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Top 4 NFL PrizePicks for Week 11 Monday Night Football | Buccaneers vs. Giants

Geoff Ulrich

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NFL DFS Optimizer Groups DraftKings Showdown Monday Night Football

Monday Night Football NFL PrizePicks for Week 11 features an NFC inter-conference matchup between the perpetually banged-up New York Giants and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Buccaneers are 10.5-point favorites despite coming off of two losses. They got some bad news on the Antonio Brown front last week, as he is in potential hot water after being accused of using a fake vaccine card. Brown is out of this game and the only major Buccaneers offensive player they will be missing. The Giants will be without Sterling Shepard and have both their starting (Saquon Barkly) and backup (Devontae Booker) running backs listed as questionable for tonight. This game has a an over/under of 50.

Below we will use the Awesemo DFS projected stats to try and find the best player props to attack on PrizePicks for this game.

Week 11 Monday Night Football NFL PrizePicks

Daniel Jones Over 231.5 Yards Passing

Only twice has a quarterback facing the Buccaneers gone under 240 yards passing this season, and those instances include Jalen Hurts and Justin Fields, two run-first quarterbacks on teams in the bottom half of the league in pass attempts. The Giants have thrown the ball over 35 times per game this year and face a Buccaneers defense that allows the second-fewest yards per carry in the league (3.7). Saquon Barkley being back today (he is questionable to play) could actually help Daniel Jones’ passing totals too, as he has averaged over 14 yards per reception this year. Jones is projected for 260 yards passing tonight and makes for a great over target against one of the biggest pass funnels in the league.

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Kadarius Toney Over 36.5 Yards Receiving

Kadarius Toney is another Giant the Awesemo projections are bullish on today. Toney has seen his production yo-yo a little, but he is playing on over 50% of the snaps, as the Giants rotate their top three wide receivers with similar usage. Despite being a rookie, Toney leads all the Giants wideouts in targets over the last five weeks and is averaging 12.6 yards per catch. With that kind of efficiency, he may not even need a high-volume game to go over this small total. He is projected to go over 65 yards receiving today in a spot where the Giants could push for 40-plus pass attempts, as teams playing Tampa Bay have averaged 39.2 pass attempts. Pairing Toney with Jones and going over on both is also a great correlation move today for any combo tickets.


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Tom Brady Under 2.5 Touchdowns Passing

The Buccaneers have a big 30.25-point implied total, so be careful when targeting them for under plays. However, Tom Brady has seen some regression after a hot start, as he comes into Week 11 with four interceptions over his last two starts. There are no interception props on the board for today, but gamers can fade Brady’s touchdown over/under at 2.5 for the game. The Giants have only allowed more than two touchdowns passing in a game twice this year, and those were blowout losses incurred when Jones was injured. After a couple of poor performances from his normally high-powered passing offense, the tendency from Bruce Arians may also be to run the ball more with an effective Leonard Fournette. The Giants have allowed 4.5 yards per carry, and there could be more rushing volume from Tampa than normal, especially in the red zone. Brady projects well this week, but this total is too high.

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If you’re interested in other NFL DFS picks for multiple game slates, head over to NFL ownership projections, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL daily fantasy football rankings, and NFL stacks. Take a look at our NFL line-ups, inactive player list and NFL depth charts. View our DraftKings DFS NFL rankings and our FanDuel DFS NFL ownership rankings. We also have DraftKings showdown projections and single-game ownership projections.
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