It is always important to find value for your DFS lineups. What is also important is finding value with a reasonable upside, especially for tournaments. This article digs into the cheap players in the Awesemo NFL DFS projections that have the best points-per-dollar ratings. Using those projections, here are the top Week 4 NFL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
Best Low-Priced NFL DFS Value Picks for Week 4
FanDuel Value Quarterback – Jalen Hurts ($7,900)
While it seems strange to include the fifth-highest-priced quarterback as a value play, it will make sense shortly. On FanDuel in particular it is important to roster players with reasonable upside. The salary cap is looser, so getting in cheap players is not as important as it is on DraftKings. With half-PPR scoring and no yardage bonuses, quarterbacks also make up a larger chunk of total fantasy scoring. So Hurts value in terms of points-per-dollar is like Jacoby Brissett, but his ability to win a tournament is far higher.
Hurts trails only Josh Allen in Awesemo’s projected value score. It is a fantastic matchup for him, as the Chiefs’ explosive offense forces opponents to throw, plus Hurts has high rushing upside. While it is early, and they have faced tough opposition, the Chiefs are also the worst defense in the NFL by DVOA. Hurts makes sense for all contest types this week on FanDuel.
DraftKings Value Quarterback – Justin Fields ($5,200)
Fields’ debut performance was bad. It is hard for a quarterback to play 100% of his team’s snaps and stay under 4 fantasy points, but he pulled it off. With that out of the way, this week’s matchup with the Lions is a far better situation for Fields. Detroit’s defensive front should be much easier for Fields to deal with than the Browns were last week. Before the season, many pundits were even suggesting this week as the perfect debut for Fields. Be sure to keep up on the news because there are still questions on who the starter will be for Chicago.
If it is Fields, he could be in for a big day. Awesemo’s projections have him behind only Brissett in value, but his ceiling is much higher. He did not show it in week 1, but the Bears drafted Fields for his athleticism. If he can add some scoring with his legs, he will pay off easily at his current salary. Fields is scary to pull the trigger on this week, but that should also depress his ownership. This is the perfect time to buy low on a player that a week ago many were excited about.
FanDuel Value Running Back – Mike Davis ($5,400)
Davis has not gotten it done in the box score yet this year, but the underlying volume is there. He has seen at least 16 opportunities (targets and carries) each game so far and is tied for third in running back targets. It will be tough sledding on the ground against Washington’s defensive front, but his receiving role adds a lot of value. If the Falcons offensive line struggles to keep Matt Ryan protected, there could be even more checkdowns to Davis this week.
Awesemo’s projections rate Davis as the third-best value at the running back position on FanDuel. He also has the highest raw projection among backs priced under $6,000. He probably will not have a monster performance, but Davis is worth considering for salary relief.
DraftKings Value Running Back – Darrel Henderson Jr. ($5,600)
Henderson got in a limited practice on Wednesday, so it looks like he will be making his return to the Rams lineup. It will be worth monitoring the news, as playing at less than 100% would obviously lower his value. As it stands now, though, he is by far the strongest value play on DraftKings. He leads all non-quarterbacks in points-per-dollar projection for the main slate.
Henderson had been productive for the Rams before going down with the rib injury. His red-zone role is incredibly valuable for fantasy, and he saw nine carries and a target in scoring position through the first two weeks. With the Rams offense looking like the league’s best, there will be plenty of touchdowns for Henderson when he is on the field. This game has the highest over/under on the slate, so this week in particular sets up well. The Rams have also shown a willingness to lean on the run once they get a lead, which seems likely to happen as 4.5-point favorites.
Make sure to monitor news on Henderson over the weekend, but if he is a full go, he could be one of the best NFL DFS picks for Week 4.
FanDuel Value Wide Receiver – Cole Beasley ($5,900)
The Bills do the opposite of the Rams. Even in a game where they were up 21-0 after 20 minutes, Josh Allen still attempted 43 passes last week. So do not worry about a blowout against the Texans robbing Beasley of value. Beasley’s 30 targets through three games are eighth in the NFL. His price is far too cheap considering his large role in a solid offense. This has led to him having a top-four value projection at the position on FanDuel this week. Beasley’s upside is limited thanks to an extreme short-area role (5.57 average depth of target.) He can still get it done on volume alone, though, with big games coming when he adds a touchdown or two. Beasley makes more sense for cash games but can open up some salary for tournaments as well.
DraftKings Value Wide Receiver -Braxton Berrios ($3,700)
With Elijah Moore likely to miss Week 4 due to a concussion, and Jamison Crowder questionable to make his debut, the Jets are extremely thin at wide receiver. Berrios has performed reasonably well with his expanded role this year, averaging just under 10 DraftKings points per game. With the Jets taking on a struggling Titans defense, this is the best situation yet for Berrios.
While there is nothing particularly exciting about him, Berrios is getting seven targets a game. At his current salary, that is quite the bargain. There are three other wideouts who have seen the exact same number of targets as Berrios — they all cost at least $5,100 on DraftKings this week. Of course, they all play on better offenses, but it is still a bargain for Berrios. His 3.13 value score is third among DraftKings receivers this week.
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