NFL DFS Showdown Spotlight: Week 12 Sunday Night Football DraftKings & FanDuel | Browns at Ravens

For each of the featured games, typically Sunday Night Football, Monday Night Football and Thursday Night Football slates, we will provide free analysis for the single-slate action on DraftKings and FanDuel. This will include team capsules, player rankings, comments and NFL DFS picks for today. There are loads of information and NFL DFS Showdown picks to get into for both DraftKings and FanDuel on this Week 12 Sunday Night Football slate featuring the Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens.

NFL DFS Showdown Picks: Week 12 Sunday Night Football

Kareem Hunt (calf) is getting close to a return and could be active tonight. Donovan Peoples-Jones (groin) is questionable while Jarvis Landry (knee) was limited in practice but expected to play. Wide receiver Anthony Schwartz (concussion) is out for tonight. Baltimore could be without Marquise Brown (thigh) for a second straight week, though he was able to get in limited work during practice.

Cleveland Browns: 21.75 Points

Quarterback

Somehow despite dealing with shoulder, groin and foot injuries, Baker Mayfield is without an actual injury designation. Baltimore has been solid against the run, though they have been susceptible to the pass with a bottom-five DVOA. Cleveland’s passing attack has been a disaster with a combination of Mayfield and Case Keenum unable to top 240+ passing yards in their last half dozen games.

Running Back

Nick Chubb has 130+ rushing yards in his last two games and when he was out in Week 10, D’Ernest Johnson logged 99 rushing yards in his stead. Kareem Hunt (calf) may return for Sunday Night Football after being injured in Week 6. Cleveland is likely to rely heavily on the running game tonight, despite that being the strength of the Baltimore defense. Looking at the Awesemo Advanced Stats page we can see that in neutral scoring situations, Cleveland runs 47.9% of the time which is the seventh highest in the league.

Wide Receiver

Rashard Higgins seems to be the one healthy receiver left for the Browns, though he rarely sees targets in the Browns limited passing game. Jarvis Landry has yet to surpass five receptions in any of his seven games and he has not topped 30 yards in his last three, though he did score on a 16-yard run last week. Donovan Peoples-Jones is the lone downfield threat, though he is dealing with a groin injury that kept him out last week. Undrafted second year man Ja’Marcus Bradley is the leading receiver the last two weeks with two receptions for 46 yards. Clearly the Factory of Sadness has been running at full capacity this month in Cleveland.

Tight End

Austin Hooper has been the lone bright spot for the Browns aerial attack with eight receptions for 78 yards and a touchdown over the last two weeks. David Njoku is in play as a differentiation option and he usually sees 3-4 targets. Harrison Bryant has been on the field for around 40% of the snaps over the last month, though he only gets a courtesy target or two each game. Cleveland has been running a lot of double tight end formations in an effort to protect Mayfield.

Defense/Special Teams

The Browns are in the top five with 29 sacks while the Ravens have allowed the second most in the league with 3.4 per game. Cleveland is averaging 0.9 takeaways per tilt and Baltimore is ceding just 1.3 turnovers a game.

Baltimore Ravens: 25.25 Points

Quarterback

Lamar Jackson missed last week with a non-COVID related illness and he is expected to be back under center for Sunday Night Football. On the season he is averaging a career high 271.9 passing yards per game and his 71.0 rushing yards per game is the seventh most in the league. Once again, he is shaping up as the clear top option on a prime-time slate.

Running Back

Le’Veon Bell was released prior to Week 11 and Devonta Freeman seems to have taken control of the lead back duties while Latavius Murray missed a month with his injury. Both of course take a back seat to Jackson, particularly in the red zone. Although this duo has above average receiving skills, Baltimore has averaged just four targets per game to running backs.

Wide Receiver

If he returns to action, Marquise Brown is of course the top option in the passing game and he has five games with double digit targets. Rookie Rashod Bateman has come on after missing the first month of the season and he has seen six or more targets in his five games. Sammy Watkins is lurking and should be in the mix for a handful of targets while Devin Duvernay will be pinched by the return of Brown.

Tight End

Mark Andrews has been phenomenal this season and he is only eight receptions and 156 yards away from setting career highs in those categories. Nick Boyle returned to action last week and while he played 40% of the snaps, he only saw one target from backup quarterback Trace McSorley. This season Andrews has 79 targets while the rest of the tight ends have only 15 combined opportunities.

Defense/Special Teams

Cleveland has suffered the fourth most sacks in the league and Baltimore is in the middle of the pack with their pass rush. The Ravens have the second fewest takeaways this season with only eight while the Browns have done a nice job protecting the ball with just one turnover per game.

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Sunday Night Football Single-Game NFL DFS Strategy

The rankings below are best utilized for building out single-entry and three-max lineups and for head-to-head and three-man formats. They provide a nice barometer for player value, but for those taking the MME approach, remember that correlation is key. This means matching a receiver or two with a quarterback in the Captain/MVP slot. This also works conversely with pairing a Captain/MVP pass catcher with their quarterback.

Week 12 Sunday Night Football NFL DFS Rankings

Top 10 NFL DFS Showdown Picks

1. Lamar Jackson: Once again the main decision will be how many lineups to make before Jackson is not in the multiplier slot.
2. Nick Chubb: Should still get plenty of work even if Hunt returns.
3. Mark Andrews: Take the discount over Brown.
4. Devonta Freeman: Raise your hand if you thought Freeman would be playing a prominent role for a playoff contender prior to Week 1.
5. Justin Tucker: Best kicker in the game and we need some salary relief.
6. Marquise Brown: Assuming full health, he could be the slate-breaker – needs a touchdown or 100 yards to break even.
7. Baker Mayfield: Double digit points only once in the last four games.
8. Rashod Bateman: Cleveland is not going to be able to cover Andrews, Brown and Bateman consistently on every play.
9. Kareem Hunt: Should be good for 12-15 touches, no reason for the Browns to have rushed him back.
10. Chase McLaughlin: In three seasons he has played in a grand total of 26 games for six different franchises.

Secondary NFL DFS Showdown Picks

1. Latavius Murray: Excellent salary on DraftKings ($3,800) not so much on FanDuel ($9,000) for 8-12 touches.
2. Baltimore D/ST: This is not the same Ravens defense; they have 11 total fantasy points in their last four games.
3. Jarvis Landry: Where has all the volume gone?
4. Austin Hooper: Might be the safest option in a limited passing game, but we still have to give Landry the slight nod.
5. Sammy Watkins: Well down the pecking order, hard to get excited with 3-4 targets at this salary.

Lottery Ticket NFL DFS Showdown Picks

1. Cleveland D/ST: They will be on the field a lot.
2. David Njoku: Far less popular than the receivers on his team with nearly similar opportunities.
3. Donovan Peoples-Jones: If healthy, he seems to be the deep threat.
4. Rashard Higgins: Differentiation play, truly a league average WR4 with no upside.
5. Harrison Bryant: Really needs one of the other tight ends to be out.
6. Nick Boyle: Finally back from injury last week, hard to see more than two targets considering non-Andrews tight ends are averaging just over one per game.
7. Demetric Felton, Patrick Ricard, Devin Duvernay, Ty’Son Williams, D’Ernest Johnson and Josh Oliver: Best left for the 150-maxers.

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