Awesemo has a ton of great tools and NFL DFS strategy to help tackle all the largest contests for NFL Conference Championship in NFL DFS. This Yahoo Daily Fantasy article will walk through some of the standouts in the early Awesemo rostership projections. It will look at who is projected to be highly rostered, who makes for good chalk plays, which highly rostered players may be worth fading and who the low-rostered pivots are in large-field tournaments. With that said, let us get into the Yahoo daily fantasy NFL picks for the NFL Conference Championship.
Conference Championship Yahoo Daily Fantasy Rostership
Awesemo has some of the best rostership projections on the planet for NFL DFS. If playing in large-field GPPs every week, then using rostership projections can bring a massive edge by knowing where the good pivot and leverage spots will be.
Good Chalk: Patrick Mahomes $36 (Yahoo Projected 36.2% Rostered)
From a price perspective, Patrick Mahomes is the clear leader at his position at $40 flat. It is a big price jump over last week, but it is all relative. Joe Burrow is only $4 cheaper on this slate despite the Chiefs having an implied team total that is 7.0 points bigger. The big price will likely help keep Mahomes’ rostership at least somewhat suppressed and that is important as the Chiefs skill players will all be popular. The method for stacking Mahomes will be important too, but he is not chalk to fade, especially with cheaper receivers like Byron Pringle and Jerick McKinnon to pair him with. Mahomes is the top projected quarterback this week and a fine starting point, even if looking to go lighter on the Chiefs – Bengals than the field.
Low-Rostered Pivot: Matthew Stafford $31 (Yahoo Projected 23.6% Rostered)
The rostership on the other three quarterbacks this week will be interesting. As of, Matthew Stafford is projected to be in bottom two for the week in terms of rostership as his position. This is interesting from a game theory perspective as the Rams have the second biggest implied team total at 24.75 and are 3.5-point favorites at home, as of writing. Stafford is also coming off two complete playoff wins where he completed over 70% of his passes for four touchdowns and zero interceptions. Stafford is the second-rated quarterback this week, but he is trending to be near equal in rostership on Yahoo with the other bottom three options.
Good Chalk: Cam Akers (Yahoo Projected 61.4% Rostered)
The Rams Cam Akers had a miserable game for a running back on a winning team last week. His 2 yards per carry average from last week are not very appealing, but his workout is excellent. Twenty-seven touches will produce big games more often than not, and with how much trust Sean McVay has shown in him, Akers could see the same kind of touch count he did last week against the 49ers. Despite the slow comeback form injury, he ranks out at the of the top of the Awesemo projections. The big rostership is worth taking on as workload is again likely to mask performance issues and his prices makes him too cheap to fade.
Low-Rostered Pivot: Joe Mixon $33 (Yahoo Projected 18.2% Rostered)
The rostership projections on Joe Mixon this week are really intriguing. In a lot of ways, Mixon might be the only truly healthy “game-flow” proof play at his position. While Kansas City is clearly employing a tandem and Cam Akers has been less than sparkling, Mixon remains a big part of the passing game and has taken in 20 targets over his last three games. That gives him a big edge over a player like Elijah Mitchell, who sees far fewer targets but is projected to be two or three-times more popular than Mixon this week. Mixon’s a good pivot option in big fields, where many seem to be overlooking his great usage over the last three games.
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Good Chalk: Tyreek Hill $29 (Yahoo Projected 45% Rostered)
The Chiefs Tyreek Hill has looked much more himself over the last two games, going for an explosive 150 yards and touchdown against an athletic Bills secondary in the Divisional Round. Hill is not projected to be lower rostered this week as it seems like most have caught on to his increase in health. That said, it does appear like the play of the Bengals wideouts the last two weeks will take away form at least some of Hill’s popularity. Plus, he is trending at less than 50% rostered despite being available at under $30. He has seen over 10-plus targets in 11 games this year and faces a Bengals secondary who got plastered by A.J. Brown last week. More big plays are likely on tap for Hill this week.
Low-Rostered Pivot: Tyler Boyd $18 (Yahoo Projected 22.1% Rostered)
As mentioned above, the Bengals wide receiving crew will all be popular targets. Based on the results of the first game than, Ja’Marr Chase is an obvious play this week. However, football is a highly variable sport where no two games are ever the same. The Chiefs defense was decent at shutting down the Bills top wide-out in Stefon Diggs last week though so pivoting to one of the other two Bengals wide receivers has some appeal. Tyler Boyd has had some big moments for the Bengals this year and has caught touchdowns in four of his last five games. With his rostership likely not to creep much over 20%, he is the pivot option this week in a game where his targets approach season highs.
Good Chalk: Travis Kelce $32 (Yahoo Projected 28.2% Rostered)
The Chiefs Travis Kelce ranks out as the top option on this slate in the Awesemo point projections, but he is also trending as just the second-most popular tight end. The big price difference between Kelce and George Kittle ($22) is clearly going to affect the slate dynamics at tight end this week as many seem likely to pay down for Kittle. Kelce is the one with the plus matchup though (the Bengals rank bottom-five in most categories in terms of guarding against the tight end) and Kelce’s connect rate with Patrick Mahomes has really picked up the last four to five games. His rostership projections are very palatable considering how thin tight end is the week.
Low-Rostered Pivot: C.J. Uzomah $18 (Yahoo Projected 12.8% Rostered)
Early in the week at least, it does appear that the Bengals C.J. Uzomah will be the forgotten man at tight end. He is trending with under 15% which is very low for a starting tight end on a four-game slate. Uzomah is not the fantasy force that Kittle or Kelce is, but he’s cracked 60 yards in his last two games and caught over five passes in each of his last three. Uzomah is also the most likely to have a positive game flow of all the four tight ends, with Cincinnati set as such big underdogs. Uzomah should be on radar as a cheap tight end pivot — or even a flex option to pair with another elite tight end.
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