Week 13 presents a 11-game slate for DFS players to attack. To gain leverage in GPPs, stacking is a strategy that every DFS player should use. Rostering a quarterback with one or more of his pass catchers gives lineups the upside it needs to have a chance at finishing near the top of the leaderboards. The NFL DFS advice below will evaluate how to utilize NFL DFS stacks for Week 13 DraftKings and FanDuel lineups by finding the top the stacking options from Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool. The Top Stacks Tool will break down the stack in terms of its overall projection of being the No. 1 stack of the week, the ownership of the quarterback, if it is a value or not and the overall leverage on the rest of the field.
Top NFL DFS Stacks for Week 13 on DraftKings + FanDuel
Top Stack: Los Angeles Rams
By a notable gap, the Rams are the highest-rated offense to stack for Week 13, according to Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool. Hosting the Jaguars, the Rams boast the second-highest implied team total on the slate (30 points), and this contest carries the fourth-highest total on the board (47.5 points). Jacksonville is giving up the third-most yards per attempt (7.5) and Matthew’s Stafford’s excellent 2021 campaign is guaranteed to continue in this superb spot. Stafford ranks fourth in yards per attempt (8.3), second in touchdowns passing (27) and fifth in DraftKings points per dropback (0.6). This season, Stafford has delivered 25.3 DraftKings when competing on his home turf.
As for stacking options, Cooper Kupp ranks third in target share (31.3%), first in red-zone targets (23), first in touchdowns receiving (10) and ranks second among all skill players in DraftKings points per game (27.9). Kupp has scored over 20 DraftKings points in eight of 11 games this season, and owns the highest ceiling on the slate, regardless of position, via Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool. In these past two games since Robert Woods (knee) went down for the season, Van Jefferson has obtained a 19.75% target share and has notably run a route on every single one of Stafford’s dropbacks. With this role, Jefferson has led the Rams with three red-zone targets and four targets greater than 20 yards. Finally, Odell Beckham Jr. showed some serious signs of life this past week against the Packers, catching five of his 10 targets for 81 yards and a touchdown, while running a route on 100% of Stafford’s dropbacks. This was very encouraging usage and hopefully a sign of more things to come. While both Beckham and Jefferson are great options, the latter has better appeal for GPPs this week, at slightly lower price tags and with less expected ownership on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Given that the Rams are the pass-heaviest offense in the NFL, ranking dead last in game script adjusted rush percentage according to Awesemo’s Advanced Stats, pairing two of these receivers with Stafford is a very sharp move for GPPs.
Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 26.2%
Awesemo QB Ownership Projection: 7.5%
Top Stack: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers rank second only to the Rams this week in Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool. Visiting the Falcons, Tampa Bay’s implied team total is the highest on the slate (30.5 points) and this tilt’s total is the largest on the board (50.5 points). The Buccaneers rank second to last in game script adjusted rush percentage and both Tampa Bay and Atlanta rank inside the top-10 in game script adjusted pace. Atlanta’s defense is the third-worst graded unit on PFF, and they have given up the fourth-most touchdowns passing (21), making this a beautiful spot for Tom Brady. He leads the NFL with 30 touchdowns passing this season, to go along with only nine interceptions. Prior to last week, Brady had thrown for multiple touchdowns in seven straight starts, and he is generating 24 DraftKings points per game when playing behind an implied team total of 30 points or higher since joining the Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay will remain without Antonio Brown (ankle, suspended) and in these past five contests with the veteran absent, Chris Godwin has led the Buccaneers with a 21.7% target share, including seven red-zone targets and two targets over 20 yards. Mike Evans on the other hand has garnered a 17% target share, including eight red-zone targets and five targets north of 20 yards. Both are strong plays this week, but at nearly the exact same cost on both sites, Evans is better in GPPs with lower ownership. Evans is currently tied with Kupp for the most touchdowns receiving this season (10) and his touchdown equity always gives him a higher ceiling than Godwin.
Rounding out Brady’s target tree is Rob Gronkowski. Since returning two weeks ago, Gronkowski has led the Buccaneers with a 22.2% target share with three red-zone targets, while running a route on 70% of Brady’s dropbacks. Excluding Week 8 when Gronkowski was only available for six total snaps, he has been targeted an elite 28% of his routes when Brown has been inactive this season. While his price tags on both DraftKings and FanDuel have risen quickly, Gronkowski is still too cheap for life without Brown, and is one of the best GPP targets on the slate, with most DFS players looking elsewhere at tight end after his recent price hike.
Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 16.3%
Awesemo QB Ownership: 11.7%
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Value Stack: Las Vegas Raiders
If looking for a cheaper offense to stack this weekend that still brings upside, the Raiders fit the bill. Taking on the Washington Football Team, Las Vegas’ implied team total is the seventh-highest on the slate (26.25 points). Furthermore, this matchup’s total ranks third on the slate (50 points) and the Raiders are only a 2.5-point favorite. In addition to this contest projecting as a shootout, Washington is yielding the fifth-most yards per attempt (7.4). Very quietly, Derek Carr has been great this season, ranking fourth in yards per attempt (8.3), with 17 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He has thrown for over 300 yards in six of 11 starts this season and owns a 19.3 DraftKings points per game career average when competing in a total of at least 50 points at home. Via Awesemo’s projections, Carr is the strongest quarterback value on the slate for DraftKings this week.
With Henry Ruggs released and now Darren Waller (knee) unlikely to play, Hunter Renfrow is Carr’s new No.1 weapon. With Ruggs away from the team and Waller only available for 24% of the snaps last week, Renfrow led the Raiders in routes and targets with 33 and nine, two of which were over 20 yards. With this opportunity, Renfrow has caught eight passes for a career-high 134 yards. While he is not a household name, Renfrow has been one of the most efficient wideouts in football this season, ranking fourth in reception percentage (81.2%) and eighth in DraftKings points per snap among all receivers (0.34). He should thrive as the Raiders’ alpha and is vastly underpriced for his expected role. After Waller exited, Zay Jones also saw encouraging usage last week. He ranked second on the team in routes (31) and targets (seven), including two targets greater than 20 yards. Additionally, DeSean Jackson saw an uptick in his workload, running a route on 53% of Carr’s dropbacks and hauling all three of his targets for 100 yards and a score. Combining Carr’s solid average depth of target that ranks eighth in the league (8.9) with Jackson’s unmatched downfield ability appears to be a strong match, and the deep threat absolutely needs to be considered at his low price points in this prime matchup. This season, Washington has surrendered the sixth-most yards (1,979) and fourth-most touchdowns to the wide receiver position (14).
Finally, with Waller expected to be inactive, Foster Moreau is certainly viable at his cheap salaries. When Waller sat out against the Eagles in Week 7, Moreau caught all six of his targets 60 yards and a touchdown, while running a route on 86% of Carr’s dropbacks. Priced at a near minimum $2,700 on DraftKings, Moreau is rating as the top tight end value on the slate.
Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 5.8%
Awesemo QB Ownership: 7.1%
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