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Divisional Round NFL DFS Preivew: DraftKings & FanDuel Lineup Advice

Matt Gajewski

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The NFL season continues with the NFL Playoffs Divisional Round and a full slate of NFL DFS action provided by DraftKings and FanDuel. This piece will examine the NFL DFS slate early in the week to find potential NFL DFS picks that will return the most value. Based on the salaries released by both DraftKings and FanDuel, we will go over some of the best Divisional Round NFL DFS picks, but keep an eye on the news as the week progresses. A value play early in the week could turn into a bust chalk play due to injury or COVID-related illness and ruin your lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. The best way to stay plugged in for all the news and notes throughout the week is by catching all the Awesemo NFL DFS Strategy and Picks shows on the Awesemo YouTube Channel.

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Divisional Round DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Preview

Quarterback

Josh Allen, BUF vs. KC ($7,600 DraftKings)

As the premier quarterback on the divisional round slate, Josh Allen deserves the highest salary. Allen has been excellent as a passer all season, completing 63.3% of his passes for 6.8 yards per attempt. This includes seven games north of 300-yards including last week’s Wildcard performance. More importantly, Allen is one of the best dual threat quarterbacks in the NFL. Allen has at least 60 yards rushing in five of his last six games, even reaching 109 on one occasion. Allen also plays in the premier shootout of the week against Kansas City. As it stands, the Bills are 2.5-point underdogs in a game with a 55-point total. Honorable mention: Patrick Mahomes is also an excellent play among the expensive options.

Tom Brady, LAR vs. TB (6,800 DraftKings)

For those looking at cheaper plays, Tom Brady finds himself below $7,000, despite entering the slate as three-point favorites over the Los Angeles Rams in a game with a 48.5-point total. While this did not cause an impact against the cowardly Arizona Cardinals, the Los Angeles Rams are depleted in their secondary. This unit was depleted enough to allow an injured Jimmy Garoppolo to pass for 316 yards. Brady continues to play at an elite level, eclipsing 300 yards passing on nine occasions this season. Brady has similar upside to Allen and Mahomes.

Joe Burrow, CIN vs. TEN ($6,600 DraftKings)

Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Tennessee Titans as 3.5-point underdogs in a game with a 47-point total. Burrow and Bengals started the year somewhat slow, but the second-year quarterback finished the season with a 70.4% completion percentage for 8.9 yards per attempt. Burrow closed out the year with 525 and 446-yard performances against the Ravens and Chiefs before completing 24 of 34 passes for 244 yards and a pair of scores against the Raiders on Wildcard Weekend. While the Bengals are slight underdogs here, Burrow has shown the elite upside worth targeting at the quarterback position here.

Running Back

Devin Singletary, BUF vs. KC ($5,900 DraftKings)

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Perhaps the position with the most potential news, running back again looks like a position with plenty of value. Derek Henry could make his return at the top of the position, but plenty of value exists in the mid-tier. Highlighting this area, Devin Singletary has played a feature role for Buffalo down the stretch. Singletary has at least 18 touches in five straight games for Buffalo, with a solid role in the pass game. The FAU-product has averaged over three targets per game in his last four contests. Kansas City ranks 30th in yards rushing per attempt allowed, setting up Singletary for a positive performance.

Leonard Fournette, LAR vs. TB ($5,800 DraftKings)

Unexpectedly, Tampa Bay decided to hold out Leonard Fournette for an additional week ahead of Wildcard Weekend. Fournette is tentatively expected to return here, but his status must be monitored throughout the week. Prior to injury, Fournette had emerged as one of the premier workhorse running backs in the NFL. This includes at least four targets in every game since Week 3. Tampa Bay is a home favorite here, boding well for Fournette. Potentially the biggest risk of the week, Fournette requires close monitoring.

