It is always important to find value for DFS lineups. What is also important is finding value with a reasonable upside, especially for tournaments. This article digs into the cheap players in the Awesemo NFL DFS projections that have the best points-per-dollar ratings. Using those projections, here are the top Week 9 NFL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
Fellow Awesemo NFL DFS expert Geoff Ulrich has a full breakdown of more value plays based on Awesemo’s grades and value scores.
Best Low-Priced NFL DFS Value Picks for Week 9
FanDuel Value Quarterback: Trevor Siemian — $7,000
With Jameis Winston done for the year, Siemian is in at quarterback for the Saints. It is unclear whether he will remain in that role or eventually cede to Taysom Hill (recovering from a concussion), but at least for Week 9 it is Siemian. Siemian has a dream matchup with the Falcons for his Saints debut. The Falcons rank 30th in overall DVOA and 29th against the pass. With the Saints as moderate favorites, they likely will not have to throw a ton, but they should be effective when they do. It is unlikely that Siemian will post a monster score here, but the name of the game is value. Siemian ranks fourth in Awesemo’s projections for value score this week. All the quarterbacks above him are priced at least $800 above Siemian on FanDuel.
DraftKings Value Quarterback: Jordan Love — $4,400
Love is a screaming value on DraftKings this week, priced at only $4,400. His Packers are taking on the Chiefs, who allow the second-most DraftKings points to quarterbacks on the season. It is likely the Packers will try to keep the ball on the ground initially in this one — but as 7-point underdogs, that cannot last forever. Even if they do, Love provides solid rushing upside with his 4.74-second 40-yard dash time (75th percentile for quarterbacks).
When they take to the air, Love will benefit from having Davante Adams to attack the Chiefs’ 30th-ranked pass defense. While Love could fall on his face here, it is likely he will have at least a solid game. He also has most of a full week to prepare, which should help. Love is a borderline lock for cash games and a strong tournament option.
FanDuel Value Running Back: Myles Gaskin — $6,100
Gaskin is third in value in Awesemo’s FanDuel projections for Week 9, trailing only Ezekiel Elliot ($8,200) and Devontae Booker, who may not end up with the starting spot this week. Saquon Barkley was trending towards playing after recovering from an ankle injury; he tested positive for COVID on Wednesday but could return in time for Sunday with two negative tests. That leaves Gaskin as the preferred value back. His role has been steady, if unspectacular, for the Dolphins this year. He is handled roughly 50% of the Dolphins’ backfield carries and two-thirds of the (more valuable) targets. The last two weeks have seen an uptick in his usage, with 27 carries and eight targets between the two games. If he continues at that pace, he could be in for a big day against the Texans 31st-ranked run defense. Miami is also favored by 6.5 points, meaning Gaskin should see some positive game script this week as well.
DraftKings Value Running Back: Chase Edmonds — $5,300
The Cardinals backfield is simple this season. While Edmonds and James Conner are splitting time, Edmonds gets most of the passing game work, with Conner filling in on early downs. That means it should be Edmonds’ turn this week. The Cardinals are only narrowly favored against the 49ers this week. San Francisco is also a major pass funnel, ranking 22nd against the pass and seventh against the run.
Due to the nature of the Cardinals backfield, Edmonds probably will not have a massive game this week (barring a Conner injury). However, it is tough sledding at running back in Week 9. The top options are all slightly overpriced for their role. It is also difficult to pay up for two or three of the higher-priced backs. That leaves Edmonds, who leads backs under $5,800 in Awesemo’s projections for value this week.
Latest NFL DFS Content
- Optimizer Groups: Week 13 Sunday NFL DFS Optimal Lineup Strategy on DraftKings & FanDuel
- Week 13 Daily Fantasy Football Matchups & Best NFL Player Props Picks
- MUST PLAY Week 13 NFL DFS Value Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups
- Yahoo Week 13 Grades and Values for NFL Daily Fantasy
- BOOM vs. BUST: Top NFL Daily Fantasy Picks to Roster & Avoid for Week 13
- Awesemo DFS on Youtube
FanDuel Value Wide Receiver: Rondale Moore $5,300
DeAndre Hopkins and his 20% target share may be missing on Sunday; he sat out of practice Wednesday and Thursday. That raises the chances for Moore to have another game like he did in Week 2, in which he saw eight targets and topped 20 FanDuel points. He has only topped 10 points once since then — it is tough sledding when four wide receivers are in the mix. However, he is super cheap on FanDuel and a top eight value in Awesemo’s projections.
These projections are based around a certain likelihood of Hopkins missing. Once there is solid news, Moore’s projection will go up or down accordingly. If Hopkins ends up active this week, Hunter Renfrow is the better value. If Hopkins is out, Moore is the play on FanDuel, and he is also a better tournament option than the other cheap receivers. His breakaway speed and punt return role unlock a higher ceiling than Renfrow or Jakobi Meyers are likely to get to.
DraftKings Value Wide Receiver: Hunter Renfrow — $4,800
Renfrow would be a solid value even fulfilling his normal role this week. He is averaging more than seven targets per game, which is a rarity for a sub-$5,000 DraftKings receiver. However, there is reason to suspect that his role will change starting in Week 9. The Raiders released Henry Ruggs, vacating just over five targets per game. Renfrow will likely only see one or two of those, but it is more than enough to make him stand out as a top Week 9 DFS pick.
The matchup is solid as well, with the Raiders facing the struggling Giants. Like many of the players on this list, his price is low because so is his ceiling. Renfrow has a very short 6.69 average depth of target, meaning he probably will not go for any big gains. Even so, getting seven-plus targets and a high catch rate at his price is valuable on full-PPR DraftKings. Renfrow has the best value of any wide receiver by a solid margin in Awesemo’s projections.
Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!
We also have NFL showdown projections and NFL showdown ownership projections. View our DraftKings NFL DFS rankings and our FanDuel DFS NFL ownership rankings. If you’re interested in other DFS NFL football picks for multiple game slates, head over to DFS NFL projected ownership, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL rankings, and NFL DFS stacks. Take a look at our NFL starting lineups, NFL depth charts and inactive players.
Optimizer Groups: Week 13 Sunday NFL DFS Optimal Lineup Strategy on DraftKings & FanDuel
Week 13 Daily Fantasy Football Matchups & Best NFL Player Props Picks
MUST PLAY Week 13 NFL DFS Value Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups
NFL Data Central Express
NFL Data Central
Yahoo Week 13 Grades and Values for NFL Daily Fantasy
BOOM vs. BUST: Top NFL Daily Fantasy Picks to Roster & Avoid for Week 13
Awesemo’s NEW Optimal Lineup Tool: Week 13 DraftKings & FanDuel Picks