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NFL DFS Showdown Spotlight: Week 10 Sunday Night Football DraftKings & FanDuel | Chiefs vs. Raiders

Eric MacPherson

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BetMGM NFL betting picks best bets Monday Night Football picks predictions odds lines parlays Raiders Ravens Darren Waller

For each of the featured games, typically Sunday Night Football, Monday Night Football and Thursday Night Football slates, we will provide free analysis for the single-slate action on DraftKings and FanDuel. This will include team capsules, player rankings, comments and NFL DFS picks for today. There are loads of information and NFL DFS Showdown picks to get into for both DraftKings and FanDuel on this Week 10 Sunday Night Football slate featuring the Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs.

NFL DFS Showdown Picks: Week 10 Sunday Night Football

Kansas City does not have any new injuries to skill position players with Clyde Edwards-Helaire still on the injured reserve though getting close to a return. Offensive lineup Kyle Long and Lucas Niang are also out. Las Vegas is also mostly healthy, at least for this point in the season.

Kansas City Chiefs: 27.25 Points

Quarterback

It has now been three games since he last reached 300+ passing yards and in this timeframe, Patrick Mahomes has a pair of touchdowns and a pair of interceptions. Mahomes has the highest interception rate of his career and his highest sack rate as well. This is partly due to sketchy offensive line play and what seems to be a bit of an aging curve for Travis Kelce. In nine outings, Mahomes has 10 interceptions this season compared to 11 in 29  games the prior two seasons. The Raiders have a middle of the pack defense, however that is still likely to give this current iteration of Mahomes and the Kansas City offense fits.

Running Back

Darrel Williams should continue to see the majority of the work until Edwards-Helaire returns and even then it will likely be a pretty even split. After popping up in Week 8 on Monday Night Football with 11 carries for 48 yards and a score on 16 snaps, undrafted rookie Derrick Gore was on the field for just 10 snaps against Green Bay logging three carries and one target. Jerick McKinnon played twice as many snaps and he brought in all three of his targets for 26 yards. Williams should continue to be the lead option approaching 20 combined carries and target for the fourth time in the last five games.

Wide Receiver

Tyreek Hill is second in the league with targets, fifth with 85.8 receiving yards per game and his six touchdowns have him just inside the top ten. Although he has disappointed with single digit fantasy points in two of his last three games, he did have 20 targets in those tilts. Even with Mahomes struggling, Hill still has the ability to singlehandedly destroy the slate. Demarcus Robinson has seen his snap percentage decling for three straight weeks from a season high 78% to a season low 22% last week. This has coincided with an increase for Josh Gordon while Mecole Hardman (60-65%) and Byron Pringle (45-50%) have maintained their shares.

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Over the last three weeks, the targets have been telling with Hill (38) leading the way followed by Hardman (18), Pringle (8), Robinson (6) and Gordon (3). Hardman stands out on both DraftKings and FanDuel as a secondary option. Pringle is a fine value play on DraftKings, though he is only $1,000 less than Hardman on FanDuel.

Tight End

Although Kelce seems to have lost a step, he has averaged only two fewer fantasy points per game compared to Hill over their last five appearances in full-PPR scoring systems. In three of these games, Kelce has actually produced more fantasy points than Hill. Blake Bell and Noah Gray have combined for action on 40-50% of the snaps over the last three games to help provide additional protection for Mahomes. In this stretch, Bell has three targets in these games while Gray has one.

Defense/Special Teams

Las Vegas does a reasonable job of limiting sacks and turnovers. Kansas City has the second fewest sacks in the league while averaging one takeaway per game.

Las Vegas Raiders: 24.75 Points

Quarterback

Derek Carr keeps chugging along and while he is not a dynamic quarterback, he does have 296+ yards in six of his eight games. He also has two passing touchdowns in six of eight games while suffering only one interception per outing. Kansas City has been a bottom-five passing defense all season and their rushing defense is somehow even worse.

Running Back

Over the last five games, Josh Jacobs has 53 carries, Kenyan Drake has 25 and Jalen Richard has seen only five. Targets over the last three games have been as follows Drake (3, 8), Jacobs (3, 4), Richard (4, 3) and Alec Ingold (1, 3). This is important to note as it gives us at least tepid confidence in Richard as a discount dandy and Ingold as a 150-max special.

Wide Receiver

In the first game without Henry Ruggs III, Hunter Renfrow had a season high nine targets, Bryan Edwards continued plugging along with four and Zay Jones stepped into an expanded roll with four. This seems proportionally correct which makes Jones very intriguing at just $600 on DraftKings. Keep in mind we should see veteran DeSean Jackson taking his first snaps as a Raider and while we know Carr prefers to stay in the short-to-medium passing zone, this does give the defense someone to keep tabs on.

