Greetings, NFL DFS Gamers! Welcome to the Awesemo daily fantasy football Single-Game Prime Time series for FanDuel and DraftKings Showdown slates. For each of the featured games, typically Sunday Night Football, Monday Night Football and Thursday Night Football slates, we will be providing a free analysis for the single-slate action on DraftKings and FanDuel. This will include team capsules as well as player rankings and comments for all of your daily fantasy needs. We have loads of information and NFL DFS picks to get into for both DraftKings and FanDuel on this Week 9 Thursday Night Football slate between the 49ers and the Packers.
Ben Rasa's Bet of the DayAwesemo's sports betting expert Ben Rasa pours over the day's betting lines and breaks down the best bet of the day for you to build your sports betting card around.
DraftKings + FanDuel NFL DFS Picks: Week 9 Thursday Night Football | 49ers vs. Packers -7.0 | O/U 48.5
There is still a chance this game is postponed with active COVID-19 cases on both sides. Green Bay has placed linebacker Kamal Martin and running backs Jamaal Williams and A.J. Dillon on the reserve list. San Francisco has done the same with lineman Trent Williams and wide receivers Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and Kendrick Bourne. So be prepared to alter your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
Green Bay Packers: 27.25
This will be the third time in his career that Aaron Rodgers has led the Packers into his “hometown” for a game. Last year he was held in check, going 20-for-33 and posting just 104 yards and one touchdown in Week 12. Now that we have the narrative out of the way, this game is going to be a wild one to analyze. Multiple players from both teams are on the COVID-19 reserve list, and that is before we even get to all of the typical injuries.
Rodgers has been outstanding this season, with 20 touchdowns against just two interceptions. The San Francisco passing defense has been middle of the pack this season. Without any healthy/experienced running backs, Rodgers is going to need to shoulder the load tonight.
There is a chance that Allen Lazard will return from the injured reserve tonight. UPDATE: early this afternoon it was announced that Allen Lazard would not suit up tonight.
Aaron Jones is going to be a game-time decision with a calf injury, and it seems that he is unlikely to play. With Williams and Dillon on the COVID-19 list, the cupboard is officially bare. Tyler Ervin is a career special teamer who has played in in 40 games over his four-plus seasons with Houston, Jacksonville and now Green Bay. In college he was a running back at San Jose State and was drafted in the fourth round by Houston. Currently he has been working as a wide receiver in addition to his special teams duties. For his career, he has 10 carries for 68 yards and 32 targets for 22 catches and 135 yards.
Dexter Williams was a sixth-round selection in the 2019 draft out of Notre Dame. Last year he saw action in four games, and this year he has appeared in one. In his limited time on the field, he has just five carries for 11 yards. If Jones is out, he is likely to be the running down back with Ervin spelling him as the passing down option. No other backs have received carries this season for the Packers.
Alex “Awesemo” Baker’s projected stats (part of Awesemo+) have Nick Mullens projected for 244.3 passing yards tonight, making the 210.5 OVER at +-112 on OddsShopper a solid deal. Click on the image below to start shopping for the best edge in betting and check out all the player props available for tonight’s Thursday Night Football game between the 49ers and Packers.
Davante Adams is likely to be on 85-90% of all rosters tonight. In his last three games since coming out of the bye and returning from injury, he has seen 12, 16 and 10 targets. By all means make him a focal point of your strategy tonight.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has 11 targets in his last three outings but only one in his most recent game.
Allen Lazard has travelled with the team to San Francisco and may be activated off the injured reserve. He suffered a core injury that required surgery, but he has been practicing this week and is likely to be back in the mix tonight. In 13 total games, Malik Taylor, Darrius Shepherd and Equanimeous St. Brown have a combined 17 targets. One of them will likely be inactive if Lazard does indeed return. UPDATE: early this afternoon it was announced that Allen Lazard would not suit up tonight.
Robert Tonyan has performed well this season and Rodgers has been looking to him in the red zone. Through six games he is third on the team with 27 targets for 23 receptions, 309 yards and a healthy five touchdowns. Jace Sternberger is also in the mix if you are playing 25-plus lineups and looking for differentiation, but he has just 10 targets in five games.
The Packers are not exciting as a defense. However, they are going against a team starting backup players at literally every skill position and missing a key offensive lineman. They are averaging just over two sacks per game, and the 49ers are ceding nearly three. Green Bay has just four takeaways this season, but again they are facing backups at every relevant position.
San Francisco 49ers: 20.75
Nick Mullens will be drawing the start, but we have already seen him benched in-game once for C.J. Beathard. Mullens has proven to at least be semi-capable in several opportunities filling in for the oft-injured Jimmy Garoppolo. It would not be a surprise to see Beathard get a series or two even if he doesn’t end up outright replacing Mullens.
Now for the next-level fun, there are literally no receivers left. Check out the section below for the in-depth analysis of the insanity.
Nobody at this position is on the COVID-19 list — yet. However, Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson are on the injured reserve and Tevin Coleman is already ruled out after promptly getting hurt last weekend upon returning from the injured reserve.
