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NFL Matchups: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals Fantasy Football Preview

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Make parlays using Awesemo's NFL Sports Betting Model to maximize your profits on football parlays for Week 13 on Sunday, December 5, 2021.

This a snippet of Adam Pfeifer’s NFL matchups column, previewing the Seattle Seahawks & Arizona Cardinals for Fantasy Football Lineups. Fantasy rosters needed protective spray because players were bit hard by the injury bug in Week 3. Multiple backup quarterbacks made starts, and running backs and wide receivers all suffered injuries this past weekend, with a handful of key offensive linemen also going down. As a result, we missed on plenty in this article, but we hit on plenty, as well. Back on the horse. With that in mind, let’s dig into some NFL matchups and NFL game breakdowns for your Week 4 Fantasy Football Lineups, with thoughts on Tyler Lockett & Kyler Murray.

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Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals 

Total: 48

Line: SEA -5

Seahawks passing game

Hopefully you took a picture last week because you may not ever see Russell Wilson attempt 50 passes in a game again. He had a huge fantasy outing in garbage time effort, throwing for 406 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 51 yards and two more scores. It was his first time scoring a rushing touchdown in a regular season game since Week 12 of the 2017 season. Wilson’s volume is clearly coming down this week and he definitely won’t attempt 30 passes in the fourth quarter again. However, his efficiency could be great against arguably the worst defense in the NFL.

The Cardinals just allowed four touchdowns to Kyle Allen a week ago and are now coughing up 0.67 fantasy points per pass attempt, tied for the third-highest mark in the league. You also have the pace factor, as the Cardinals lead the NFL in average seconds per play in neutral game script (26.4), while Seattle ranks 31st at 34.5. Wilson continues to take plenty of shots, averaging a healthy 6.3 deep attempts per game, while the Cardinals have allowed the fourth-most pass plays of 20 yards or more (15) to go along with 12.3 yards per completion, the seventh-worst mark in the league. Consider Wilson a top-five option this week and a prime target in cash and GPP at his price tag.

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After seeing just two targets in Week 1, Tyler Lockett has gone nuts over the last two weeks. During that span, Lockett has hauled in 21-of-26 targets for 233 yards and a touchdown and is now sporting a healthy 28 percent target share through three weeks. Lockett continues to get the best matchup each week, as Seattle is lining him up in the slot 72.6 percent of the time this season, which puts him on linebackers at times. That, my friends, is what we call a mismatch. It certainly looks like Lockett is going to be a top-12 fantasy wideout the rest of the way and against a Cardinals team that plays fast and allows a ton of big plays, you have to love his potential to find continued success.

D.K. Metcalf has seen way more consistent usage than I thought he would in his rookie year, seeing at least six targets in every game. His role in this offense is to run streaks down the field and haul in contested passes but when you are playing with arguably the most accurate deep passer in the NFL, there is value to that. Metcalf is averaging 24.2 yards per catch, the second-highest mark in football, while his 18.6 aDOT is 10th-highest among all receivers. He’ll line up against the 5’11” Byron Murphy, who is allowing 2.50 fantasy points per target this season. Even with Seattle’s pass attempts going down this week, Metcalf has GPP-winning upside in this matchup.

Tight end Will Dissly will be the chalk at tight end this week, which shows you where we are at the position. Dissly has now scored in consecutive weeks and gets the premiere matchup in all of fantasy. The Cardinals have allowed five tight end touchdowns already this season to go along with a whopping 319 receiving yards to the position. Jordan Hicks has been just dreadful in coverage this season, coughing up 12 catches for 157 yards, one touchdown and a 132.5 passer rating. We might even see more playing time from Dissly with backup Nick Vannett now in Pittsburgh.

Seahawks running game

The biggest question of the week: will Chris Carson hold onto the football? He’s lost a fumble in every game this season and despite the ball security issues, Seattle is still showing faith in Carson. It could just be coach speak and Carson could go to the bench but we may not have to worry about it this weekend, as Rashaad Penny, who missed last week’s game with a hamstring injury, still isn’t practicing. If Penny can’t play, you feel great about Carson keeping his starting job, and it would keep him in the top 15 mix among running backs. Arizona is coughing up the third-most rushing yards per game (157) and nearly five yards per carry, so this matchup isn’t just beneficial for the passing game. If Penny ends up playing, you have to move Carson down towards the RB25 range.

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Cardinals passing game

Kyler Murray had a tremendous first half last weekend but fell off a cliff in the second quarter. He finished the game with just 173 passing yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions, only averaging four yards per attempt. Murray took a lot of bad sacks in this game and was running for his life, though it was the first time we’ve seen him run at all, rushing for 69 yards on the day. That can tap his full fantasy potential, while the pass-happy Cardinals offense has given him strong volume. Murray currently leads the league in pass attempts (137), averaging 45.7 per game. Arizona is calling pass 73.2 percent of the time, the highest rate in the NFL. The Seahawks are the definition of an average defense, ranking 15th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, 13th in yards per attempt and 14th in yards per completion. I don’t love his price tag in daily formats but Murray is still a back-end QB1 in seasonal leagues.

With the Cardinals running four-wide sets more than any team in the league, both Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk have had massive floors. Kirk is sixth in the league in targets (29), while Fitzgerald is eighth (28), as the pass-happy nature of this offense has helped both receivers get plenty of looks. And because they are running so many four-wide sets, Fitzgerald and Kirk are first and second in the NFL in routes run, giving them such a high floor every single week. Kirk has yet to get into the end zone but it is only a matter of time when you are seeing so much involvement in the passing game. Both of these guys have immense floors and are top-30 fantasy wideouts until further notice.

Cardinals running game

David Johnson’s total numbers are a bit skewed because he missed a handful of drives in that Week 2 game. You still like the 17 targets and 13 receptions, though they aren’t targeting him down the field outside of his touchdown catch in Week 1. Even in positive game scripts, the Cardinals just don’t have any interest in running the football right now, which means you have to be playing Johnson on a full PPR site or he becomes way less appealing. Johnson is now tied for the league lead among running backs in routes run (97), which makes him a very solid option at just $6,800 on DK. Seattle is allowing 5.7 receptions per game to opposing running backs this season, the seventh-most in football.

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