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Top Stacks: Week 14 NFL DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel Based on Awesemo’s Premium Tool

Matt Gajewski



Yahoo NFL DFS Picks today tonight free expert daily fantasy football rankings ownership projections optimal lineup optimizer tonight Week 11 Monday Night FOotball Giants vs. Buccaneers tonight MIke Evans Tom Brady

NFL DFS Week 14 has finally arrived, and it’s time to talk strategy. Stacking a quarterback with one of more of his pass catchers provides a solid way to add upside to a daily fantasy football lineup. With Week 14 offering a full slate of games, here are a few top stacks among the NFL DFS picks worth considering on the main slate. Part of the selection process for these picks comes from analyzing Awesemo’s top stacks tool for Week 14 for NFL DFS on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

NFL DFS Top Stacks for Week 14 on DraftKings + FanDuel

Top Stack: Kansas City Chiefs

Back on the main slate ahead of Week 14, the Kansas City Chiefs enter the week with the third-highest implied team total and the best chance of being the week’s top stack. The Chiefs face the Miami Dolphins in a game totaled at 50.5 points, and are favored by a touchdown. After facing the Broncos, Jets and Bengals in three-straight games, Miami’s defense may be slightly overrated ahead of this contest.

The front-runner for the MVP again this year, Patrick Mahomes completes 68.3% of his passes for 8.2 yards per attempt. Both of these marks rank inside the top 10. Mahomes also has five straight games of at least 300 yards passing. The Dolphins rank middle of the pack with 6.8 yards allowed per pass attempt. However, their recent slate of opponents skews their defensive numbers in their favor. Ultimately, matchups matter very little to Mahomes, as he continues to play elite football.

As for stacking options, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce stand out above the field. Kelce fills the dreadful tight end slot with a 24.2% target share. Already with 1,114 receiving yards this year, Kelce will break George Kittle‘s single-season receiving record at the position with even modest play down the stretch. Similarly, Hill has a 24.2% target share and at least 10 targets in each of his last four games. Sammy Watkins return also adds a new wrinkle to Kansas City stacks. Watkins enters the fold at a much cheaper price point, making contrarian Kansas City stacks possible.

Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 21.4%

Awesemo QB Ownership Projection: 12.4%

Value: 14.6 (highest)

Leverage: 9.0%

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Top Stack: Green Bay Packers

Another week, another appearance in the top stacks tool for the Green Bay Packers. The team has a slate-leading 31.5-point implied team total in Week 14. As it stands, the Packers are 8.5-point favorites over the Lions in a game totaled at 54.5 points. Detroit has now allowed at least 30 points in back-to-back games, including to the Bears last week. With the Packers pacing the NFC North, Green Bay is a top stacking option on the Week 14 main slate.

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Having a career resurgence, Rodgers is completing 68.9% of his passes for 8.2 yards per attempts. Like Mahomes, both of these totals rank inside the top 10 at the quarterback position. Rodgers also already has five 300-yard passing efforts under his belt and another four contests above 280 yards passing. Detroit’s 7.6 yards allowed per pass attempt ranks in the bottom five of the NFL.

As for stacking options, Davante Adams stands out as the clear alpha within the offense. Adams holds a 33.4% target share, along with 37.5% of the team’s air yards. With at least nine targets in every healthy game this year, Adams remains an elite option. Behind Adams, Allen Lazard has 14 total target since returning from injury. While less comfortable, he provides a contrarian pivot in a solid game environment. Finally, Robert Tonyan also fills a horrible tight end position, while correlating with Rodgers. Tonyan now has exactly five target in three straight games for Green Bay.

Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 12.6%

Awesemo QB Ownership Projection: 9.7%

Value: 8.4 (second-highest)

Leverage: 2.9%

Value Stack: Tampa Bay

For those looking at cheaper contrarian stacks, Tampa Bay provides similar upside to the stacks mentioned above. The Buccaneers will face the Vikings as 6.5-point favorites in a game totaled at 52.5 points. With Minnesota continuing to struggle with pass defense, Tampa Bay stacks may come in under-owned on the Week 14 main slate.

Playing serviceable football considering his advanced age, Tom Brady currently completes 64.8% of his passes for 7.0 yards per attempt. While Brady himself doesn’t present as much upside as Rodgers and Mahomes, he enters the fold at a cheaper price point on DraftKings and FanDuel. Still capable of big games, Brady has now eclipsed 300 yards passing in two of his last three games.

As for stacking options, Chris Godwin, Mike Evans and Antonio Brown all present quality options. Godwin’s 19.9% target share leads the team, but Evans has at least nine targets in three straight games. Brown’s targets are more volatile, but he also has a 17.8% target share in healthy games this season. At tight end, Rob Gronkowski also has at least six targets in three of his last four games. With a multitude of options, Tampa Bay stacks look solid on the Week 14 DFS main slate.

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Awesemo Top Stack Projection: 5.6%

Awesemo QB Ownership Projection: 5.3%

Value: 4.5 (second-highest)

Leverage: 0.3%

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Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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