For each of the featured games, typically Sunday Night Football, Monday Night Football and Thursday Night Football slates, we will provide free analysis for the single-slate action on DraftKings and FanDuel. This will include team capsules, player rankings, comments and NFL DFS picks for today. There are loads of information and NFL DFS Showdown picks to get into for both DraftKings and FanDuel on this Week 12 Monday Night Football slate featuring the Seattle Seahawks vs. the Washington Football Team.
NFL DFS Showdown Picks: Week 12 Monday Night Football
Rashaad Penny (hamstring) is out once again for Seattle, along with fellow running back Travis Homer (calf) and offensive linemen Damien Lewis and Jamarco Jones. Washington is missing offensive linemen Sam Cosmi (hip) and Tyler Larsen (knee), and tight end Ricky Seals-Jones (hip) is on the wrong side of doubtful. Wide receivers Curtis Samuel (groin) and Adam Humphries (hip) are questionable, though both were limited participants in practice this week.
In two games back after missing a month with a finger injury on his throwing hand, Russell Wilson has looked out of sorts. He was 34-for-66 for 368 yards and two interceptions in games at Green Bay and against Arizona. Fortunately, the matchup against Washington is a very favorable one, as they have the No. 30 pass DVOA. They have allowed opposing quarterbacks to throw for multiple touchdowns in six of their last seven games. Washington is ceding a league-worst 2.4 touchdowns passing per game, which bodes well for Wilson to turn things around on Monday Night Football.
Alex Collins will once again be the lead back, but he is hardly involved in the passing game, with only eight targets on the season. Washington has been excellent against the run, and only Alvin Kamara (71) has topped 60-plus yards rushing. DeeJay Dallas is the only other healthy back, and while he is generally the passing-down specialist, he is still a capable rusher in those situations. Collins has only one game with more than 50 yards rushing in his seven starts, and his last trip to the end zone was in Week 6 against Pittsburgh.
D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett continue to command the majority of the targets in the Seattle passing game. Since Wilson’s return Metcalf has 16 targets, and Lockett is right behind with 13. The rest of the receivers have combined for nine targets, with Freddie Swain getting four and Penny Hart seeing three as the only notable options sharing time as the third wide receiver.
Both Metcalf and Lockett were showing up as great plays in the NFL lineup optimizer today. Check out all of our free NFL DFS lineup optimizer picks from our DraftKings NFL cheat sheet and FanDuel NFL cheat sheet.
Gerald Everett is third on the team in targets with 12 over the last two weeks, while Will Dissly has five. Wilson has a long history of going to this position in the red zone, and both are live for touchdowns and 30 to 50 yards when the Seattle running game is eventually shut down.
Seattle is averaging 1.7 sacks per game, while Washington is around league average in pass protection, allowing 2.3 per game. The Seahawks have a bend-don’t-break defensive philosophy that has limited them to just under one takeaway per game, while Washington is averaging 1.5 turnovers. Although the Seahawks have allowed the most yards per game, the have ceded the seventh-fewest points, at just 20.9 per game.
Surprisingly, while Seattle has allowed opposing quarterbacks to rack up 290-plus yards in half of their games, they have allowed only 1.4 touchdowns passing per matchup. Taylor Heinicke has been reasonably effective after replacing Ryan Fitzpatrick, who went down with an injury in the season opener. Though Heinicke only has one multi-touchdown game in his last six opportunities, he has at least kept the offense moving up and down the field. He also had 20 or more yards rushing in five of his last eight games, which is a nice fantasy bonus.
Antonio Gibson has 43 carries for 159 yards coming out of the Week 9 bye, and he logged two touchdowns against Tampa Bay’s vaunted run defense. Sadly, despite assurances otherwise from coach Ron Rivera in the preseason that Gibson would be involved in the passing game, he has averaged only two targets per game since Week 1.
J.D. McKissic is the change-of-pace back who will see a handful of carries and six targets in the passing game each week. Undrafted rookie Jaret Patterson is the only other running back to see action this season, and he barely gets on the field outside of mop-up duty.
