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Top Week 15 NFL DFS Stacks for DraftKings + FanDuel Based on Awesemo’s Premium Top Stacks Tool




NFL DFS Stacks DraftKings FanDuel Lineup optimizer picks projections today tonight Week 15 daily fantasy football advice 2021 Los Angeles Rams

Week 15 presents an 11-game slate. To gain leverage in GPPs, stacking is a strategy that every DFS player should use. Rostering a quarterback with one or more of his pass catchers gives lineups the upside it needs to have a chance at finishing near the top of the leaderboards. The NFL DFS advice below will evaluate how to utilize NFL DFS stacks for Week 15 DraftKings and FanDuel lineups by finding the top the stacking options from Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool. The Top Stacks Tool will break down the stack in terms of its overall projection of being the No. 1 stack of the week, the ownership of the quarterback, if it is a value or not and the overall leverage on the rest of the field.

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Top NFL DFS Stacks for Week 15 on DraftKings + FanDuel

Top Stack: Buffalo Bills

Hosting the Panthers, the Bills sit atop Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool for Week 15.  Buffalo’s implied team total ranks second on the slate (28.25 points), and this game’s total is the third highest (44.5 points). According to Awesemo’s Advanced Stats, the Bills have been a pass first offense this season, ranking fourth to last in game script-adjusted run rate, and this should be an up-tempo matchup, with Carolina ranking seventh in game script-adjusted pace. This season, Josh Allen ranks fourth in touchdown passing (28) and has been active on the ground, ranking third in carries (87) and rushing yards (53) among quarterbacks. His dual-threat ability was on full display this past week against the Bucs. Allen threw for over 300 yards and a pair of touchdowns, while also rushing for 109 yards and a touchdown on 10 carries, for a career-best 42.2 DraftKings points. He owns a career average of 26 DraftKings points per game when playing behind an implied team total of at least 25 points, and Allen brings the highest quarterback ceiling on the slate, according to Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool.

As for stacking options, Stefon Diggs is always best choice. He leads the Bills with a 25.2% target share, ranks third in the league in red-zone targets (22), sixth in targets over 20 yards (25) and second in air yards (1,410). With Emmanuel Sanders (knee) only available for 32% of the snaps last week, Diggs racked up 13 targets. Sanders is expected to be inactive this Sunday, almost guaranteeing double-digit targets for Diggs. With Sanders exiting last week, Cole Beasley came alive. After garnering five targets or less in four straight games, the slot receiver saw 11 targets against the Bucs, nine of which he hauled in for 64 yards, while running a route on 87% of Allen’s dropbacks. Beasley has caught 81% of his targets this season, and is a strong consideration on DraftKings, where players are rewarded a full point per reception. Via Awesemo’s projections, Beasley is rating as a top-10 receiver value on DraftKings this week. Dawson Knox also needs to be on your radar for Bills’ stacks. The tight end led the Bills in routes this past week (56), catching seven of his nine targets for 60 yards and a touchdown. Knox ranks second on the team with 14 red-zone targets and has found the end zone eight times this season in only 11 games.

Lastly, if looking for a cheaper player to stack with Allen, look no further than Gabriel Davis. With Sanders barley playing last week, Davis caught five of eight targets for 43 yards and a touchdown, while running a route on 81% of Allen’s dropbacks. Four of these targets for Davis came in the red zone, and the wideout has been extremely efficient this season, ranking fourth in DraftKings points per touch among receivers (3.73). Particularly on DraftKings, where Davis is only $3,700, he is very underpriced for his upside and is rating as a top-five value on the slate.

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Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 14.3%

Awesemo QB Ownership: 11%

Top Stack: Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals only trail the Bills in Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool for Week 15. Visiting the Lions, Arizona’s implied team total is the highest on the slate (30 points) and this tilt’s total is also the largest on the board (47.5 points). The Lions are the worst graded defense on PFF and they are allowing the highest yards per attempt in the league (7.8). This season, Kyler Murray leads the NFL in yards per attempt (8.7) and completion percentage (71.6%). Plus, he ranks fourth in carries (66) and third in rushing touchdowns (5) at the quarterback position. For his career, Murray is averaging 26.3 DraftKings PPG when the Cardinals have presented an implied team total of 25 points or more and in this dream matchup, his ceiling ranks second only to Allen among quarterbacks, via Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool.