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Tight End

Darren Waller had a whopping 11 targets last week which was the most he has seen since Week 1. While Foster Moreau had six in the one game that Waller missed, if we exclude that game the target share is Waller 64, Moreau six and Derek Carrier two back in Week 2. Waller typically is on the field for 85-95% of the snaps while Moreau sees action on 35-45%. Since Week 4, other tight ends have combined for nine total snaps.

Defense/Special Teams

Kansas City leads the league with 19 turnovers while Las Vegas is at the league average of 10 takeaways this season. Mahomes is being sacked just over two times a game while the Raiders are logging nearly three.


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Sunday Night Football Single-Game NFL DFS Strategy

The rankings below are best utilized for building out single-entry and three-max lineups and for head-to-head and three-man formats. They provide a nice barometer for player value, but for those taking the MME approach, remember that correlation is key. This means matching a receiver or two with a quarterback in the Captain/MVP slot. This also works conversely with pairing a Captain/MVP pass catcher with their quarterback.

Week 10 Sunday Night Football NFL DFS Rankings

Top 10 NFL DFS Showdown Picks

  1. Derek Carr: Last season he had six touchdowns in two matchups against KC, that does not guarantee production tonight, but the combination of salary and popularity make him an interesting “swerve” option in the multiplier slot for the first four or five lineups.
  2. Tyreek Hill: Always a potential slate breaker, however heavy volume surprisingly has not translated to a solid baseline, though that should change.
  3. Pat Mahomes: He has to snap out of this funk, right?
  4. Darren Waller: Marginal salary savings over Kelce, but currently coming in with less popularity.
  5. Travis Kelce: Turned 32-years old in October, still top 20 with 69.8 receiving yards per game.
  6. Zay Jones: Unlocks all sorts of possibilities on DraftKings at just $600.
  7. Darrell Williams: Should see 75-80% of the workload until Edwards-Helaire returns.
  8. Josh Jacobs: Similar workload to Williams, but with a higher salary.
  9. Hunter Renfrow: Safety blanket for Carr when Waller is covered up.
  10. Kenyan Drake: Significant discount to Jacobs, but still playing second fiddle.

Secondary NFL DFS Showdown Picks

  1. Mecole Hardman: Snaps trending up, but still has single digit fantasy points in four of his last six.
  2. Daniel Carlson: Only 13 attempts from 50+ in 52 career games, he did make 10 of them.
  3. Harrison Butker: 90.4% career success rate, has nailed 7 of 8 from 50+ over last two seasons.
  4. Byron Pringle: Swap with Hardman on DraftKings for the major savings.
  5. Bryan Edwards: Solid player, just does not get targets.

Lottery Ticket NFL DFS Showdown Picks

  1. Las Vegas D/ST: Mahomes getting sacked and throwing picks at career worst rates.
  2. DeSean Jackson: If he follows his usual script, he will make one amazing play, scoring from long distance while also pulling his hamstring or groin and being sidelined for the next month.
  3. Derrick Gore: If something happens to Williams, he will get all the remaining carries.
  4. Jalen Richard: MME special, should see 4-5 touches.
  5. Jerick McKinnon: Just four carries in his last six games, likely will get a target or two while spelling Williams.
  6. Kansas City D/ST: Meh, maybe they luck into a return touchdown.
  7. Josh Gordon: Bare minimum of $200 on DraftKings, four total targets in his four games played with one catch for 11 yards.
  8. Demarcus Robinson: Now not even on the field running wind sprints as he is losing snaps to a variety of teammates.
  9. Alec Ingold: Does just enough to get his own line, DraftKings only at $400.
  10. Blake Bell, Noah Gray, Marcus Kemp, Chad Henne, Marcus Mariota and Nathan Peterman: How wild is it that we have seen multiple games in the last month where the backup quarterbacks have become difference makers in prime time.

 


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Take a look at our depth charts for NFL games, NFL inactives and NFL starting lineups. View our DraftKings DFS NFL ownership rankings and our FanDuel DFS NFL rankings. We also have NFL DFS showdown projections and NFL showdown ownership projections. If you’re interested in other DFS NFL for multiple game slates, head over to NFL ownership projections, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL rankings, and NFL stacks.

Eric "EMac" MacPherson won the 2007 Fantasy Baseball grand prize (trip for two to the MLB All-Star game) in the Roto format on ESPN. He won again in 2008, this time in the H2H format. As one of the early adopters of daily fantasy sports, EMac has been providing content for baseball and basketball as well as both professional and college football since 2012 for a variety of websites including DraftKings Playbook, FanVice, RotoWorld, Daily Fantasy Bootcamp, and RotoGrinders. He is well into his third decade of fantasy sports and has a wealth of knowledge and experience. Follow him on Twitter @EMacDFS or contact EMac by emailing [email protected].

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