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Yahoo NFL Picks: Week 11 Thursday Night Football | Patriots at Falcons Tonight

Eric MacPherson

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Tonight the Atlanta Falcons are hosting the New England Patriots in the featured Thursday Night Football matchup, and Yahoo Fantasy is offering NFL DFS single-game contests. The general concept of creating a team remains the same, but this is a one-game player pool. The twist is that any position player can be rostered, and one is designated to receive a 1.5x multiplier on their Yahoo points. Using Awesemo’s expert NFL projections and rankings, these are the top Yahoo NFL picks for the Week 11 Thursday Night Football game tonight.

Yahoo NFL Picks: Week 11 Thursday Night Football

Top SUPERSTAR Options

The SUPERSTAR position will get a 1.5x multiplier on their Yahoo points in the single-game format. Awesemo’s NFL DFS optimizer creates daily fantasy football cheat sheets. Check out who is popping in the Yahoo NFL DFS cheat sheet for the Week 11 Thursday Night Football game.

Mac Jones, New England Patriots – $27

Tonight is going to be an interesting game filled with many fantasy decisions to be made leading up to kickoff. There are a pair of quarterbacks who rarely leave the pocket yet possess the two best fantasy projections of the night. Rookie Mac Jones barely ran in his time at Alabama, and this season he has just 59 yards on 19 attempts. Coach Bill Belichick has been very careful with his game plans and protecting his first-round asset. With only 41 pass attempts in the last two games, the Patriots will certainly look to run tonight. However, a matchup against a dismal pass defense is a perfect spot to continue to build up Jones’ courage. Something in the range of 225 to 250 yards passing and a couple of touchdowns is quite reasonable.

Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons – $26

If a quarterback throws passes but does not have any NFL-caliber wide receivers, will he still accumulate fantasy points? That is the question for tonight, as Matt Ryan will likely end up throwing 35 to 40 times. Aside from his talented, yet raw rookie tight end Kyle Pitts ($17), the cupboard is pretty bare, with Russell Gage ($12), Olamide Zaccheaus ($11) and Tajae Sharpe ($10) barely even replacement level. That said, with Cordarrelle Patterson ($21) likely to miss this game, the running backs have even less talent than the receivers.

Yahoo NFL Core Picks

Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevens, New England Patriots – $21

Damien Harris should be back after missing last week with a concussion, and he is likely to resume his role as the lead back. Rookie Rhamondre Stevens was excellent last week in a spot start, with 20 carries for 100 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Tonight there will likely be a 60/40 split, with Harris getting the first crack but Stevens right there if he falters or the game requires mop-up duty.

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Awesemo’s Matt Savoca has an in-depth breakdown of the Patriots’ muddy backfield situation in his Thursday Night Football Matchup Breakdown & NFL DFS Picks article.

Hunter Henry, New England Patriots – $19

Jonnu Smith ($10) missed Sunday’s game with a shoulder injury, and there is no need for New England to rush him back for tonight. Though Hunter Henry has topped 42 yards only once, he has seven touchdowns this season and has scored in six of his last seven games. With his salary a tick above Jakobi Myers ($15) and Kendrick Bourne ($16), along with gamers being reluctant to roster tight ends in the single-game format, Henry is a nice differentiation play that could easily be a difference maker tonight.


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Yahoo NFL Value Picks

Mike Davis, Atlanta Falcons – $11

This has been a lost season for Mike Davis, who was solid last year as the replacement for Christian McCaffrey, and he was also above average in 2018 for Seattle when their backfield was dealing with injuries. Davis is still only 28 years old, and he has far less wear and tear on him than the average back does, as he has played in just 63 games. Wayne Gallman ($10) is at a similar point in his career from a talent perspective, though if Patterson is out, this duo is in play. He will need a touchdown, and there is not enough volume to justify playing both on the same roster, but they are each viable punt options on their own.

Final Thoughts

The popular lineup builds are going to use both quarterbacks, one of the Patriot running backs and then two cheap pass catchers among Meyers, Gage, Zaccheaus, Sharpe and Nelson Agholor. That means by forgoing one of the quarterbacks gamers can easily pivot to the other Patriot running back and upgrade one of the cheap receivers. Another way would be to keep both quarterbacks but focus on nothing but pass catchers in the hopes of corralling most of the touchdowns. There is a lot of strategy in decisions tonight, and while the game may not be appealing now, interest level will surge once players are on the field.

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If you’re interested in other NFL DFS advice for multiple game slates, head over to DFS NFL ownership projections, Awesemo's NFL Data Central, NFL DFS rankings, and daily fantasy football stacking. View our DraftKings DFS NFL rankings and our FanDuel NFL rankings. Take a look at our NFL line-ups, NFL depth chart list and inactive players. We also have FanDuel Single-Game slate tools and showdown ownership projections.

Eric "EMac" MacPherson won the 2007 Fantasy Baseball grand prize (trip for two to the MLB All-Star game) in the Roto format on ESPN. He won again in 2008, this time in the H2H format. As one of the early adopters of daily fantasy sports, EMac has been providing content for baseball and basketball as well as both professional and college football since 2012 for a variety of websites including DraftKings Playbook, FanVice, RotoWorld, Daily Fantasy Bootcamp, and RotoGrinders. He is well into his third decade of fantasy sports and has a wealth of knowledge and experience. Follow him on Twitter @EMacDFS or contact EMac by emailing [email protected].

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