Thursday, Arizona received the unfortunate news that Deandre Hopkins (knee) will miss the remainder of the regular season. With the receiver unavailable, Christian Kirk, A.J. Green and Rondale Moore will all see significant boosts to their roles. This season, Green has led the Cardinals in routes (375) and yards per reception (15.6), and ranks second to Hopkins in target share (17.3%) and redzone targets (12). Also, Green is tied with Hopkins with 15 targets greater than 20 yards. Christian Kirk has handled nearly the same target share as Green at 17.2%, with six redzone targets and 14 targets over 20 yards. Lastly, Moore has garnered a 15.2% target share, including seven redzone targets and has led this receiving corps with a 83.6% catch rate. Of this trio, Kirk is the most prolific receiver, and his projection and ceiling are the highest of the group, according to Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool. However, Green is cheaper on both sites and slated for nearly half the ownership, certainly making him an appealing target for large tournaments.

While Murray is projected to be one of the most owned quarterback this Sunday, combining him with one or two of these receivers is guaranteed to make you contrarian.

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Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 10.2%

Awesemo QB Ownership: 13.2%

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Value Stack: Miami Dolphins

If looking for a cheaper offense to stack for Week 15, the Dolphins stand out against the Jets. New York is the second worst graded defense on PFF, and they are giving up the highest yards per attempt in the league (7.8). In this spot, the Dolphins present the fifth highest total on the slate (25.25 points). Miami has relied on their passing game this season, ranking fifth to last in game script-adjusted run rate and Tua Tagovailoa is averaging a solid 7.1 yards per attempt, while ranking second in completion percentage (70.9%). In the seven games he has started and completed this season, Tagovailoa has thrown for multiple touchdowns on four occasions and in this prime spot against the Jets, the Alabama product is rating as the No. 1 quarterback value available on DraftKings this week.

In the seven games Tagovailoa has completed this season, Jaylen Waddle has been his top weapon, amassing a 24.5% target share, including seven red-zone targets and six targets north of 20 yards, while leading the team in route rate (88%). With this role, the rookie has produced 21 DraftKings points per game. Before the Dolphins’ bye this past weekend, DeVante Parker (shoulder) made his return from a four-game absence and caught all five of his targets for 62 yards against the Giants. In the three games Parker has suited up for with Tagovailoa under center, the receiver has handled a 22.6% target share, while running a route on 80% of Tagovailoa’s dropbacks. Parker contributed 13.3 DraftKings points per game in these games and has a top-three boom score for DraftKings this week, regardless of position, via Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool. Finally, Mike Gesicki needs to be considered for Dolphins’ stacks. With Tagovailoa, Gesicki has obtained a 18% target share, including five red-zone targets and four targets greater than 20 yards, with an 80% route rate. While his floor is not the safest, this is a plus spot for Gesicki, with the Jets yielding the fifth most yards to tight ends (828).

Overall, all the Dolphins are rating as strong value plays against the defensively inept Jets, and stacking this offense should not be a common strategy in GPPs.

Update: Unfortunately, Waddle was placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list Thursday. Still, the rookie has a chance to suit up if he can test negative twice in a 24-hour window before Sunday’s matchup. However, if Waddle does end up inactive, Parker and Gesicki would see large upgrades to their roles, and be excellent values at their depressed salaries. Additionally, Albert Wilson should operate as the No.2 receiver in this offense and would be worth a flier in this terrific spot against the Jets. 

Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 6.7%

Awesemo QB Ownership: 10%

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We also have DraftKings showdown projections and NFL DFS showdown ownership projections. Take a look at our depth charts, starting lineups and inactives list. If you’re interested in other NFL DFS strategy for multiple game slates, head over to NFL ownership projections, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL daily fantasy football rankings, and NFL DFS stacking. View our FanDuel NFL DFS rankings and our DraftKings NFL DFS rankings.
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