Terry McLaurin is averaging 9.1 targets, 5.4 receptions and 73.5 yards per game and five total touchdowns. Adam Humphries is second among receivers in targets per game with 3.2, though he has been below that average in each of his last three appearances. DeAndre Carter is an intriguing option, and over the last three games his 15 targets are only behind McLaurin (22). Four of these opportunities have come in the red zone, and at his current salary on DraftKings ($5,600) and FanDuel ($10,000) he is not drawing a lot of popularity. Cam Sims and the oft-injured Curtis Samuel round things out and are dart throws at best.
Logan Thomas (hamstring) is slated to return tonight after last playing in Week 3. This is fortuitous timing, as Ricky Seals-Jones (hip) is unlikely to play. When Seals-Jones was out last week, John Bates stepped in and played on nearly every snap, though he saw only three targets. It would make sense for him to be on the field 30-40% of the time since Thomas should be eased back into things after missing two months.
Despite having a solid front seven, Washington is averaging just two sacks per game. Seattle, on the other hand, is allowing 3.3 per game, which is among the worst in the league. To their credit, the Seahawks have a league-low six turnovers, while Washington is recording just over one takeaway per game.
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Monday Night Football Single-Game NFL DFS Strategy
The rankings below are best utilized for building out single-entry and three-max lineups and for head-to-head and three-man formats. They provide a nice barometer for player value, but for those taking the MME approach, remember that correlation is key. This means matching a receiver or two with a quarterback in the Captain/MVP slot. This also works conversely with pairing a Captain/MVP pass catcher with their quarterback.
Week 12 Monday Night Football NFL DFS Rankings
Top 10 NFL DFS Showdown Picks
- Taylor Heinicke: Take the discount over Wilson and hope that he has another game with 20-plus yards rushing.
- Antonio Gibson: This is a bet on touchdowns; he has double-digit fantasy points only once in his last five games.
- DeeJay Dallas: The salary relief is key, and Collins has done nothing to show he is the better running back despite ample opportunity. This play is not for the faint of heart.
- D.K. Metcalf: Major ability to make things happen after the catch against a marginal secondary.
- Terry McLaurin: Boom or bust with four game of 24-plus fantasy points, while the rest are below a dozen.
- Tyler Lockett: If he can get one deep catch, he will be a difference maker.
- Russell Wilson: Needs to prove he is healthy and has his timing back.
- J.D. McKissic: Even with the premium, he is a better option than Collins on DraftKings with full PPR.
- Alex Collins: Gets the nod over McKissic on FanDuel where the half PPR narrows the gap.
- DeAndre Carter: The return man already has a career-best 26 targets and all three of his career touchdowns this season.
Secondary NFL DFS Showdown Picks
- Logan Thomas: If he were 100% healthy, he would be above McKissic; definitely room for upside.
- Washington D/ST: Seattle allows a ton of sacks.
- Gerald Everett and Will Dissly: Playing for a touchdown and Wilson’s red-zone tendencies. Dissly is just $600 on DraftKings.
- Joey Slye: Tonight will be his third game with Washington; he also played in three for Houston and another three for San Francisco this season.
- Jason Myers: Only 9-for-13 on the season.
Lottery Ticket NFL DFS Showdown Picks
- John Bales: Moves up to Thomas’ spot if he is not active or there is word he is on a snap count.
- Adam Humphries and Curtis Samuel: The former for savings, the latter for upside.
- Seattle D/ST: Their bend-not-break defensive philosophy limits fantasy opportunities.
- Cam Sims, Dax Milne and Dyami Brown: Two of this trio will likely be inactive if Humphries and Samuel both play.
- D’Wayne Eskridge and Penny Hart: Both are at the DraftKings minimum of $200. Eskridge missed two months with a concussion but saw two targets in his return last weekend.
- Jaret Patterson: Mr. Irrelevant, which means a garbage-time touchdown is imminent.
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