After a preseason-less 2020, the NFL returns with three full weeks of preseason action. Unlike the regular season, NFL preseason is a nuanced game. Multiple units will see the field and injury reporting will be lackluster, so paying attention to news is paramount. With that said, here are a few strategies and NFL DFS advice to beat preseason DFS.
Top 5 Tips to Beat NFL Preseason DFS
1. Pay Attention to Playing Time
With so many players expected to see the field during a single preseason game, playing time equals profit in these contests. Much of this comes down to inactives. Finding a team with two active quarterbacks, compared to another team with three or four, will always be favorable. This holds true for running backs, receivers and tight ends as well. In general, fewer active players at a position group makes them more attractive for DFS.
2. Monitor News
Projecting playing time for each player comes down to monitoring news. Some teams will directly say how much certain players will see the field; others will not say anything at all. As a general rule of thumb, the first and final preseason game will mostly feature backups and third stringers. Certain teams use the second game as a dress rehearsal, but fewer and fewer teams take this approach. Monitor news sources and read the Awesemo primers ahead of each slate. This should provide a good indication for how much various players will see the field.
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3. Don’t Forget Defense & Kickers
In the preseason most skill position players are bound to a limited snap count. Unlike skill position players, DST units can accumulate points throughout the duration of the game. Often times they will see elevated scores when facing the second- and third-string offenses as well. Because of this, they are some of the most consistent options in DFS, and ceiling performances are more common for DSTs during the preseason. In Showdown contests locking both defenses generally provides a high ceiling/floor combination. As for kickers, they are playable in Showdown contests as long as they do not share kicking duties. In general look for the larger favorites when selecting defenses in preseason DFS.
4. Quarterback Strategy
On top of looking for condensed opportunity, finding quarterbacks with rushing upside can help significantly in DFS. With most quarterbacks playing limited snaps, even a small rushing floor can make a big difference in DFS contests. In the Showdown platform, quarterbacks generally provide a safer floor than other skill position players. The more rushing upside the better.
5. Running Backs & Pass Catchers
In general tight ends seldom enters optimal Showdown lineups outside of hyper-condensed opportunity shares. When looking at backups and rotational tights, make sure they have pass-catching upside. Running backs generally benefit from late-game action. Coaches often take a more conservative approach towards the end of games, allowing running backs to accumulate garbage-time yardage. Ultimately, running backs, wide receivers and tight ends are highly dependent on playing time. The more playing time the better when considering these players.
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