Welcome to the weekly PrizePicks Main slate breakdown. In this article we’re looking at the best Fantasy Scores to target for the main Sunday slate. If you’re new to the site, PrizePicks allows you to bundle Over or Under selections into parlays for big payouts. So, from each game we’re offered a fantasy total or prop (single stats DFS) amount on select players and then need to make a selection as to whether that player will go over or under the total.
Using the Awesemo weekly DFS projections (which also use 1 point/ppr scoring and 4-point passing TDs) and the Awesemo Prop Tool — which projects specific total for each player — I’ll be targeting the players that stick out as the best options here every week and hopefully provide a good guide as to how to build your PrizePicks tickets.
PrizePicks NFL Fantasy Scores DFS Picks: Sunday Slate
QB: Kirk Cousins under 20.0 Fantasy Points
The Vikings and Cardinals game has a 50.5 Over/Under attached to it this week, but there’s more love in the projections for the Vikings running backs than there is from quarterback Kirk Cousins. Cousins threw the ball 49 times in the Week 1 loss to the Bengals (which included overtime) but managed just a 7.2-yard-per-completion rate. The projections for this week have him well to the low side of this total and with the sixth-lowest point total at quarterback for Week 2.
When we look at what Arizona’s secondary and pass rush were able to achieve against the vaunted Tennessee offense — held them to just 4.5 yards per pass attempt — this projection starts to make more sense. The Cardinals have a healthy Chandler Jones back and have shown improved play throughout their secondary. Look for Cousins to potentially struggle here against an underrated defensive unit.
- Ben Roethlisberger Over 18.5 Fantasy points: The Steelers didn’t need much from their offense in Week 1 but are expected to produce more here against the Raiders — in a game where Pittsburgh has a healthy 26.75 implied team total. Roethlisberger’s receivers have great matchups against a thin secondary, and that should help push him to the over
- Jameis Winston Under 19.0 Fantasy points: After throwing for five touchdowns on just 20 pass attempts in Week 1, a little regression for Jameis Winston should be certainly expected. A rush-heavy game plan from New Orleans in Week 2 again against Carolina wouldn’t be shocking and his projections have Winston going well under his PrizePicks over/under.
RB: Chris Carson Over 15.0 Fantasy Points
The Seahawks have a 30.25 implied team total attached to their game with the Titans this week, which puts running back Chris Carson in a great spot for a monster game. Carson played on over 75% of the snaps in Week 1 and his main backup, Rashaad Penny, is already banged up and missed some practice this week. Carson’s 19 touches form Week 1 were already strong, and he produced a healthy 5.7-yards-per-carry average against a stout defensive line in the Colts. The projections on Awesemo love this spot for Carson as well, as he’s projected for over 74 rushing yards and with a great shot at finding the end zone. Going over this total implies somewhat that he will grab his first touchdown of the year but with the game total and opponent here (Tennessee also played the fourth-fastest pace last year) his chances for doing that seem to outweigh having any interest in the under.
WR: DeVante Parker over 10.0 Fantasy Points
People seemed to write off DeVante Parker rather quickly for fantasy purposes in 2021, thinking his thunder would immediately be stolen by rookie Jaylen Waddle and Mike Gesicki. Parker came out and led the Dolphins in both targets and snaps played at wide receiver in Week 1 though, so his place in the pecking order seems relatively safe. He also played a solid game for Miami in Week 1, posting 20 yards per reception on four receptions against a strong New England secondary. Despite the nice volume and solid floor Parker provides us, his fantasy total on PrizePicks remains relatively small this week — and over a point lower than he is projected for over on Awesemo. That’s the kind of spread we like to take advantage of and, even if the matchup with Buffalo is less than perfect, taking the Over on Parker at these small totals is definitely advised until his role or projections change.
- Deebo Samuel over 16.0 Fantasy Points: The 49ers Deebo Samuel is one player I’m OK buying on the hype on after Week 1. He had 12 targets and his 21-yard-per-catch mark is impressive, and we should also expect some regression from a thin Eagles secondary after they had a great Week 1.
- Henry Ruggs under 8.5 Fantasy Points: The Raiders’ top pick from 2020, Henry Ruggs, didn’t have a great opener and was out-snapped and out-targeted by wide receiver Bryan Edwards. The Raiders offense is in tough against Pittsburgh anyways, but Ruggs will likely need a long TD most weeks to over even this small mark (cause he’s not getting there on volume).
TE: Dallas Goedert over 9.5 Fantasy Points
There’s a lot of unders worth taking this week at the tight end position, but one player I like being bullish on is Dallas Goedert. While he still lost some targets to Zach Ertz in Week 1, Goedert played on over 75% of the snaps and out-targeted Ertz 5-2. It’s also worth noting here that Ertz is already banged up so we may see Goedert take even more of a lead as the main pass-catcher. The matchup here is also very intriguing as the Eagles are taking on a 49ers team that forced Jared Goff into 57 pass attempts in Week 1.
The volume could really pick up for Ertz and the 49ers linebackers had a terrible time limiting T.J. Hockenson last week (nine receptions and a TD). Goedert’s already one of the primary targets for the Eagles but an uptick in usage here feels likely. He’s one of the few tight ends I don’t mind going over on for PrizePicks this week.
- Jonnu Smith under 8.0 Fantasy Points: Both Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry both played over 70% of the snaps for New England in Week 1, but neither took a clear lead as the main pass catcher. As such, the projections on both of them are low this week as the Patriots don’t project to be throwing much as 6-point favorites against the Jets either.
Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!
If you’re interested in other NFL DFS tips for multiple game slates, head over to DFS NFL projected ownership, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL daily fantasy football rankings, and NFL stacks. Take a look at our NFL depth chart list, inactive players and NFL lineups..
📽️ Week 7 Lineup Review NFL DFS Strategy Show | 11 a.m. ET 10/25/2021
📽️ Week 7 Monday Night Football NFL DFS Showdown Strategy Show: Saints vs. Seahawks | 10/25 at 9 a.m. ET
Awesemo’s Top Showdown and Single Game Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel (FREE TODAY)
NFL DFS Showdown/Single-Game Ownership Projections for DraftKings and FanDuel
NFL DFS Projections for No House Advantage (FREE)
The NEW Awesemo NFL DFS Boom Bust Tool
Awesemo’s NFL DFS Big Board
NFL DFS Projected Stats