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Best Conference Championship NFL DFS Value Plays for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups | Sunday Main Slate




San Francisco 49ers general manager John Lynch spoke on his upcoming decision on whether or not to trade Jimmy Garoppolo in the offseason

It is always important to find value for DFS lineups. What is also important is finding value with a reasonable upside, especially for tournaments. This article digs into the cheap players in the Awesemo NFL DFS projections that have the best points-per-dollar ratings. Using those projections, here are the top Conference Championship NFL DFS picks and value plays for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

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Conference Championship NFL DFS Picks & Value Plays

FanDuel Value Quarterback: Patrick Mahomes — $8,800

With only four quarterbacks to choose from, finding a true low-priced value play is difficult this week. Only one of the options, Jimmy Garoppolo, has a salary would normally be low on FanDuel, and he is grading as the worst value in Awesemo’s projections on FanDuel. Mahomes, on the other hand, has the best value score despite being the most expensive player.

Mahomes and the Chiefs are implied for almost 7 more points than any other team on the slate. They are also taking on the worst passing defense by DVOA remaining in the playoffs. The last matchup between these teams also produced 65 total points. Mahomes tends to contribute more as a runner during the playoffs, averaging over 30 yards rushing per game, compared to roughly 19 yards in regular-season games. The Chiefs offense is set to smash here, with Mahomes being the driver of that success.

DraftKings Value Quarterback: Matthew Stafford — $6,300

On the DraftKings side Stafford is relatively cheap this week, ranking third in salary. He has a fairly high range of outcomes for this one, depending largely on how much passing volume the 49ers force him into. Stafford has been highly efficient all season. He ranks second in touchdown rate and third in yards per attempt. However, he ranks just eighth in passing attempts and provides little rushing upside. His two touchdowns rushing the past two weeks were his first scores with his legs since 2016.

If the 49ers can keep pace offensively with the Rams, Stafford has a massive ceiling. Stafford has three games this season over 30 DraftKings points, including last week — he attempted at least 38 passes in each of them. The Rams are favored by only 3.5 points, so it is likelier than not to be a close game. The 49ers are also a pass funnel on defense, ranking 16th against the pass but second against the run. The Rams production will almost have to come through the air. Stafford trails only Mahomes in value in Awesemo’s projections.

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FanDuel Value Running Back: Cam Akers — $6,200

Akers has emerged as the clear leader of the Rams backfield since returning. He handled 96% of the Rams running back carries — and an additional two targets — last week against the Buccaneers. That was a game the Rams controlled most of the way, showing that Los Angeles wants to lean on Akers to close out games. To be fair, he has underwhelmed with his production, averaging just 2.3 yards per carry this season. Still, volume is king in DFS.

Akers is still priced like a backup or timeshare back despite this clear-cut role, and he is $2,000 less than Joe Mixon. The game script is inarguably better for Akers as well, with the Rams favored. The risk of rostering Akers centers around his two costly fumbles last week, but the Rams seemed committed to him as the lead back — at least after the first fumble. He is the best value in Awesemo’s projections on FanDuel this week.

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FanDuel Value Wide Receiver: Tee Higgins — $6,400

Higgins is a major part of the Bengals passing attack despite frequently being overshadowed by the performances of Ja’Marr Chase. Higgins has a 25% target share in the playoffs, which would put him as a top-20-ish wide receiver in the league. Higgins’ FanDuel score last week was only half a point less than Chase’s — but he is a full $1,600 cheaper. With that gap being a more appropriate $1,000 on DraftKings, Higgins stands out on FanDuel.

It is also a great game environment, with the Bengals as 6.5-point underdogs in a game with a massive total. The Bengals’ best chance at winning this game is to match the Chiefs’ offensive output — which they will need more than just Chase to do. Higgins ranks second behind Cooper Kupp in Awesemo’s projections for value on FanDuel.

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DraftKings Value Wide Receiver: Tyler Boyd — $4,200

Boyd is extremely cheap on DraftKings this week, but his role as the third option in the Bengals passing attack carries a lot of upside. Boyd has a roughly 20% target share on the year, similar to players like CeeDee Lamb and DeAndre Hopkins. In a game that projects for tons of passing volume for the Bengals, $4,200 on DraftKings is a steal.

Boyd runs fairly shallow routes — especially compared to Chase and Higgins — so his upside is fairly touchdown dependent. However, it is unlikely to that there will be massive scores from all nine roster spots on a two-game slate. Getting solid production while saving tons of salary could be immensely valuable given the slate’s expensive options. Boyd ranks fourth in value in Awesemo’s projections but is the best option below $5,700.

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We also have DraftKings showdown projections and DraftKings showdown ownership projections. Take a look at our inactive player list, NFL depth chart list and starting lineups. View our DraftKings NFL DFS rankings and our FanDuel NFL rankings. If you’re interested in other DFS NFL for multiple game slates, head over to DFS NFL ownership projections, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL rankings, and NFL DFS stacks.

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