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From the Slot: Week 8 DraftKings NFL DFS Picks & Ownership Projections

Geoff Ulrich



This article will highlight some of the week’s highest-projected NFL DFS picks today at each position on the main slate for DraftKings and FanDuel, all based off Awesemo’s NFL DFS projections and models. For Week 8, there are 12 games on the main slate and a ton of big favorites to choose from. We will provide insight into ownership projections and matchup information. Be sure to subscribe to Awesemo to access the full DFS site projections, ownership projections and other great tools each week.

Week 8 NFL DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel

QB Jalen Hurts | Grades: A, Values: A

The Eagles Jalen Hurts has managed to keep fantasy owners afloat this year despite some horrific performances from the Eagles offense. Hurts’ formula is simple: Rushing the ball at an almost unparalleled rate for the quarterback position. This season he is averaging 9.4 carries per game and 51.5 yards per game, stats which would make many lead running backs jealous. The Eagles have also found themselves in a lot of late-game situations down by multiple scores, and Hurts has been a maestro at running a fast-paced offense against prevent defenses.

The projections do not expect the Eagles to be down late, but they also have a solid 25.5 implied team total against a weak Lions squad that sits last in yards per pass attempt against. Even with Hurts at quarterback, the Eagles head into this game fifth-to-last in rushing attempts per game and are unlikely to run much with lead back Miles Sanders out. The formula may switch a bit, as Hurts has thrown for 300 yards and two touchdowns twice this year, but the result should be the same — lots of fantasy points. Hurts is the top projected quarterback for Week 8 on any slate.

Projected NFL DFS Ownership: DraftKings: 12.6%

RB D’Andre Swift | Grades: A, Values: B

D’Andre Swift has slowly but surely entered elite fantasy territory in 2021. Over his last four games he has played on over 73% of the snaps for the Lions and is averaging six receptions per game. Swift has essentially become the Lions offense, as he not only leads them in carries but is also tied for the lead in targets. The Eagles are favored by 3 points, but Swift is not a player to worry about for game flow purposes. Philadelphia has also allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs and the fifth-most receptions to the position. Teams are running the ball against Philadelphia more than any other team in the league, so Swift may even push for season-high carry totals in this spot as the Lions try to grab their first win of the year.

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Despite the elite usage and great matchup, Swift is cheaply priced at just $7,100 and is just the sixth-most expensive player on DraftKings. As such, he has an elite value rating for the week and best value score in the model of any running back over $7,000 on DraftKings. Swift’s going to be popular, but any running back with locked-in dual usage like him should be popular, and the fact he is still projected for under 20% owned makes him a player to be overweight on.

Projected NFL DFS Ownership: DraftKings: 19.3%

WR Deebo Samuel | Grades: A, Values: B

Deebo Samuel comes into this game averaging just under 11 targets over his last three starts. He has quietly gone about entrenching himself with a massive 34% team target share this year, which puts him up around elite players like Davante Adams. Still, despite the fact he is out-targeting the next-best active receiver on the 49ers by over 40 targets, Samuel is not getting priced up among the best wideouts every week. On DraftKings he is just the sixth-most expensive player at his position and very affordable at just $7,400. This may not seem like a big deal if he were in a poor matchup, but he is not. Samuel takes on a Bears team in Week 8 that just allowed four touchdowns to the wide receiver position against Tampa Bay.

San Francisco does not throw the ball nearly as much as Tampa, but teams funnel their offenses towards the pass against Chicago, who is solid at stopping the run. Samuel is in a spot where another massive fantasy game is in reach. He is still projected to go well under 20% rostered in this spot but ranks second in the Awesemo points projections at his position. The projections have loved Samuel all year, and it is not the time to stop trusting their love for the 49ers’ best offensive player.

Projected NFL DFS Ownership: DraftKings: 17.2%

TE Dallas Goedert | Grades: B, Values: B

Dallas Goedert performed admirably in his first game as the main pass-catching tight end for Philadelphia. Three catches and 73 yards on five targets is hardly a slate-breaking type of day, but at tight end double-digit fantasy points are nothing to scoff at. The Eagles offense may see a small uptick in their passing efficiency in this spot too, as they face a Lions team in Week 8 that ranks dead last in yards per pass attempt allowed and allowed seven touchdowns passing in their last two games.

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The Eagles are not thought of a pass-first offense due to how often their quarterback runs, but Philadelphia averages over 34 pass attempts per game and may look to throw a little more against such a bad pass defense, especially with Sanders out. Goedert is going to be owned in this spot, but on a main slate lacking three of the biggest names at tight end, it is fine to trust him as a semi-chalky play. The upside is distinctly lacking at this position in Week 8, so taking the layup on Goedert, who does have the highest points projection at the position, is not a bad idea.

Projected NFL DFS Ownership: DraftKings: 13.7%

Top NFL DFS Stack: Buffalo Bills

In the Awesemo Stacking Tool the Rams again project strongly, with nearly a 30% chance of being the top stack for the week. The Bills are challenging them a bit, though, as their quarterback/wide receiver combo comes in with over a 15% chance of being top stack. Buffalo is an easy team to stack, as Stefon Diggs is the alpha for targeting, while the rest of the receivers there tend to battle for scraps. Dawson Knox being out this week can also bolster Diggs’ target share in this matchup.

The Dolphins have been a great fantasy target for opposing skill players of late, as they have allowed 27 points or more against in three of their last four games and rank fifth-to-last in sack rate. Josh Allen and Diggs likely will not be anywhere near chalky either, as fear of a blowout and Diggs’ $8,100 salary are going to keep ownership down. The Bills are in a great spot against Miami, whose offense should do enough to keep Diggs and Buffalo’s offense busy until the very end.

Projected NFL DFS Ownership: Quarterback Ownership DraftKings: 7.3%

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View our FanDuel DFS NFL rankings and our DraftKings DFS NFL ownership rankings. Take a look at our inactives, NFL line-ups and depth charts for NFL games. We also have NFL single-game projections and DraftKings showdown ownership projections. If you’re interested in other NFL DFS picks for multiple game slates, head over to NFL DFS projected ownership, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL DFS rankings, and daily fantasy football stacking.
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