The NFL gets into full swing on Sunday afternoon with nine games scheduled for the early slate of games (1 p.m. EST). Rather than traditional DFS, No House Advantage brings gamers a different twist. The NFL No House Advantage platform offers player props for various players at different point levels. The optimal way to go about winning your player prop bets is by utilizing the Awesemo Player Props tool to find the biggest discrepancy between the NHA prop and the tool itself. Let’s go over some NFL DFS advice and dive into some of the No House Advantage prop picks.
10 points: Derrick Henry Over 101.5 rushing yards
Henry is projected to rush for 116.1 yards with a median of 110.4. The NFL’s reigning leading rusher is expected to see a heavy workload, with the Titans slated to run the ball nearly 50% of their snaps against Arizona, set career highs in carries (378), rushing yards (2,027), yards per carry (5.4) and rushing touchdowns (17). The Cardinals struggled against the run last year, permitting over 125 yards and 4.6 yards per carry.
9 points: Matt Ryan over 1.5 passing touchdowns
Ryan is projected to 2.03 touchdowns, with the median at 1.93. While the 36-year-old doesn’t have Julio Jones as a safety blanket anymore, he is expected to “chuck” the pigskin around 40 times against the Eagles. Ryan has a decent matchup and has plenty of weapons, including Calvin Ridley, Russell Gage, an emerging Olamide Zaccheaus, rookie Kyle Pitts and Hayden Hurst.
8 points: Josh Allen Over 275.5 passing yards
Allen is projected to throw for 298.3 yards with a median of 283.4. Allen, who is coming off a career season, loves to throw the ball around and will do so against the Pittsburgh Steelers as the Bills are expected to toss the ball about 40 times. The 25-year-old topped the 276-yard mark in 12 of his 19 appearances, including two of the games in the postseason. The Steelers allowed seven quarterbacks to top the 300-yard mark, including in 6 of the last 10 contests.
7 points: Austin Ekeler Under 42.5 receiving yards
Ekeler is projected to total 35 receiving yards with a median of 33.25. The Chargers’ top back is currently dealing with a hamstring injury and is questionable for Sunday’s game against Washington. The 26-year-old practiced for the first time this week in a limited capacity. While Ekeler is an excellent receiver out of the backfield, he doesn’t generally generate a ton of yards, as the Western State product’s receptions are usually off of screens or swing passes. His ADOT was -1.3 last year. Additionally, WFC has a top-5 defense, and they were excellent in defending screens and short passes to running backs last year.
6 points: Ryan Tannehill Under 2.5 touchdowns passes
Tannehill is projected to toss 1.77 touchdowns with a median of 1.68. The Titans are expected to keep the ball on the ground against the Cardinals, and Tannehill, who set a career-high with 33 touchdown passes, only tossed more than 2 touchdowns in five of his 17 starts a year ago.
5 points: Chase Edmonds Under 29.5 receiving yards
Edmonds is projected to accumulate 20.5 receiving yards with a median of 19.5. Edmonds gets his first crack at being the Cardinals’ No. 1 running back for the season, with James Conners serving as his backup. The 5-foot-9 jitterbug is expected to see around 15 touches a game. The majority of those being carries as Arizona likes to utilize a vertical passing game, and most Edmonds receptions come out of the backfield. Last year, he surpassed the 30-yard receiving mark just three times in 16 games.
4 points: JuJu Smith-Schuster Under 59.5 receiving yards
Smith-Schuster is projected to total 49.5 yards with a median of 47.1. The 24-year-old is expected to see his role reduce this year as the Steelers’ No. 3 receiver, with Chase Claypool and Diontae Johnson surpassing him on the depth chart. He has a tough matchup against an outstanding Bills’ secondary and is coming off a season where he averaged career-lows in ADOT (5.4) and yards per reception (8.7).
3 points: Marvin Jones under 63 receiving yards
Jones is projected to record just 41.9 receiving yards with a median of 39.8. Jones enters his first season with the Jaguars after spending the last five seasons with Detroit., where he set a career-high with 76 receptions. While the Texans’ defense was awful last year, there is just so much unknown about the Jags’ offense to believe that Jones will go over the receiving total.
2 points: Ryan Fitzpatrick under 1.5 interceptions
Fitzpatrick is projected to throw 1.07 interceptions with a median of 1.01. Another grizzled veteran, Fitzpatrick, begins his journey with the Washington Football Club against the Los Angeles Chargers. The 38-year-old has a strong running attack with Antonio Gibson and JD McKissic, so he won’t likely be asked to win the game. He also has quality receivers in Tery McLaurin and Adam Humphries, along with tight end Logan Thomas. The Chargers have a quality defense, but they aren’t great at creating turnovers.
1 point: Amon-Ra St. Brown Under 39.5 receiving yards
The rookie, a fourth-round pick out of USC, is projected to have 35.6 receiving yards with a median of 33.8 as the Lions’ offense could struggle against the 49ers. It is also unknown what role St. Brown will actually fulfill even though he is slated to start the game at one of the receiver positions for Detroit.
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