The First Look: Week 13 DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Picks

Looking at the DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy football main slate, here are a few first look values to target in NFL DFS lineups. We’re now more than halfway into the NFL season and Week 13 brings a brand new slate to break down for DFS purposes. We have some nice-looking bargains and a few contrarian NFL DFS picks to get into.

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NFL DFS: Week 13 First Look At DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

NFL DFS Picks: Quarterback

Justin Herbert – Averaging north of 300 yards passing per game, Herbert is a first look value at $6,900 and $7,900 on DraftKings and FanDuel respectively. This week, the Chargers face a weakened New England Patriots’ secondary in a pick ’em contest totaled at 47 points. The Patriots’ secondary currently allows 8.0 yards per pass attempt, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. With six separate 100-yard performances under his belt, Herbert continues to provide value across DFS platforms.

Baker Mayfield – Despite disappointing through a majority of 2020, Mayfield turned in his second highest passing performance of the year last week against Jacksonville. After tossing 258 yards and a pair of scores, Mayfield now faces another depleted defense in the Tennessee Titans. The Titans currently allow 6.7 yards per pass attempt, but 268.5 yards passing per game (fifth-worst). This game currently sits with a 54-point total with the Browns slated as 5.5-point underdogs. Potentially forced to throw in negative game script, Mayfield’s price is right at $5,300 and $7,100 on DraftKings and FanDuel in Week 13.

NFL DFS Picks: Running Back

Austin Ekeler — After seeing a career high in touches, Ekeler receiver a modest price bump to $7,000 on both DraftKings and FanDuel. In his return from a multi-week hamstring injury, Ekeler carried 14 times for 44 yards as a rusher. More impressively he caught 11 of 16 targets for another 85 yards through the air. The Patriots have allowed at least five receptions to running backs in each of their last three games. In an offense that runs the most plays in the NFL, the Chargers backfield presents enough volume for Ekeler even if Joshua Kelley or Kalen Ballage siphon a few carries.

D’Andre SwiftAfter missing the Lions’ Thanksgiving tilt with a concussion, Swift has a better chance to play in Week 13. Prior to his absence, Swift took full command of the Lions’ backfield. Swift handled 21 Week 11 touches, while Adrian Peterson and Kerryon Johnson only combined for six. With the rest of the running back depth chart disappointing last week, the Lions will likely return to Swift as their lead rusher. This week the Lions face a Bears team that plays solid defense. However, with both teams struggling, Swift should not be game scripted out of the Lions’ offensive game plan. At an affordable price on DraftKings and FanDuel, Swift makes sense in Week 13.

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NFL DFS Picks: Wide Receiver

Brandin CooksWith Will Fuller suspended, Kenny Stills cut from the team and Randall Cobb injured, the Texans suddenly look thin at pass catcher. Already leading the team in targets this year, Cooks may find himself receiving even more volume. Cooks holds a 22.2% target share and a 25.4% air yards share within the Texans’ offense this season. This week, Houston faces an Indianapolis Colts team in a game totaled at 51.5 points. The Colts have allowed at least 31 points in each of their last two games, creating an avenue for Cooks to succeed in Week 13. Priced at $5,600 and $6,500 on DraftKings and FanDuel, respectively, Cooks presents one of the top values on the entire slate.

Robert WoodsAnother player seeing a recent spike in volume, Woods has 27 combined targets in the Rams’ last two games. While both games were competitive, the Rams find themselves in another potential shootout against the Cardinals the weekend. Right now the total sits at 48.5 points, with the Rams favored by a field goal. Holding a 22.4% target share and a 23.2% air yards share in the Los Angeles offense, Woods is a bargain at $5,900 and $7,100 on DraftKings and FanDuel.

NFL DFS Picks: Tight End

Dallas GoedertOne of the NFL’s star young tight ends, Goedert is underpriced following his short stint on injured reserve. Goedert has at least six targets in each of this last three games, including a 10-target outing in Week 12. After leading the team in targets in that game, Goedert looks like a focal point of the Philadelphia offense moving forward. This week, the Eagles face the Packers as 9.5-point underdogs in a game totaled at 46.5 points. However, the Packers rank below average with a 6.9 yards per pass attempt allowed to opposing offenses. Priced at $4,300 and $6,200 on DraftKings and FanDuel, Goedert provides a strong option in the mid-price range in Week 13.

Jacob HollisterPlaying an increased role after Greg Olsen‘s trip to injured reserve, Hollister played ahead of Will Dissly in Seattle’s Monday Night Football contest. Hollister ran 21 pass routes to Dissly’s 16 and out-targeted Dissly 5-to-0. While this likely will remain a time share to some degree, Hollister looks like the preferred receiving tight end in a Russell Wilson-led offense. Barely priced above the minimum on both websites, Hollister looks like a solid punt option at the tight end position ahead of the Week 13 DFS slate.


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Author
Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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