Week 4 presents another 13-game slate that includes five totals above 50 points. To gain leverage in GPPs, stacking is a strategy that every DFS player should use. Rostering a quarterback with one or more of his pass catchers gives lineups the upside it needs to have a chance at finishing near the top of the leaderboards. The NFL DFS advice below will evaluate how to utilize NFL DFS stacks for Week 4 DraftKings and FanDuel lineups by finding the top the stacking options from Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool. The Top Stacks Tool will break down the stack in terms of its overall projection of being the No. 1 stack of the week, the ownership of the quarterback, if it is a value or not and the overall leverage on the rest of the field.
Top NFL DFS Stacks for Week 4 on DraftKings + FanDuel
Top Stack: Kansas City Chiefs
Heading to Philadelphia in desperate need of a win, the Chiefs sit atop Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool for Week 4. Vegas currently gives this matchup the second-highest total on the slate (54.5 points), and Kansas City boasts the second-highest implied team total (30.75). Ranking sixth-to-last in script-adjusted rush rate per Awesemo’s Advanced Stats, the Chiefs have been one of the most pass-heavy offenses in the NFL this season. Despite the 1-2 record, Patrick Mahomes has still been an outstanding fantasy asset, producing at least three touchdowns in all three games. Furthermore, he ranks 11th in yards per attempt (8.5) and fifth in DraftKings points per dropback (0.73). The Eagles have been tough against the pass, ranking ninth in opponent yards per attempt (6), but Mahomes is matchup-proof in this type of game environment. Mahomes is averaging 28.4 DraftKings points per game in totals of 50 points or greater for his career and has eclipsed 30 DraftKings points in 42% of those games.
Coming off back-to-back weak performances, this is an elite opportunity to buy low on Tyreek Hill. The prolific receiver has run a route on 90% of Mahomes dropbacks this season, while obtaining a 25.2% target share. Plus, Hill ranks 13th in the NFL in air yards (334) and ranks third in targets over 20 yards (7). Travis Kelce owns the same exact target share as Hill this season, ranks fifth in yards after the catch (151) and sixth in touchdowns (3) for all skill players. With at least 100 yards receiving in seven of his last 10, Kelce is an extremely safe investment against this Eagles defense has given up the seventh most catches to tight ends this season (20). As always, double stacking Mahomes with Hill and Kelce gives your lineup and enormous ceiling and is a strategy that should not be too common in large tournaments.
If looking to be contrarian with a Chiefs stack, Demarcus Robinson makes sense as a GPP dart, assuming newly signed Josh Gordon is inactive. Last week, Robinson ran a route on 37 of 50 Mahomes dropbacks, while Mecole Hardman only ran 31. This could be a total outlier, but at cheaper salaries and with much lower ownership projections, along with a higher ADOT on the season (12.3), Robinson is the better gamble of the two receivers.
Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 18.6%
Awesemo QB Ownership Projection: 11.3%
Top Stack: Buffalo Bills
Per Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool, the Bills are right behind the Chiefs for the top stack of Week 4. While Buffalo is a huge 15.5-point favorite against the Texans this Sunday, their implied team total is the highest on the slate at 31.25 points, which is the largest team total Josh Allen has ever played behind. This season, the Bills rank first in game script adjusted pace, while the Texans rank eighth in the metric, creating an uptempo environment. Houston is yielding the 11th highest yard per attempt (7.6) and their defense is the eighth worst graded unit on PFF. Allen broke the slate with a 40.22 DraftKings point outburst against the Washington Football Team last week, and while his yards per attempt are down from a year ago (6.4), the dual threat quarterback has been active on the ground. Allen ranks fourth in carries for quarterbacks this season (18), nine of which have come in the red zone, which is the most at his position and ranks ninth among all players. Combine this immense rushing opportunity with his passing volume, and Allen holds the highest quarterback projection on the slate, per Awesemo’s projections.
While the results have not been overly compelling, the usage has still been great for Stefon Diggs. He has run a route on 91% of Allen’s dropbacks and is leading the Bills with a 26.5% target share, including four red-zone targets. Diggs also leads his team in air yards (409) and has seen seven targets over 20 yards. Emmanuel Sanders has also garnered seven targets greater than 20 yards and has run a route on 89% of Allen’s dropbacks with a 16.5% target share. On both DraftKings and FanDuel, Sanders is severely underpriced for his role and upside. Additionally, Cole Beasley’s price tags are just too low right now. The slot receiver has run route on 86% of Allen’s dropbacks and has amassed a strong 24.8% target share, including a team-high six red-zone targets. Via Awesemo’s projections, Beasley is a top-10 wide receiver value for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Including the winning lineup in DraftKings Millionaire Maker, we saw Allen double stacks with Sanders and Beasley take down tournaments last week and pairing the quarterback with two of these wideouts is absolutely viable again this Sunday. Especially when you consider Allen and his three main receivers are all slated for modest ownership, with most DFS players scared off by the large spread of this game.
Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 18.4%
Awesemo QB Ownership: 7.3%
Value Stack: Denver Broncos
The Broncos are an interesting inexpensive stack that is guaranteed to be contrarian. Hosting the Ravens, Denver carries a 23-point implied team total and this contest’s total is up to 45 points. Also, the Broncos are only one-point favorites. Through the first three weeks, the Broncos have been dominant, outscoring their opponents 76-26. They have rarely been trailing, but still have been a pass heavy offense, ranking seventh to last in game script adjusted rush percentage per Awesemo’s Advanced Stats. Now, competing in the smallest spread on the slate, the high pass volume should continue for Denver against this Ravens defense that has allowed the sixth highest yard per attempt this season. Thus far, Teddy Bridgewater has been exceptional as the Broncos new starting quarterback. He ranks ninth in yards per attempt (8.7), ranks second in completion percentage (76.8%) and has yet to throw an interception. Bridgewater has also rushed it 11 times, including six red-zone carries, two of which have come inside the 5-yard line. He has the potential for three or more touchdowns in this projected nail biter and is forecasted for less than 3% ownership on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Without a doubt, Cortland Sutton is the top player to stack with Bridgewater. These past two weeks with Jerry Jeudy (ankle) on IR, Sutton has run a route on 88% of Bridgewater’s dropbacks and has handled a team-high 29.3% target share. Also during this timeframe, Sutton has led the Broncos in air yards (284) and has seen five targets north of 20 yards. On top of Jeudy, Denver just lost K.J. Hamler (knee) for the season last week, solidifying Tim Patrick as the No. 2 receiver in this offense. This past week, he ran a route on 80% of Bridgewater’s dropbacks and saw a 20.83% target share, including three targets over 20 yards, all of which Patrick caught. Lastly, Noah Fant has to be considered for Broncos stacks. The tight end has run a route on 70% of Bridgewater’s dropbacks since Jeudy went down with a 15.5% target share, including a pair of red-zone targets. Facing a Ravens defense that has surrendered the most receptions and yards to tight ends this season, Fant has much better upside than his low salary suggests.
According to Awesemo’s ownership projections, both Patrick and Fant are projected for sub 5% ownership on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 2.6%
Awesemo QB Ownership: 2.8%
Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!
[NFLPAGE]Week 4 presents another 13-game slate that includes five totals above 50 points. To gain leverage in GPPs, stacking is a strategy that every DFS player should use. Rostering a quarterback with one or more of his pass catchers gives lineups the upside it needs to have a chance at finishing near the top of the leaderboards. The NFL DFS advice below will evaluate how to utilize NFL DFS stacks for Week 4 DraftKings and FanDuel lineups by finding the top the stacking options from Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool. The Top Stacks Tool will break down the stack in terms of its overall projection of being the No. 1 stack of the week, the ownership of the quarterback, if it is a value or not and the overall leverage on the rest of the field.
Top NFL DFS Stacks for Week 4 on DraftKings + FanDuel
Top Stack: Kansas City Chiefs
Heading to Philadelphia in desperate need of a win, the Chiefs sit atop Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool for Week 4. Vegas currently gives this matchup the second-highest total on the slate (54.5 points), and Kansas City boasts the second-highest implied team total (30.75). Ranking sixth-to-last in script-adjusted rush rate per Awesemo’s Advanced Stats, the Chiefs have been one of the most pass-heavy offenses in the NFL this season. Despite the 1-2 record, Patrick Mahomes has still been an outstanding fantasy asset, producing at least three touchdowns in all three games. Furthermore, he ranks 11th in yards per attempt (8.5) and fifth in DraftKings points per dropback (0.73). The Eagles have been tough against the pass, ranking ninth in opponent yards per attempt (6), but Mahomes is matchup-proof in this type of game environment. Mahomes is averaging 28.4 DraftKings points per game in totals of 50 points or greater for his career and has eclipsed 30 DraftKings points in 42% of those games.
Coming off back-to-back weak performances, this is an elite opportunity to buy low on Tyreek Hill. The prolific receiver has run a route on 90% of Mahomes dropbacks this season, while obtaining a 25.2% target share. Plus, Hill ranks 13th in the NFL in air yards (334) and ranks third in targets over 20 yards (7). Travis Kelce owns the same exact target share as Hill this season, ranks fifth in yards after the catch (151) and sixth in touchdowns (3) for all skill players. With at least 100 yards receiving in seven of his last 10, Kelce is an extremely safe investment against this Eagles defense has given up the seventh most catches to tight ends this season (20). As always, double stacking Mahomes with Hill and Kelce gives your lineup and enormous ceiling and is a strategy that should not be too common in large tournaments.
