Monday Night Football NFL PrizePicks for Week 12 features an NFC matchup between the Washington Football Team and the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks are 1-point road favorites despite only scoring 13 points in their last two games (both losses). Washington also got some good news on the injury front, as both Logan Thomas and Curtis Samuel returned to practice this week. Thomas is expected to be active for this game, but his status will not be confirmed until just before kickoff most likely. Washington sits at 4-6, while the Seahawks are 3-7 and need a win to stay relevant. Below we will use the Awesemo DFS projected stats to try and find the best player props to attack on PrizePicks for this game.
Week 12 Monday Night Football NFL PrizePicks
D.K. Metcalf Over 58.5 Yards Receiving
The Seahawks take on a Washington team that has been horrendous against the pass all season. Washington has allowed the second-most receptions to the wide receiver position this year and are also fifth-to-last in yards per pass attempt allowed. This is also a team with two corners 6 feet or shorter, which D.K. Metcalf at least a three-inch height advantage. Metcalf has struggled (as has the entire Seahawks offense) since Russell Wilson returned but has averaged a 14.5-yard average depth of target over his last two games. Expect to see more downfield passes connect against a set of weaker corners. Metcalf is projected for over 70 yards receiving, making his over all the more appealing.
Taylor Heinicke Over 0.5 Interceptions
The Seahawks have not been great at creating turnovers this year (they have just four interceptions as a team), but part of turnovers is luck, so there could be some position regression coming in this area. Seeing some of that regression against Taylor Heinicke and Washington would not be shocking either. Teams average 40.4 pass attempts against Seattle, and Heinicke has a 2.7% interception rate this year, having thrown nine picks in 9.5 games played. Take the over on a player who has a far better chance of throwing an interception in this game than not.
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Antonio Gibson Under 61.5 Yards Rushing
J.D. McKissic over 23.5 Yards Receiving
Washington has not run the ball well for most of the season. Antonio Gibson comes into this week averaging 3.9 yards per carry and has averaged 3.6 yards per carry or less in three of his last six games. Seattle has also improved on defense of late, particularly against the run where they have allowed just 3.4 yards per carry against over their last three games. Gibson may have a hard time finding room, and he has played on less than 50% of the snaps in four of Washington’s last five games.
If taking the under on his 61.5-yard over/under, also consider combining it with the over on J.D. McKissic’s receiving total. If Gibson stumbles, it will likely be due to Washington either being down big or finding more success with McKissic in the passing game. Either scenario hits the over, and Seattle has been terrible in defending pass-catching backs, allowing over 10 yards per catch to the position (worst in the league). McKissic is projected for over 30 yards receiving this week and makes for a strong over target.
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