The Devils’ top line is in a solid spot tonight against the Capitals, who are on the back-end of a road back-to-back. Despite their great results so far, the Caps have allowed 15.2 High-Danger Chances Against per 60 minutes (3rd-worst rate in the NHL) in their first 3 games and this line, carried by the do-it-all winger Taylor Hall, was great at even-strength last year, creating over 27 Scoring Chances For per 60 minutes and nearly 14 High-Danger Chances For per 60 minutes. Being at home, they should be able to avoid the Backstrom line and instead go up (for the most part) against the Kuznetsov-Ovechkin-Connolly line which is happy to trade chances. Each of these 3 guys will play on the top power-play unit as well, making them one of the top stacks on the slate.
The Panthers’ top line is at home in what should be a very high-paced matchup with the Blue Jackets’ top line. Dating back to the start of last year, CBJ1 has allowed 26 Scoring Chances Against per 60 minutes and 11.6 High-Danger Chances Against per 60 minutes while FLA1 has smashed opponents, creating 37.2 Scoring Chances For per 60 and 15.5 High-Danger Chances For per 60 at even-strength. Despite them being at home and having some of the best possession numbers of any line, this trio can be had for for under $16K on DraftKings, which is arguably the best point-per-dollar stack on the night.
The “shutdown” line for the Wild will have a fun home date with the Blackhawks and they come at a fair price on DraftKings for $16K in total. The Wild currently have the 3rd-highest implied total (3.4) on this huge slate but with all the value tonight, they should come in comfortably under 7-8% in large-field GPPs despite favorable matchups against the Toews and Kane lines. The Toews-DeBrincat combo has allowed 11.8 High-Danger Chances per 60 since the start of last season, and when you add in Kahun in this year’s small sample (34 minutes), the trio is even leakier defensively (on pace for 35 SCA/60, 15.9 HDCA/60). The Kane line is allowing over 30 Scoring Chances Against per 60 almost 11.6 High-Danger Chances Against per 60 at even-strength since last season. We get power-play exposure to a balanced Wild attack against a team that had a sub-80% kill last year and is already picking up where they left off (4 PP goals against).