Game-7 tonight between the Capitals and the Lightning! Tampa Bay is a -144 favorite and was the better team all season, but Washington has been better at 5v5 this series in almost every game this series. Here is a stack and some skaters we’re looking to play in the single-game/showdown slates on FanDuel and DraftKings.
Scoring
The scoring system on FanDuel will essentially be the same outside of no goalie, but you will want (what you think will be) your top scorer to be in your “Captain” spot where you’ll get all of his scoring times 1.5. On DraftKings, Goals (8) and Shots on Goal (2) are weighted more than they are in the traditional scoring, but the face-off bonus (0.2) is a little bit of a game-changer, making centers and guys who take face-offs a little bit more valuable. Winning goalies will (in general) also score very well, which is similar to traditional scoring.
Stack
Vrana-Backstrom-Oshie ($23,700 DK/$27,500 FD)
This line looked incredible on home-ice and the possession numbers support that narrative. In Game-6, they outshot their opponents 20-7 and out-chanced them 12-3, and they spent most of their time against TB1 which makes it even more impressive. They should see some time against TB1 and TB3 as TB2 goes up against Ovechkin and Kuznetsov at even-strength. They’ll be relatively low-owned tonight being on the road, and each of these guys will get top power-play time as well.
Skaters
Alex Ovechkin ($12,300 DK/$11,600 FD)
Once again Ovechkin showed how valuable he is in these single-game slates as he is usually the top individual shot attempt leader in most games he plays. With the Caps’ season on the line again tonight, Barry Trotz will do everything he can to get him in favorable offensive situations, plus he will be set up in his office on the power-play. He’s once again the toughest fade for me even at likely 60+% ownership in most GPPs.
Alex Killorn ($5,200 DK/$7,200 FD)
Killorn has moved onto the top line for the Lightning with Nikita Kucherov and Steven Stamkos, instantly making him one of the best values on the slate. In the regular season, this trio posted a 66 Corsi For Percentage with 24 Scoring Chances and 11 High-Danger Chances at even-strength in just 43 minutes. Killorn is not a high-volume shooter, but he did lead the team with 6 shot attempts and 4 Scoring Chances in Game-6, which is probably part of the reason why he got promoted to top-line duties. For $5,200, he’s tough to pass up for a one-off or mini stack.
Dmitry Orlov ($5,700 DK/$8,100 DK)
Outside of Sergachev, Orlov is the lowest-priced defenseman that gets power-play time, but he has also played at least 19 minutes in each game this series, regularly getting to 22+. Orlov was very aggressive in Game-6 shooting 7 times at even-strength with no points to show for it. He should get a lot of even-strength time with the stack mentioned above and he will get time on the 2nd power-play unit with Vrana.