Jamycal Hasty will likely be the main running back, and we could see Kyle Juszczyk get more than his typical one or two looks per game from the fullback position. Jerick McKinnon has struggled with health and effectiveness, and he as received “in-game rest for tired legs” the last two weeks, which is not exactly inspiring for him seeing a heavy snap count. McKinnon could also be utilized out of the slot with so many wide receivers on the shelf.
Samuel, Aiyuk and Bourne are all on the COVID-19 list. George Kittle will be missing the next two months and potentially the rest of the season with a foot injury. What about Dante Pettis, you ask? Well, he was released by the 49ers on Tuesday after they were unable to trade him, and he was claimed off waivers by the Giants.
The most experienced option is going to be Trent Taylor, who played half the snaps last week and has 16 targets on the season. In three-plus seasons with San Francisco, he has played in 37 games with 116 targets for 78 catches and 722 yards. Richie James is mostly a return man, and he has played in just three games this season while dealing with a wrist injury. In his first two seasons by the bay, he did at least have 24 targets for 15 catches and 295 but no scores. On a positive note, he topped 1,300 receiving yards in his freshman and sophomore campaigns while at Middle Tennessee State with 20 total receiving touchdowns.
Turning to the practice squad, former Washington State Cougar River Cracraft is available, as is former Bear Kevin White. There is a chance someone could be signed such as Mohamed Sanu, who was cut by the team last month after Samuel was cleared for game action.
Kittle is out, so that means Ross Dwelley will be the main tight end option. Just for fun, there is a chance that Jordan Reed is activated from the injured reserve after dealing with a sprained knee. Because it is 2020, there is also a chance he will miss the rest of the season.
Green Bay has allowed just nine sacks about one per game, which is the second fewest in the league. There three turnovers (two interceptions, one fumble) are the lowest in the league.
Thursday Night Football DraftKings Showdown + FanDuel Single Game NFL DFS Strategy
The rankings below are best utilized for building out single-entry and three-max lineups and also for head-to-head and three-man formats. They provide a nice barometer for player value, but for those of you who are taking the MME approach, remember that correlation with your lineups is key. This means matching a receiver or two if you have a quarterback in the Captain/MVP slot. This also works conversely with pairing a Captain/MVP pass catcher with their signal-caller.
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EMac’s Week 9 Thursday Night Football DraftKings + FanDuel NFL DFS Rankings
Notable Inactives/Out: as expected GB Lazard, J.Williams, Dillon SF Bourne, Samuel, Coleman, Wilson, Aiyuk, Kittle, Garoppolo
Notable Actives/In: GB Aaron Jones SF Jordan Reed, Richie James, Kevin White, Charlie Woerner
Thursday Night Football Top 10 NFL DFS Picks
- Davante Adams: Hard to pass on the focal point of the Green Bay offense. Had receiving touchdowns of 5, 1 and 7 yards last week.
- Aaron Rodgers: At least most of the passing game is still intact for the future Hall of Famer.
- Nick Mullens: Yes, there is risk of being benched or ceding a series or two to Beathard, but we have the salary cap available.
- Jamycal Hasty: Fifth career game. He should see 15-20 total opportunities.
- Robert Tonyan: I am looking for stability, and this is one of the few options that meets that requirement.
- Dexter Williams/Aaron Jones: Assuming Jones is not active as expected, this is a reasonable ranking for Williams. UPDATE: still a GTD, GB is feeling optimistic about Jones playing tonight.
- Robbie Gould/Mason Crosby: Just know that Crosby has been dealing with a sore calf.
- Trent Taylor: Congratulations on the promotion, kid!
Allen Lazard: If active, he should be back to the second wide receiver option for Rodgers.UPDATE: early this afternoon it was announced that Allen Lazard would not suit up tonight.
- Ross Dwelley: He may be held into block, but he should at least be on the field for 70-80% of the snaps.
Thursday Night Football Secondary NFL DFS Picks
- Tyler Ervin: Will need a lucky touchdown to matter, but if Williams is ineffective, Ervin would be the last running back standing.
- Jerick McKinnon/Richie James: No idea what to expect from either guy at all.
- Green Bay D/ST: Facing a full complement of understudies tonight.
Thursday Night Football Lottery Tickets NFL DFS Picks
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: Move him ahead of Ervin if Lazard is not active.
- Kevin White: At least he has actual NFL experience as a receiver spanning several seasons.
- Jace Sternberger: A better option if Lazard is out, but it still wouldn’t change this ranking.
- Kyle Juszczyk: For what it’s worth, he received a career-high four carries in Week 7 rumbling for 18 yards and a score.
- River Cracraft: Go Cougs.
- Jordan Reed: I will be shocked if he plays more than one game the rest of the season.
- San Francisco D/ST: Over/under of combined sacks/turnovers in my opinion is 2.5, and I am taking the under.
- Marcedes Lewis, Charlie Woerner, Malik Taylor, Darrius Shepherd, John Lovett, Equanimeous St. Brown, Mohamed Sanu and anyone signed off the street: Time to go buy an actual lottery ticket.
Looking for more Week 9 NFL DFS picks content? We’ve got loads of DraftKings and FanDuel articles, data, cheat sheets and more on the Awesemo NFL home page, just click HERE.
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