With Week 1 in the books, both FanDuel and DraftKings released an array of exciting contests ahead of Week 2. While prices adjusted, a few exploitable situations remain in the player pool. With that said, here are few places to potentially exploit pricing. Let’s get into some low-priced NFL DFS picks for Week 2 on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Low-Price Value Plays: DraftKings + FanDuel NFL DFS Picks
Quarterbacks
Kyler Murray ($6,100 DraftKings/$8,000 FanDuel)
More of a DraftKings specific play, Murray enters Week 2 with an egregiously low price. While Murray struggled as a passer with just 5.8 yards per attempt, he still hit value with his legs. Murray notched 100 rushing yards before clock-killing kneeldowns robbed him of the bonus. The Cardinals also ran 78 plays in Week 1, which tied for second in the NFL. Play volume alone increases Murray’s projection here.
Looking at the matchup, Arizona faced a fierce Washington defensive. However, Murray enters Week 2 fresh off a matchup with an equally dangerous 49ers defensive line. Unlike most quarterbacks, Murray’s mobility helps him deal with pressure. His rushing upside also creates added concerns for opposing defense, potentially neutralizing a dangerous pass rush.
Tough matchup or not, Murray’s rushing upside and voluminous passing attack make him a value in Week 1.
Running Backs
Kenyan Drake ($5,900 DraftKings/$6,600 FanDuel)
Playing in a mis-priced game across the board, Drake looks like one of the top values on the Week 2 board. Last week, Drake handled 19 touches and played on 70% of Arizona’s run plays. He also ran a route on 49% of Murray’s drop backs, while Chase Edmonds appeared on 29.4%. While Edmonds bested Drake in targets, Drake’s role on the field points to positive regression in the future.
As for Week 2, the Cardinals draw a potential tough matchup against a strong Washington defensive line. Despite the matchup, this game projects for a quick pace and elevated play volume. With Scott Turner calling plays for Washington, the Football Team ran the ninth-most plays in the NFL last week (70). With Carolina last year, Turner’s offense also ranked top six in plays per game.
With Arizona pushing the pace themselves, Drake could potentially see an elevated workload based on play volume alone. While the matchup is tough, Drake’s volume keeps him a strong value play.
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Jonathan Taylor ($5,700 DraftKings/$5,800 FanDuel)
The beneficiary of an unfortunate Marlon Mack season-ending injury, Jonathan Taylor projects to play an elevated role for the Indianapolis Colts throughout 2020. In his debut performance Taylor handled 15 touches and played on 43.5% on the Colts’ run plays. More importantly, Taylor received six targets in the pass game, quieting doubters on his pass-game prowess.
While Taylor still is in a timeshare with Nyheim Hines, he draws a friendly game environment against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 2. The Colts enter this contest favored by a field goal, pointing to positive game script for Taylor. A completely rebuilt defense, the Vikings coughed up 4.9 yards per attempt on the ground in their debut performance to the Green Bay Packers.
Still priced below $6,000 on both platforms, Taylor’s projected role in a positive game script make him a strong value place this week in your NFL DFS lineups.
Wide Receivers
Michael Gallup ($5,600 DraftKings/$6,000 FanDuel)
After taking a backseat to Amari Cooper in Week 1, Gallup enters Week 2 underpriced across platforms. While Cooper received 14 targets, Gallup quietly played an identical offensive role. Both receivers ran a route on 95% of Dak Prescott’s dropbacks, pointing to increased involvement moving forward. Looking back to last season, Gallup actually absorbed 21% of Dallas’ targets and 28% of their air yards. Conversely, Cooper notched a 20% target share and a 26% air yards share.
Moving forward to Week 2, Gallup and the Cowboys take on an Atlanta team in the highest-totaled game of the week. This very Atlanta secondary gave up 8.5 yards per attempt to Russell Wilson just last week. After losing Desmond Trufant to free agency, this unit could struggle throughout the year.
Projected to carry less ownership, Gallup provides a solid leverage point off Cooper in the week’s premier game environment.
Editor’s Note
Awesemo’s Player Prop Stat Projections are predicting Michael Gallup to have considerably more receiving yards than his Vegas totals suggest. Lines are consistent across sportsbooks, so take your pick with this possible money-making player prop.
*Betting odds as of Friday, Sept. 18 at 5:30 EST
Breshad Perriman ($3,800 DraftKings/$5,200 FanDuel)
Popping up on the Week 2 injury report, Jamison Crowder missed practice on Wednesday and Thursday of this week. Denzel Mims already hit injured reserve, leaving Perriman as New York’s only viable pass catcher. Perriman finished Week 1 with just five targets (15.2% target share), but he ran a route on 100% of Sam Darnold‘s drop backs.
Perriman draws a tough matchup against the San Francisco 49ers at first glance. However, the 49ers placed top corner Richard Sherman on injured reserve this week, while Ahkello Witherspoon is in concussion protocol. Despite the injuries, the 49ers remain touchdown favorites, likely putting the Jets in negative game script.
After Darnold threw the ball 35 times last week, this Jets’ passing attack project to lean on an aerial attack once again. Operating as Darnold’s de facto No. 1, Perriman is a strong price-adjusted play.
Parris Campbell ($4,500 DraftKings/$5,300 FanDuel)
After dealing with multiple injuries as a rookie, Campbell finally worked his way into a full-time role in Indianapolis. Campbell played ran a route on 85% of Philip Rivers’ drop backs and received nine targets. In terms of his offensive share, Campbell recorded a 19.6% target share and a 36.7% air yards share. For the sake of comparison, T.Y. Hilton also saw a 19.6% target share and a 40% target share.
While still a small sample, Campbell’s price is low against a brutal Viking’ defense. Minnesota allowed Aaron Rodgers to rack up 364 yards and 43 total points
Also favored by 8.5 points, Indianapolis projects to rack up points against the Vikings here. Campbell is priced affordably across platforms and remains a strong play in Week 2.
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Does the fact that Parris Campbell is playing against the vikings, not the Jags, and that they are not favored by 8.5, change your analysis?