The Thursday Night Football matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Cincinnati Bengals is not the most exciting game. Having some exposure in NFL DFS is a great way to make you care about these two teams, even if it is only a little bit. If looking for a different way to play DFS for tonight’s game, No House Advantage brings gamers a different twist. The NHA platform offers props for various players at different point levels. The optimal way to win prop bets is by utilizing the Awesemo No House Advantage projections to find the most considerable discrepancy between the NHA prop and the tool itself. Let’s go over some NFL DFS advice for the Week 4 TNF game and dive into some of the No House Advantage prop picks.
No House Advantage: Week 4 Thursday Night Football
Joe Burrow: Over 245.5 Yards Passing
The Jaguars have shown little sign of being able to stop the pass this season. They are allowing 302.3 yards passing per game, which is the fifth most in the league. They also allow a 74.26% completion rate, which is the third worst. After trading away C.J. Henderson this week, a poor secondary gets worse, and they are still struggling to generate a consistent pass rush up front. In other words, this has all the makings of a big passing night for Joe Burrow. Awesemo’s player props tool does not expect his total to be anything near the prop line, projecting Burrow for 273.31 yards passing tonight and giving this NHA prop over a 70% chance to hit.
James Robinson: Over 55.5 Yards Rushing
After the first couple weeks of the season, nobody trusts the role of James Robinson. However, in what was the Jaguars’ best game of the season in Week 3, Jacksonville gave Robinson 15 carries, which he took for 88 yards. When the offensive line is struggling to pass protect, it is wise to run the football, and that is exactly what the Jaguars did. Facing another talented pass rush tonight, that should be the same strategy. Awesemo projects Robinson to run for over 65 yards tonight, easily clearing this NHA rushing prop.
Ja’Marr Chase: Over 70.5 Yards Receiving
The Ja’Marr Chase connection with Burrow has been on full display. While he is not getting the most targets on the team, he may be getting the most valuable ones. He has an average depth of target of 16.5 yards this season. Averaging nearly four receptions per game, that amounts to 60 yards just from where he catches the football. Jacksonville’s inability to get home on the pass rush should also lead to Burrow looking deep a bit more, which is where Chase will be. It could only take one big play for him to get close to this prop, and he should have the opportunity for a number of big plays tonight. Awesemo projects Chase to total 76.48 yards receiving tonight, clearing this NHA prop.
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