and 45 receiving yards in his previous two contests. Most importantly, Akers had dominated the red zone work for the Rams in that span. He has logged 14 carries in the red zone in his previous two contests, and both Henderson and Brown have one red zone carry.

This week looks like the perfect spot for Akers. His team is favored by 17.5 points and has a 30.75-point total. That’s the highest spread and second-highest team total of the week. When winning by a touchdown or more, the Rams run on 65% of their plays. That makes them the fourth-run-heaviest team in the NFL when playing from greater than a touchdown advantage.

NFL Picks: Tight End

Jordan Akins ($2,800 DraftKings / $5,000 FanDuel)

Akins hasn’t done anything since Will Fuller was suspended, Randall Cobb was placed on IR and Kenny Stills was released. However, the volume has been there for Akins. The Texans have been without that trio of receivers for two games. Houston has had Akins run a route on 81% of Deshaun Watson‘s dropbacks. Akins has nine targets in his previous two games. The Texans are the underdogs in a game with a 51-point total. That should keep them throwing and potentially scoring through four frames. Akins is the best punt play and a great way to get up to the expensive running backs and receivers in Week 15.

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If you like fantasy football and care about data, there's a 50/50 chance I've written for your favorite site. In a few short years I've covered, season-long, dynasty, best ball, and DFS for football. I used to be watching games and pretend to know what I was talking about but now I just spew numbers that forecast outcomes better than any scout. Come for the numbers, stay for the bad jokes and Zach Zenner references. RIP XFL.

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