With five daily fantasy football weeks in the books, both FanDuel and DraftKings released an array of exciting contests ahead of Week 6. While prices adjusted, a few low-priced value plays stand out in the NFL DFS player pool.
Low-Priced Value Plays: Daily Fantasy Football DraftKings + FanDuel
NFL DFS Picks: Quarterback
Gardner Minshew ($6,400 DraftKings / $7,200 FanDuel)
Completing 69.9% of his passes for 7.3 yards per pass attempt, Minshew continues to post quietly efficient numbers in 2020. He also plays for a Jaguars team throwing the ball over 66.5% of the time due to their 1-4 record. This week, the Jaguars take on the Lions as 3.5-point underdogs in a game totaled at 54 points. With negative game script potentially occurring again there, Minshew looks like a low-priced value play worth targeting on DraftKings and FanDuel.
On top of his own solid play, this matchup bodes well for fantasy production. While both offenses have played inefficient football at times this season, both teams rank inside the top 10 in seconds per play. Detroit also allows 7.5 yards per pass attempt, which ranks in the bottom 10 of the NFL. Minshew has now thrown the ball 39.2 times per game to start the season, leading to cheap fantasy points for him and his pass catchers.
Playing in one of the highest-totaled games this weekend, Minshew provides sneaky upside as a low-priced value play on DraftKings and FanDuel.
NFL DFS Picks: Running Back
Myles Gaskin ($5,400 DraftKings / $5,700 FanDuel)
Avoiding the Le’Veon Bell signing after early linkages to Miami, Gaskin is the top back in the Dolphin’s offense. Quietly receiving a full workload, Gaskin now draws a dream matchup against the Jets. The Dolphins currently sit as 9.5-point favorites over the Dolphins, pointing to elevated opportunities for Gaskin in positive game script.
Playing over Matt Breida and Jordan Howard, Gaskin has already carried the ball 64 times for 249 yards this season. Importantly, Gaskin is hyper-active as a pass catcher. Gaskin has at least four targets in every game played this season, putting his touch counts north of 13 in every contest. Last week, Gaskin’s touches eclipsed 20 as Miami played from ahead. This week, Gaskin draws a Jets’ defense ranking in the bottom-12 of yardage allowed to the running back position.
While paying up for running back seems to be a popular move this weekend, Gaskin provides cheap bell-cow potential below $6,000 across platforms. He is a top low-priced value play ahead of this week’s slate of games.
NFL DFS Picks: Wide Receiver
A.J. Brown ($5,600 DraftKings / $6,500 FanDuel)
Returning from injury, Brown wasted no time racking up box score production for the Titans. Coming in with a low price across platforms, Brown’s matchup with the Vikings looks particularly enticing ahead of Week 6. The Titans currently stand as 3.5-point favorites in a game totaled for 53.5 points.
Only appearing in two games so far this year, Brown has target counts of eight and nine in the Titan’s offense. Last week alone, Brown’s nine targets equated to a 32% target share in Tennessee’s offense. As productive as they come, Brown has also benefited from a surprisingly efficient Tennessee offense. The Titans currently rank sixth in the NFL in plays per game. More importantly, they face a Houston defense allowing 7.0 yards per pass attempt in one of the highest-totaled games on the slate.
Cheap on DraftKings and FanDuel, Brown is a low-priced value play to target on the Week 6 NFL main slate.
NFL DFS Picks: Tight End
Jordan Akins ($3,300 DraftKings / $4,900 FanDuel)
A wasteland of a position, tight end again loses George Kittle and Travis Kelce to island games in Week 6. Leaving just Mark Andrews as an elite tight end on the slate, paying down at the position looks intriguing. Akins looks like a potential low-priced value play worth targeting with more value on DraftKings.
Before suffering a concussion in Week 4, Akins ran a route on at least 79% of Deshaun Watson drop backs in each of his first three games this season. While that only led to 15 total targets, Akins’ role within the offense is significant at this price point. Helping matters is the fact that the Texans find themselves on the other side of that Tennessee game totaled at 53.5 points. The Titans haven’t faced many notable tight ends this season, but they’ve allowed a touchdown to the position in three of four games this year.
With punting looking like a viable move this weekend, Akins is a strong price-adjusted value play at the tight end position in Week 6.
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