Awesemo has a ton of great tools and NFL DFS strategy to tackle all the large contests for Week 15 in NFL DFS. This article will provide some first impressions of the upcoming slate, including some of the top matchups and value plays. It will discuss salaries and who sticks out at various tiers for Yahoo daily fantasy NFL picks this week.
Week 15 has an 11-game main slate. As of writing, there is only two games with over/unders greater than 46 points this week. Arizona – Detroit has the biggest total of the week at 47.5.
Yahoo Daily Fantasy: Week 15 NFL First Look & Value Plays
QB Matthew Stafford — $32
The Rams have a solid matchup this week against a Seattle defense that has allowed 7.3 yards per pass attempt over their last three games, the fifth worst in the league. Seattle has given up at least 295 yards to the likes of Jimmy Garoppolo, Case Keenum and Davis Mills over their last four games as well. Matthew Stafford is coming off back-to-back efficient performances where he threw for 280-plus yards and three touchdowns. Stafford does not provide the rushing upside of players like Kyler Murray or Jalen Hurts, but he is far cheaper than both those players in Week 15 has a fantastic matchup.
QB Russell Wilson — $28
This Seattle – Los Angeles game has one of the highest over/unders of the week. Opponents have thrown the ball 37.8 times per game against the Rams this year, and Russell Wilson has started to look more like himself of late, averaging 9.28 yards per attempt last week. The Seahawks are significant underdogs this week, and with Wilson and Tyler Lockett looking more coordinated, another big passing total could be on tap for Wilson. He is a top value play on Yahoo this week at under $30.
RB Najee Harris — $25
The running back position on this week’s main slate is not loaded with big plays since Jonathan Taylor and Alvin Kamara are both playing on island games. The name of the game with running back for Week 15 is “value,” with the highest-usage back in the league in Najee Harris available at just $25. Tennessee has been one of the stingiest defenses in the league against the run of late, but Harris’ role as a pass catcher — minimum three catches in each of his last eight games — makes him more than worth taking on. Harris will likely end up being chalky (again), but there is no harm in building around him, as he provides the safest floor at his position.
RB Saquon Barkley — $16
Saquon Barkley is another starting running back who is not necessarily in a great matchup but looks far too cheap considering the usage he is likely to get. The Giants offense has predictably been a disaster under Mike Glennon, but Barkley has accumulated 13 catches over his last three games and took 16 carries last week, a season high. Dallas has allowed 4.7 yards per carry the last three games (eighth worst in the league), and Barkley should be in line for a big workload once again, regardless of game flow. Barkley is not quite a free space this week, but he is not chalk to shy away from either.
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WR Davante Adams — $32
Davante Adams is coming off a monster 10-reception, 121-yard, two-touchdown game, so it is strange to see his price come down a few dollars after last week. The matchup may have something to do with that, as the Ravens secondary has allowed the fifth-fewest receptions to opposing wideouts this year. Adams (as he has proven multiple times the last few years) is essentially matchup-proof, though, and looks seriously undervalued at close to $30 in Week 15. The Packers are 5-point favorites, and paying up for their skill players is a viable strategy.
WR Julio Jones — $17
Julio Jones is obviously harder to trust than Adams, but he is still in a higher-usage situation with the Titans still missing A.J. Brown and Derrick Henry. Jones saw just six targets last week against the Jaguars, but Tennessee did not have to be aggressive with Jones’ usage in the blowout win (he only played on 43% of the snaps). He will likely be on the field much more against what has been a very beatable Pittsburgh secondary of late. Jones sets up as a heady value play in Week 15.
TE Mark Andrews — $23
Mark Andrews has averaged 10 targets per game over his last four starts. He comes into this week having caught four or more passes in 10 of 13 starts this year. While George Kittle has been in beast mode over the last two weeks, there likely should not be this large a gap in price between him and Andrews. A lot of Andrews’ potential for Week 15 is tied to the health of Lamar Jackson (ankle – questionable), but if Jackson does play, Andrews looks like an upper-tier value in what could be a higher-scoring game against the Packers.
TE Kyle Pitts — $14
Despite Kyle Pitts posting one of his more solid games of the season last week (five catches, 61 yards on six targets), his price has come down again in Week 15. The matchup with the 49ers likely has something to do with this, but if Atlanta is going to get blown out, then Pitts could have a bundle of prevent defenses to work against late. He is a good value target in Week 15 again and an interesting leverage play at tight end, as many DFS players will be focused on the other tight end in this game.
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