Cam Akers, LAR vs. TB ($5,500 DraftKings)

Cam Akers increased his touch count from eight to 19 in the Los Angeles Rams’ Wildcard showdown against the Arizona Cardinals. Just six months removed from an Achilles tear, Akers continues to work his way back into a feature role for this offense. Sony Michel‘s share of the backfield dropped from 73.3% to 39.3% in the two weeks with Akers active. Tampa Bay plays elite run defense, but Akers’ feature back role at a cheap price is attractive in this spot.


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Wide Receiver

Davante Adams, SF vs. GB ($8,500 DraftKings)

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With the Los Angeles Rams increasingly relying on the run, Cooper Kupp’s’ volume has started to drop. Kupp has exactly seven targets in three straight games for the Rams. While Kupp has managed to score in each of these outings, the overall volume has started to become a concern. Conversely, Davante Adams continues to handle an alpha target share in Green Bay’s offense. On the year, Adams accounts for a 31.7% target share and 37% air yards share in Green Bay’s offense. As 6.5-point favorites over San Francisco in a game with a 47.5-point total, Adams looks like the preferred pay up option on this slate.

Tee Higgins, CIN vs. TEN ($5,700 DraftKings)

With Ja’Marr Chase erupting to close the regular season and begin the playoffs, Tee Higgins’ price has again fallen on DraftKings. Higgins only has four and five targets over Cincinnati’s last two games. However, Higgins accounts for a 23.9% target share and 35% air yards share for Cincinnati this year. In comparison, Chase accounts for a 23.7% target share and 37.2% air yards share. While Chase is the WR1 in this offense, Higgins has simply gotten too cheap to ignore as a highly used WR2. As slight underdogs to Tennessee, Cincinnati should be playing a game script favorable to the pass.

Byron Pringle, BUF vs. KC ($4,200 DraftKings)

For those looking at cheap receivers, Byron Pringle fits the mold as a cheaper attachment to Mahomes. While Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill lead this team in targets, the Kansas City target distribution is not as narrow as previous seasons. Pringle has seen at least four targets in five straight games for Kansas City, while playing a majority of the snaps. With Kansas City providing a slate-leading 28.75-point implied team total, Pringle looks like the preferred value at the position this week.

Tight End

Rob Gronkowski, LAR vs. TB ($5,8000 DraftKings)

With Kelce pacing the slate in terms of price, Rob Gronkowski offers similar volume at a cheaper price. Without Chris Godwin or Antonio Brown, Gronkowski has been forced into a high-volume role for this Buccaneers team. Gronkowski has at least six targets in eight of his last games, including ten in two of his last three. This has also led to massive yardage outputs, with Gronkowski eclipsing 100 yards in two of his last three games. Overall, Gronkowski is a solid price adjusted tight end.

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George Kittle, SF vs GB ($5,300 DraftKings)

George Kittle has not played the tight end position with the same consistency as Gronkowski or Kelce, but he still has the same upside. Since going for 181 yards and 151 yards in Weeks 13 and 14, Kittle price has plummeted. With Garoppolo returning from injury in Week 18, Kittle has only notched six catches for 28 yards on ten targets. However, contrarian San Francisco stacks and run-backs to Green Bay stacks have upside. As near touchdown underdogs, San Francisco should be forced to throw more here.

Tyler Higbee, LAR vs. TB ($4,000 DraftKings)

Tyler Higbee looks like the cheapest tight end with any sort of consistency. Higbee has seen at least four targets in each of his last eight games, including at least eight in two of his last three. On Wildcard Weekend, Los Angeles blew out Arizona so badly that they hardly threw the ball. As underdogs to Tampa Bay, negative game script could coax Higbee into a higher volume performance at a cheap price.


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View our DraftKings NFL ownership rankings and our FanDuel NFL rankings. If you’re interested in other DFS NFL football picks for multiple game slates, head over to NFL DFS ownership projections, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL rankings, and NFL DFS stacks. Take a look at our NFL depth chart list, inactive player list and starting lineups. We also have NFL showdown projections and showdown ownership projections.

Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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