If looking to be contrarian with a Chiefs stack, Demarcus Robison makes sense as a GPP dart, assuming newly signed Josh Gordon is inactive. Last week, Robinson ran a route on 37 of 50 Mahomes dropbacks, while Mecole Hardman only ran 31. This could be a total outlier, but at cheaper salaries and with much lower ownership projections, along with a higher ADOT on the season (12.3), Robinson is the better gamble of the two receivers.
Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 18.6%
Awesemo QB Ownership Projection: 11.3%
Top Stack: Buffalo Bills
Per Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool, the Bills are right behind the Chiefs for the top stack of Week 4. While Buffalo is a huge 15.5-point favorite against the Texans this Sunday, their implied team total is the highest on the slate at 31.25 points, which is the largest team total Josh Allen has ever played behind. This season, the Bills rank first in game script adjusted pace, while the Texans rank eighth in the metric, creating an uptempo environment. Houston is yielding the 11th highest yard per attempt (7.6) and their defense is the eighth worst graded unit on PFF. Allen broke the slate with a 40.22 DraftKings point outburst against the Washington Football Team last week, and while his yards per attempt are down from a year ago (6.4), the dual threat quarterback has been active on the ground. Allen ranks fourth in carries for quarterbacks this season (18), nine of which have come in the red zone, which is the most at his position and ranks ninth among all players. Combine this immense rushing opportunity with his passing volume, and Allen holds the highest quarterback projection on the slate, per Awesemo’s projections.
While the results have not been overly compelling, the usage has still been great for Stefon Diggs. He has run a route on 91% of Allen’s dropbacks and is leading the Bills with a 26.5% target share, including four red-zone targets. Diggs also leads his team in air yards (409) and has seen seven targets over 20 yards. Emmanuel Sanders has also garnered seven targets greater than 20 yards and has run a route on 89% of Allen’s dropbacks with a 16.5% target share. On both DraftKings and FanDuel, Sanders is severely underpriced for his role and upside. Additionally, Cole Beasley’s price tags are just too low right now. The slot receiver has run route on 86% of Allen’s dropbacks and has amassed a strong 24.8% target share, including a team-high six red-zone targets. Via Awesemo’s projections, Beasley is a top-10 wide receiver value for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Including the winning lineup in DraftKings Millionaire Maker, we saw Allen double stacks with Sanders and Beasley take down tournaments last week and pairing the quarterback with two of these wideouts is absolutely viable again this Sunday. Especially when you consider Allen and his three main receivers are all slated for modest ownership, with most DFS players scared off by the large spread of this game.
Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 18.4%
Awesemo QB Ownership: 7.3%
Value Stack: Denver Broncos
The Broncos are an interesting inexpensive stack that is guaranteed to be contrarian. Hosting the Ravens, Denver carries a 23-point implied team total and this contest’s total is up to 45 points. Also, the Broncos are only one-point favorites. Through the first three weeks, the Broncos have been dominant, outscoring their opponents 76-26. They have rarely been trailing, but still have been a pass heavy offense, ranking seventh to last in game script adjusted rush percentage per Awesemo’s Advanced Stats. Now, competing in the smallest spread on the slate, the high pass volume should continue for Denver against this Ravens defense that has allowed the sixth highest yard per attempt this season. Thus far, Teddy Bridgewater has been exceptional as the Broncos new starting quarterback. He ranks ninth in yards per attempt (8.7), ranks second in completion percentage (76.8%) and has yet to throw an interception. Bridgewater has also rushed it 11 times, including six red-zone carries, two of which have come inside the 5-yard line. He has the potential for three or more touchdowns in this projected nail biter and is forecasted for less than 3% ownership on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Without a doubt, Cortland Sutton is the top player to stack with Bridgewater. These past two weeks with Jerry Jeudy (ankle) on IR, Sutton has run a route on 88% of Bridgewater’s dropbacks and has handled a team-high 29.3% target share. Also during this timeframe, Sutton has led the Broncos in air yards (284) and has seen five targets north of 20 yards. On top of Jeudy, Denver just lost K.J. Hamler (knee) for the season last week, solidifying Tim Patrick as the No. 2 receiver in this offense. This past week, he ran a route on 80% of Bridgewater’s dropbacks and saw a 20.83% target share, including three targets over 20 yards, all of which Patrick caught. Lastly, Noah Fant has to be considered for Broncos stacks. The tight end has run a route on 70% of Bridgewater’s dropbacks since Jeudy went down with a 15.5% target share, including a pair of red-zone targets. Facing a Ravens defense that has surrendered the most receptions and yards to tight ends this season, Fant has much better upside than his low salary suggests.
According to Awesemo’s ownership projections, both Patrick and Fant are projected for sub 5% ownership on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 2.6%
Awesemo QB Ownership: 2.8%
Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!
[NFLPAGE]
