Monday Night Football for Week 2 features the Packers as 12-point favorites at home against the Lions. The Lions come into this game having allowed the most points in the NFL for Week 1 and are again slated as massive underdogs here. The bad news may get worse here this week, as they face an Angry Aaron Rodgers after he and the Packers were embarrassed in Week 1 by New Orleans. The Lions also have some injury concerns at wide receiver after Tyrrell Williams (concussion) was ruled out for this week and Kalif Raymond was listed as questionable. Green Bay has a couple of their safeties banged up as well.
The points could be plentiful for Green Bay, but the garbage time yards could be big for Detroit too. Based mainly off the Awesemo site projections, I have listed below who I think you should target for the second Monday Night game of the year.
Week 2 Monday Night Football NFL PrizePicks
Aaron Jones Over 0.5 Touchdowns Rushing
The Packers have a 30-point implied team total, which would likely be a lot higher this week if they were not coming off the worst game of Aaron Rodgers’ career. Detroit allowed a league-high 41 points to San Francisco last week and ceded 4.7 yards per carry to fifth-round pick Eli Mitchell. The Packers did not run many plays in Week 1, so their usage stats are almost meaningless. Aaron Jones has averaged 5.5 yards per carry now in three of his first four seasons and also averaged over three red-zone touches per game in 2020. The opportunities could be endless tonight for Jones against a team that ceded multiple touchdowns rushing to the running back position in Week 1. Awesemo gives him over a 50% chance of rushing for a touchdown this week, making his over a great target here.
D’Andre Swift Over 27.5 Yards Receiving
D’Andre Swift is coming off a week where he out-snapped back-mate Jamaal Williams 63-32 and saw 10 targets in the passing game. There are some injury concerns around Swift (he has been listed as limited in practice), but Detroit coaches have already said he will be available for Monday Night. Jared Goff targeted the Detroit running backs at will in Week 1 (20 times, to be exact), and if Detroit falls behind (they are 12-point underdogs), Swift will almost certainly still be involved as a pass catcher. The Lions will not have Tyrrell Williams in this game either (their de facto top receiver), making Swift’s target share even more secure here. Awesemo projects Swift for more than 30 yards receiving tonight, making this another very strong spot to over on the current projection.
Jared Goff Under 252.5 Yards Passing
Goff may have thrown for over 300 yards in his Lions debut (and almost pulled off a miracle comeback), but ultimately his Week 1 stats were the product of a crazy game environment. Goff needed to throw the ball 57 times just to hit 337 yards in Week 1. His 5.9 yards per attempt are sixth worst in the NFL, and that number may not change much given the lack of talent and actual players the Lions have at wide receiver right now. Detroit will likely look to run the ball and then dink and dunk when they have to start passing late. Goff’s Awesemo projection puts him well under his yardage total on PrizePicks, and the under looks like the more enticing side.
Allen Lazard Over 33 Yards Receiving
Davante Adams will see the ball a ton, but there is likely some value in going over with a couple of the other wide receivers on Green Bay too. Allen Lazard had the smallest receiving prop on PrizePicks of any wide receiver listed for this game. He only caught two passes in Week 1, but that game was over after 10 minutes. Lazard still played more snaps than Marquez Valdes-Scantling, whom he has outplayed since both men joined the Packers a couple of years ago. Lazard projects for more yards than Valdes-Scantling tonight, yet he has the smaller prop total, which makes him the better over target.
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