With seven daily fantasy football weeks in the books, both FanDuel and DraftKings released an array of exciting contests ahead of Week 8. While prices adjusted, a few low-priced value plays in the player pool stand out as optimal NFL DFS picks this week.
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Low-Priced Value Plays: Daily Fantasy Football DraftKings + FanDuel
NFL DFS Picks: Quarterback
Jimmy Garoppolo ($5,400 DraftKings / $6,600 FanDuel)
Fresh off a 277-yard performance against the New England Patriots, Jimmy Garoppolo finds himself in an attractive matchup against the Seahawks. The 49ers enter this contest as 2.5-point underdogs with the game totaled at a slate-leading 53.5 points.
So far this year, Garoppolo has played efficient football, averaging 8.2 yards per pass attempt (eighth). He has also completed 66.9% of his passes, which is impressive considering George Kittle and Deebo Samuel already missed multiple weeks.
Fortunately for Garoppolo, Seattle allows the fifth-most yards per pass attempt (7.7). In fact, they’ve allowed 300 yards passing in all but one game this year. With San Francisco projected to trail, Garoppolo likely will find efficient volume against a porous Seattle secondary. Priced as a bargain, Garoppolo ranks among the top low-priced value plays on DraftKings and FanDuel this weekend.
NFL DFS Picks: Running Back
Giovani Bernard ($5,800 DraftKings / $5,900 FanDuel)
At this point in the week, Joe Mixon has yet to log a practice. With Mixon looking likely to miss another week, Giovani Bernard should continue to function as Cincinnati’s primary runner this week. The Bengals find themselves in another potential shootout against the Tennessee Titans in a game currently totaled at 52.5 points.
Last week alone, Bernard handled 18 touches in a loss to the Browns. Five of these touches also came in the form of targets, keeping Bernard in play during negative game scripts. Importantly, Bernard played on 90% of Cincinnati’s run plays, giving confidence in his three-down workload. Prior to injury, Mixon averaged 23.7 touches per game in this role.
With little competition for touches, Bernard sets as a value for the second consecutive week. For those looking to jam in studs at other positions, Bernard makes sense as a low-priced value play.
With Joe Mixon looking like he’ll be out again in Week 8, Gio Bernard is in line for a lot of work. With the Bengals being 6.5-point dogs, that could mean a great game-script for Bernard and even some garbage time, which is why Matt Gajewski points out how great of a value play he is. Check out the Awesemo OddsShopper tool to find the sportsbook offering the best lines and odds for all this week’s matchups. Plus, we’ve beefed up our OddsShopper matchup tools and information to help you analyze each game even deeper, and find trends you can use to win your bets. Click on the image below to see our new matchups tool.
Daily Fantasy Football Picks: Wide Receiver
Diontae Johnson ($5,500 DraftKings / $6,200 FanDuel)
Diontae Johnson again finds himself underpriced ahead of Pittsburgh’s Week 8 tilt against the Ravens. While this game has a modest 46.5-point total, Johnson remains one of the slate’s most targeted receivers.
Unfortunately, Johnson has battled multiple injuries this season, depressing his overall production. Still, Johnson has at least 10 targets in every game in which he played a majority of the snaps. Last week in particular, Johnson received 15 targets, which he turned into 80 receiving yards and a pair of scores.
As for matchup, the Ravens have only allowed six yards per pass attempt to opposing signal-callers. Despite the tough matchup, Johnson’s volume keeps him in play as one of the top price-adjusted value plays on DraftKings and FanDuel ahead of Week 8.
Daily Fantasy Football Picks: Tight End
Hunter Henry ($4,200 DraftKings / $5,600 FanDuel)
Looking at the wasteland of the tight end position, Hunter Henry stands out as a particularly strong value on DraftKings and FanDuel. At the moment, Los Angeles is a 3-point favorite over the Broncos with a 44.5-point over/under.
Based on volume alone, Henry deserves top-five pricing. Henry has at least seven targets in five of six games this year and a sizeable 20.4% target share. However, touchdown variance has hurt Henry to this point. Through six games, Henry has accounted for only one of four tight end scores in Los Angeles’ offense. With rotational players Donald Parham and Virgil Green accounting for three additional scores, variance should positively regress for Henry in the near future.
Also benefitting from a Chargers’ offense that ranks fourth in plays per game, Henry should continue to command volume. He is still priced among a slew of underwhelming players, so Henry stands out as a clear low-priced value play on DraftKings and FanDuel this weekend.
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