Monday Night Football for Week 8 features an inter-Conference battle between the Chiefs and Giants. The line on this game has hovered around -10.5 in favor of the Chiefs all week and has a game total of 52.5. Both teams have had trouble winning games lately and are coming into Monday Night Football off losses. The injury report is not huge on the Chiefs side, but for fantasy purposes, the Giants receiving corps is worth watching. Kenny Golladay and Saquon Barkley have been ruled out for Week 8, but Kadarius Toney and Sterling Shepard are both questionable and likely to be game-time decisions.
Week 7 Monday Night Football NFL PrizePicks
Daniel Jones Over 242.5 Yards Passing
Daniel Jones is the lower profile of the two quarterbacks in this game, but he has a more attractive passing over/under than his counterpart Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs have allowed five of the seven quarterbacks they have faced this season to go over 270 yards passing and are a big-play factory in the secondary. Kansas City has allowed 8.3 yards per pass attempt this year and ranks dead last in sacks per game. This is great news for Jones, who easily exceeded this line in each of his first four games of the year.
The Giants have endured numerous injuries over the last three weeks but look set to have their healthiest receiving corps in a month available on Monday Night. Jones is not as bad a passer as his stats indicate over the last three games, and he is going to be pressured to pass more against a Chiefs team whose offense should bounce back against the poor Giants defense as well. Jones has a passing projection of over 260 yards and is a solid over target on PrizePicks.
Darrel Williams Over 13.5 Fantasy Points
The last time Darrel Williams faced a weak NFC East opponent was in Week 6 against Washington, and he carried the ball 21 times for 62 yards and two touchdowns. This Monday he takes on the Giants who allow 4.4 yards per carry (10th last in the NFL) and have already allowed three 100-yard rushers on the season. Williams is by no means an explosive runner, but he is savvy between the tackles and clearly has earned the trust of the coaching staff. Through two weeks of Clyde Edwards-Helaire being out, there have only been five touches taken by running backs other than Williams.
All of Williams’ projections on PrizePicks look lower than they likely should be. The easiest bet on the board, though, might be to take the over on his fantasy line. Kansas City has a 31-point implied team total, so Williams is in a great spot to score a touchdown. If he does, his usage is going to ensure the over and might even pull him over regardless of whether or not he finds the end zone. The Awesemo projections has his median at well over 16 fantasy points, and that feels like the correct range.
Devontae Booker Under 48.5 Yards Rushing
While it is a good idea to go over on one running back, it also makes sense to fade the one on the other side. The Giants have been putrid at running the ball this year and come into this game averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. While it may not be all his doing, Devontae Booker is averaging just 3.2 yards per carry and needed 14 carries last week just to break 50 yards on the ground. While Kansas City is a weak defense in all facets, they have stiffened up against the run of late and have only allowed 3.71 yards per carry over their three games.
Booker’s projection is right in line with his over/under on PrizePicks, but the under looks better. The Giants are set to get a couple of receivers back (most likely), and that should help improve their passing efficiency. Booker has had numerous opportunities to show off as the lead back and has provided nothing of note. With the Giants huge underdogs and unlikely to be ahead late, Booker’s chances of seeing high enough volume to get the over seems unlikely.
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