PrizePicks provides a big list of stats and fantasy points, and users can choose for which bets they want to make a prediction. Stringing together a few picks can pay out up to 10 times the entry fee. Users are even able to combine picks across different sports. The only rule is they must make picks for players on at least two different teams.
For the sake of this article, we will take you through three of the best NFL PrizePicks futures predictions to make for the 2021 NFL season.
PrizePicks NFL Fantasy: 2021 NFL Futures
It is important to note that, much like odds that update throughout the day, the player totals at PrizePicks are subject to change. So if you like these NFL fantasy picks below, it is wise to jump on them quickly.
Nick Chubb: Under 1350.5 Yards Rushing
This line seems egregiously high based on the makeup of the Browns’ offense at the moment. Only two running backs, Derrick Henry and Dalvin Cook, have rushing lines higher than Chubb’s, and those two play in offenses that have nothing even remotely resembling the time share Chubb has with Kareem Hunt. Granted, had Chubb played a full 16-game schedule last season he would have hit the total comfortably while sharing a large number of touches with Hunt. But his health is a major factor in this as well; Chubb has some history of injury dating back to his college days, so it is not unreasonable to think he could face some hiccups in 2021 like he did in 2020.
The bigger factors, however, are Hunt’s increasing role and further confidence in Baker Mayfield. Hunt’s time in Cleveland last year was quite successful, and he figures to be on the field at least as much as he was in 2020 when he and Chubb had a near 50-50 snap split from Week 10 on. And as for Mayfield, he took a legitimate step as a passer last year, especially late in the season while he was entirely without Odell Beckham. Now with Beckham back, the Browns may look to open it up a bit more, which may cut down Chubb’s rushing attempts a bit. So while Chubb’s ridiculous efficiency keeps this line in play, the volume is tough to get to.
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Carson Wentz: Over 3850.5 Yards Passing
Wentz has not been a good quarterback for a few years now, but there is reason to believe his passing volume could tick up considerably in Year 1 with the Colts. Yes, his shaky injury history and generally poor play means he has only hit this line once in his career, and last year he was on pace to fall well shy of the mark had he not lost the starting job. However, Philip Rivers, a year after looking completely washed, saw his interception number drop from 20 to 11, his completion percentage jump 2 percentage points and his sack percentage also dip by 2 percentage points. Wentz’s issues last year were primarily terrible decision making and taking too many sacks, the very things Frank Reich largely beat out of Rivers last season. Wentz will be coming to a team with a slightly more established receiver corps, a far more establish offensive line (assuming health) and a good running game to keep drives alive. Those are the ingredients to turning a bruised quarterback into a complete one again.
The big caveat with this pick is that the Colts have some motivation to sitting Wentz should he underperform. If Wentz plays 75% of snaps, or 70% and the Colts make the playoffs, the second-round pick they traded for him become a first-rounder. However, the Colts have no one waiting in the wings at quarterback that they would be in a hurry to give reps, and barring catastrophic results, they should be in the playoff hunt enough to keep Wentz at the helm. Even in a mediocre 2019 season Wentz went over this total, and he was on pace to do so comfortably in 2017 and 2018 had he not been derailed by injury. Betting on health with Wentz may be a fool’s errand, but his career has largely been productive from a volume standpoint when he has been on the field. With a better situation around him, the over here is a risky but worthwhile play.
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