Welcome to the weekly PrizePicks Main slate breakdown. In this article we’re looking at the best Fantasy Scores to target for the Week 9 Sunday main slate. If you’re new to the site, PrizePicks allows you to bundle over or under selections into parlays for big payouts. So, from each game we’re offered a fantasy total or prop (single stats DFS) amount on select players and then need to make a selection as to whether that player will go over or under the total.
Using the Awesemo weekly DFS projections (which also use 1-point/PPR scoring and 4-point passing TDs) and the Awesemo Prop Tool — which projects specific total for each player — I’ll be targeting the players that stick out as the best options here every week and hopefully provide a good guide as to how to build your PrizePicks tickets.
PrizePicks NFL Fantasy Scores DFS Picks: Week 9 Sunday Slate
QB: Tyrod Taylor over 227.5 passing yards
The Texans passing game should get a boost in Week 9 with the return of Tyrod Taylor under centre. Taylor practiced in full this week without setbacks and the fact the Texans didn’t rush him back only lessons the risk of him having a re-injury in game. In his two starts of the season Taylor averaged 9.45 yards per pass attempt and faces off against a weak Dolphins pass defense against whom teams are averaging 39 pass attempts per game, against. The projections on Awesemo love this spot for Taylor as they have him projected for over 260 passing yards, making his over one of the strongest plays of the week.
- Josh Allen over 285.5 passing yards The Jaguars have the second worst mark in the league in terms of yards per pass attempt against (8.6) this season. Five of the seven quarterbacks the Jaguars have faced this year have passed for over 290 yards and the Bills come in averaging over 39 pass attempts per game. Josh Allen is projected for well over 300 pass yards on Awesemo this week making his over a great target too.
RB: Elijah Mitchell over 74.5 rushing yards
I’ve harped on how good a spot this is for Elijah Mitchell to post another productive game a couple times this week already, and will do it again here. He projects out for well over 90 rushing yards this week on Awesemo, which only strengthens the idea that we’ll see yet another big day from the rookie. He comes in averaging over 6.6 yards per carry over his last two games and is entrenched in a 15+ carry role in the 49ers rush first offense — San Francisco is averaging 27.7 rushes per game, 10th most in the league.
The Cardinals got exposed by an elite running back tandem last week as they allowed 137 rush yards to the Packers duo. They’re allowing 4.9 yards per carry against this year which lands them second-worst in the entire league. Mitchell took 18 of the 21 running back carries last week for the 49ers and projects as a strong over play here as well given his mid-70’s over/under on Prizepicks.
- Aaron Jones under 62.5 rushing yards One player the projections are a little sour on this week is Aaron Jones. The Packers could defintely be behind quickly in this game which could mean less carries and more targets for him in this spot. The Chiefs rush defense has improved a little over the last few weeks as well. Jones’ Awesemo projection has him going for well under 60 rushing yards in this spot.
WR: Hunter Renfrow over 57.5 receiving yards
The Raiders are obviously a team we want to watch for fantasy purposes this week as Henry Ruggs’ 5.1 targets per game are now up for grabs. The projections this week defintely see upticks for a few Raiders players but the one that gives us the best opportunity to attack on Prizepicks this week is Hunter Renfrow. Renfrow was already averaging 7.1 targets per game before the Ruggs news and he’s likely to see that rise by the end of the season now.
While he’s not a huge after the catch player, and is only averaging 10.5 yards per catch this year, we should also see his route tree expand a little now that one the Raiders are without one of their best deep threats. As you can likely guess, the projections here love this spot for Renfrow against the Giants, who rank in the bottom-10 of the league in sack and pressure rate. Renfrow is projected for over 70 receiving yards in Week 9 and makes for yet another strong over play.
- Brandin Cooks over 66.5 receiving yards I’ve discussed Brandin Cooks a lot this week already so we’ll be brief here. The Dolphins passing defense has allowed the second most yards to opposing wide-outs this season and rank bottom-10 in sack-rate and yards per pass attempt allowed. Cooks and Tyrod Taylor should connect for some big plays this week and the projections here like the over on Cooks’ current Prizepicks over/under, almost as much as Taylor’s.
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TE: Mike Gesicki over 49.5 receiving yards
It’s a four for four week in terms of picking overs, but the projections here were simply too bullish on Mike Gesicki here for me to go with another choice. The Texans love to give up big plays in the passing and Gesicki comes into this game averaging seven targets per game. His target share is solid but the bigger news for Gesicki (and why we should be bullish on him the rest of the year) is that he’s finally earned an every down role from head coach Brian Flores. Gesicki has now played on over 80% of the snaps the last two weeks , after starting the year playing less than 50%.
Clearly the projections like this development too as they have him with his highest receiving yardage projection of the year this week at over 60 yards. The athletic tight-end is capable of grabbing a couple big catches so even if the Dolphins do end up with a lower volume passing day we can still get there. The over is again the move here.
- Austin Hooper over 2.0 receptions One player whose reception total looked too low this week was Cleveland tight-end Austin Hooper. Teams have averaged over 40 pass attempts against the Bengals this year and Hooper has played on over 60% of the snaps in every game this year. We have him going for over 2.5 catches in this spot and considering the opponent there’s a great chance he sees four plus targets. Grabbing the over once again feels right.
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