As Week 2’s Sunday slate approaches, look to use the NFL DFS projections and the new DraftKings NFL Tiers Projections Tool as a sneak peek for projected and optimal ownership, which yields the overall leverage over the field for each of the eight tiers. Below we will break down the best picks from the tiers, using the new tool to help identify the top players from various pricing levels.
Week 2 NFL DFS DraftKings Tiers Projections & Picks
Tier 1 Pick: Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals
Awesemo Ownership Projection: 29.8%
The Cardinals will host the Vikings on Sunday as 3.5-point favorites while carrying an implied total of 27.25 points. Minnesota is coming off a Week 1 overtime defeat to the Bengals in which their defense allowed 13 catches for 196 yards to Cincinnati’s receiver corps. The test does not get any easier this week against Arizona, which again points to Murray in Tier 1. Last week Murray had his way with a porous Tennessee defense on his way to five touchdowns. His effectiveness as a runner and Kliff Kingsbury’s ability to scheme quarterback runs offer Murray not only a fantastic floor, but also a higher ceiling than any of the other Tier 1 options.
Tier 2 Pick: Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns
Awesemo Ownership Projection: 19.6%
After hiding himself in Tier 3 last week, Chubb has bumped up to Tier 2 this week, a group which features a plethora of elite workhorses and DeAndre Hopkins. Rolling into Week 2 off a tremendous game against Kansas City in which he scored twice and recorded 101 total yards, Chubb now faces a Texans defense that was not particularly stout against Jacksonville’s running backs. The Texans allowed 112 yards on 19 touches to the Jaguars backfield, struggling to stop them both on the ground and in the passing game. Coming into the season, Chubb’s biggest concern was the usage of his running mate, Kareem Hunt. While Hunt did vulture a goal-line attempt, the touch discrepancy was 17-9 in favor of Chubb. In a solid matchup in which Cleveland carries the second-highest implied total on the slate, expect the positive game script to yield even more touches for him.
Tier 3 Pick: Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers
Awesemo Ownership Projection: 15.9%
Tier 3 presents a difficult decision between two pass catchers facing bad secondaries in games with high totals. Both Allen and D.K. Metcalf are in line for monstrous games, as the Cowboys were picked apart by Tom Brady, and the Titans were decimated by Arizona’s air raid. These games both carry point totals in the mid-50s, with Cowboys – Chargers holding a 55 total and Tennessee – Seattle at 54. Allen’s floor and his role as Justin Herbert’s No. 1 option make him the better play, however. Tennessee’s defense should bounce back following an abysmal game in Week 1, but Dallas is less likely to make a similar turnaround. The Cowboys are without two of their top defensive linemen for this showdown, so Allen should have even more opportunities coming off a game in which he had nine catches for 100 yards.
Tier 5 Pick: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers
Awesemo Ownership Projection: 24.9%
Another advantageous reason to select Allen is Tier 3 is the option to stack him with Herbert. As was evident last Thursday, Dallas struggles to defend the pass. Coming into this matchup without their two top pass rushers in Randy Gregory (COVID-19) and DeMarcus Lawrence (Foot) will not help their cause. The Cowboys were one of two teams to not record a sack in Week 1 and only produced two quarterback hits all game. Herbert picked up where he left off last year, regularly hanging in the pocket to deliver accurate balls to open receivers. With the fourth-highest implied total (29.5) look to stack the Chargers’ top offensive performers.
Tier 6 Pick: Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts
Awesemo Ownership Projection: 4.5%
Last year the Rams were a defense to avoid, specifically if attacking their run defense. Coming into 2021 they had some major losses, most importantly their defensive coordinator Brandon Staley, gained prominence for being able to stuff the run in two-high-safety looks. Fast forward to last week, and the Rams run defense was not as stout as it once was, yielding 134 yards on the ground to the Bears. The Colts are projected to be a stronger running team than Chicago, and Taylor is coming off a solid game against a stout Seattle front where he had 116 yards on 23 touches. He was utilized heavily out of the backfield as well.
Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!
If you’re interested in other DFS NFL for multiple game slates, head over to NFL DFS ownership projections, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL rankings, and NFL DFS stacks. Take a look at our starting line-ups, NFL inactives and depth charts.
NFL Sports Betting Model (Free Trial)
NFL Player Props Tool
NFL Data Central Express
NFL Data Central
NFL Primetime Slate Ownership for DraftKings and FanDuel
NFL Showdown/Single-Game Projections – Draftkings/FanDuel
Awesemo’s NFL Showdown & Single-Game Rankings
Awesemo’s Top Showdown and Single Game Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel