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Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers (Wembley Stadium) -6.5 / 45.5

Recently the games in London have seen an uptick in offense (scoring and yards) though they have also been rather one-sided, though not always turning out as expected.

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2017 London Games

Week 3: JAX 44 vs BAL 7 – Wembley Stadium

Week 4: NO 20 vs MIA 0 – Wembley Stadium

Week 7: LAR 33 vs ARZ 0 – Twickenham Stadium

Week 8: MIN 33 vs CLE 16 – Twickenham Stadium

2018 London Games

Week 6: SEA 27 vs OAK 3 – Wembley Stadium

We saw the Titans allow 11 sacks to the Baltimore Ravens IN TENNESSEE?!  Even with the Chargers defense dinged up, they could be on the better end of a lopsided affair.  The Chargers  played in Cleveland last weekend and did not return to Los Angeles before starting their trip.  As mentioned, the Titans were at home – last weekend we saw the Raiders and Seahawks travelling from the West Coast to London.  Just some perspective.

 

Tennessee Titans 19.5 implied point total

Quarterback

Marcus Mariota has passed for 117 and 129 yards over the last two games and those are his 2nd and 3rd best outings other than Week 3 when he threw for both of his touchdowns along with 344 passing yards, adding 46 rushing yards and his only ground score of the season against the Eagles.  More often than not, I will profess my love for quarterbacks in the single game format as we only have two of them, but just not in this matchup.

If you needed any other convincing, the Chargers have allowed just two opposing signal-callers to top 256+ yards this season and over their last three games they have allowed four aerial scores, but collected five interceptions.

Running Back

There is of course a timeshare between Dion Lewisand Derrick Henry though it has been a 2-to-1 snap advantage favoring Lewis over the last three weeks.  While Henry does have 11 red zone looks on the season, they have decrease to zero last week, but he did have four in each of the two prior contests.

Lewis is the preferred play for me on both sites, leaving Henry as a wildcard option for those looking for lightening to strike in the form of a touchdown opportunity.

Wide Receiver

Corey Davis, Taywan Taylor and Tajae Sharpe are the pecking order when considering price and projected potential – that is also the same order of their targets 49, 26 and 15 along with their time on the field.  There just is not much goodness available as Tennessee is averaging the third lowest passing yards per game (164.2) behind only Arizona and Buffalo.

Tight End

Delanie Walker has been out since Week 1 and in the five games since, the remainder of the tight end corps has combined for 14 total targets.  Jonnu Smith if you must on DraftKings where he is just $1,400.

Defense/Special Teams

For all of his perceived faults, Philip Rivers has done a pretty good job taking care of the ball (just three interceptions) and the Chargers have allowed only three sacks over their last three games with eight total over all six contests.  Still, the Titans are in play as a differentiation option and keep in mind, the most points a defense can lose for points allowed is negative four on DraftKings.

 

Los Angeles Chargers 26.0 implied point total

Los Angeles Chargers

Quarterback

Philip Rivers checks in as a fringe QB10 on the full slate and he is an excellent way to have a hand in all of the Los Angeles aerial action and he can be paired up with a variety of his pass catchers outside of the obvious volume hogs Keenan Allen (51 targets) and Melvin Gordon (42 targets) who have seen a combined 48% target share on the season.

Running Back

Remember when Melvin Gordonwent his entire rookie season without a touchdown – yeah, those days are over and he is coming off a career high three in last week’s game in Cleveland.He is a threat in the rushing and receiving game and the only slight concern is that teammate Austin Ekeler may curb some of his potential upside however with the Titans allowing the seventh most rushing yards in the league at 123.2 per game and so much of the offense going through the former Wisconsin Badger, we can roster him with confidence.

Second year, undrafted free agent Austin Ekeler has made his touches count this season with 41/263/0 on the ground and 17 targets for 14/207/3 through the air.  He is an excellent play on DraftKings with the full-PPR scoring and a differentiation option on FanDuel.

Wide Receiver

As mentioned above, Keenan Allen is the focal point of the Los Angeles passing game and while he has not scored or topped 100 yards receiving since Week 1, he is going to be a popular option and one that I am willing to follow The Masses in the Chalk Parade.  Allen has five rushing attempts on the season for 46 yards, including 4/41 last week so the Chargers are most definitely looking to get him on track.

Tyrell and Mike Williams are both solid plays and they have been essentially equal from a target share perspective (23 and 26 respectively) with Tyrell seeing more snaps (77% vs 64%) but Mike leading the way in the red zone (4 to 1).  Mix and match as you see fit, though Mike will likely be the more popular on both sites as he is cheaper.

Tight End

Antonio Gates is in the mix for a short touchdown catch and/or a potential 2-pt conversion.  While he and fellow tight end Virgil Green have each seen three red zone targets, we know Gates gets the higher leverage plays and does lead in targets 18 to 9 on the season.

Defense/Special Teams

Prior to last week’s 11 sack extravaganza, Tennessee had allowed a more reasonable 9 in the other five games this season.  There are not many interception opportunities against a team that doesn’t throw the ball much, but the Chargers are an excellent option on DraftKings and even worthy of our Captain designation for some differentiation and the flexibility to work in Rivers, Allen and Gordon.

Awesemo’s Showdown Rankings provide an additional look at how to value the player pool – from Alex himself and he is in the middle of quite a Showdown heater on Draftkings >>> premium members click here

Summary

As mentioned above, I want to work in Gordon, Rivers and Allen – so I am going to need to be creative with my Captain slot on DraftKings and will be giving consideration to the Chargers D/ST and/or one of the kickers.

Single Game Ranking (taking into account projected production, pricing and popularity)

  1. Melvin Gordon (this is not original, but he is going to project as one of if not the highest scoring player)
  2. Keenan Allen (the Titans have only allowed a pair of 20+ yard receptions this season and the Chargers only have two themselves, but I am counting on volume and a potential two score game from the former Cal Bear)
  3. Philip Rivers (not particularly flashy, but he is a fine option in the “cash” game formats which have been interesting and where the less experienced are making mistakes – likely a result of the lack of content and/or familiarity with the format)
  4. Chargers D/ST (yes, they are not going to get 11 sacks, heck I would be thrilled with a third as many, but for their price and the flexibility they provide on DraftKings I am going with them as a core play in my “builds”)
  5. Dion Lewis (while it may sound silly, he will likely be the closest and most viable option for the downfield passing challenged Marcus Mariota)
  6. Corey Davis (hoping the athleticism can be combined with a handful of opportunities and he can reach pay dirt)
  7. Austin Ekeler (it is telling that I considered him as the #5 overall play – that is truly how terrible the Titans have been this season – just remember “On Any Given Sunday”)
  8. Williams (either one is fine)
  9. Taywan Taylor (just a sprinkling as waaaaaaaay too much is dependent on Marcus Mariota)
  10. Marcus Mariota (speaking of which, I am okay putting him here, but this is a first with a quarterback in the single game format barely making the top ten recommendations)
  11. Mike Badgley (is on the better offense and only $300 more than…)
  12. Ryan Succop (most will defer to Badgley but that means Succop is a fine differentiation option, even if you have the $300 for Badgley – plus field goal attempts are fickle)
  13. Tajae Sharpe (at least if he gets the ball, he can do more than just fall forward like…)
  14. Antonio Gates (red zone opportunities do include 2-pt conversions, just saying that stranger things have happened – like Odell Beckham and Emmanuel Sanders tossing touchdown passes)
  15. Derrick Henry (speaking of just falling forward… I kid, I kid – but I also don’t see much upside unless he can get in the end zone)
  16. Jonnu Smith, Virgil Green, Luke Stocker (pick a secondary or tertiary tight end by random drawing)
  17. Darius Jennings (lucky #17 and Mr. Irrelevant of this article)

As always, you can reach out to me in Awesemo.com Premium Slack or on Twitter @EMacDFS if you have any questions.

Good Luck Gamers! ~ EMac

 

Eric "EMac" MacPherson won the 2007 Fantasy Baseball grand prize (trip for two to the MLB All-Star game) in the Roto format on ESPN. He won again in 2008, this time in the H2H format. As one of the early adopters of daily fantasy sports, EMac has been providing content for baseball and basketball as well as both professional and college football since 2012 for a variety of websites including DraftKings Playbook, FanVice, RotoWorld, Daily Fantasy Bootcamp, and RotoGrinders. He is well into his third decade of fantasy sports and has a wealth of knowledge and experience. Follow him on Twitter @EMacDFS or contact EMac by emailing [email protected].

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