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DraftKings & FanDuel NHL Power Plays, Thursday, 11/15

Chris Wassel

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We have a nine game slate tonight and there isn’t a single team on a back to back. Keep an eye on the schedule below, because there are however a couple teams playing their third game in four nights and fourth in six.  There’s no shortage of plays tonight with the good matchups so stay tuned to the premium Slack chat for more plays.  Our own Nolan Kelly has a great article every day with morning skate news and he updates the lines as they come out.  He directs you into the successful plays and positions to attack. It’s a must read for last minute updates. Watch for injuries! Plenty exist today as potential landmines to your lineups.

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When you are making your teams, I can’t stress enough that you need to make sure your goalie is actually confirmed and starting.  Sites like Dailyfaceoff.comLeftwinglock.com, and Goaliepost.com are great places for information.  Another great place to get up to the minute news and information, is team beat writers. @Votts_DFS created a list for all of the NHL teams, and a separate list of all the beat writers for you to follow. The advanced stats that I use and reference in this article come from Corsica.hockey and also naturalstattrick.com.

If you have any questions at all, don’t hesitate to contact me on our premium Slack chat, or you can hit me up on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS.

 

Full Schedule for Thursday November 15th, 2018 

AWAY HOME TIME – EST
Florida Columbus 7:00 PM
New Jersey Philadelphia 7:00 PM
NY Rangers NY Islanders 7:00 PM
Tampa Bay Pittsburgh 7:30 PM
Detroit Ottawa ^ 7:30 PM
Vancouver * Minnesota 8:00 PM
Montreal Calgary 9:00 PM
Nashville Arizona 9:00 PM
Toronto San Jose 10:30 PM

Bold = Back to Back

3 / 4 = *     4 / 6 = ^

Centers

Mathew Barzal – NYI vs NYR – DK $5,500 – FD $5,800

You can make a case for any of the top centers tonight, but Barzal and/or Brock Nelson is worth a dart for me. The New York Rangers are abysmal on the road allowing 3.89 goals per game. The implied goals expected for this game is 6.07 and that may be a conservative number. The Islanders tend to beat the Rangers and often (swept season series last year). Barzal’s speed and puck possession should be on full display tonight. No player carries the puck into the zone more freely than him in the league.

The Rangers possess a penalty kill of around 76% on the road as well. This game has some mini-stack possibilities as well. It is a nine game slate so do not get too cute. However, Mika Zibanejad and Filip Chytil would be one way to go. As for the Islanders, look to arranging based on the power play first unit.

Evgeni Malkin – PIT vs TAM – DK $6,700 – FD $8,300

Malkin becomes too cheap to pass up on DraftKings if Sidney Crosby does not play. Regardless, the second line of Pittsburgh plays high-event hockey. One can count on them to easily generate in the 35-40 shots per 60 range and allow close to the same number. Another contingent play may be Tanner Pearson, depending on injury statuses. Pearson may drop right into the second line and his price is dirt cheap across the board (one point in 17 games). Malkin can make anyone into a scorer some nights and if Crosby is not playing, his potential goes up even more. Tampa has some injury concerns with Anton Stralman and Victor Hedman has been okay at best since coming back. There is an opportunity to attack here and Tampa may be a bit of a panacea for Pittsburgh much like Arizona was the other night.

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Eric Staal – MIN vs VAN – DK $5,800 – FD $6,800

Staal becomes a decent tournament play on Thursday night. One reason is that Vancouver comes in on their third game in four nights on a long road trip. The other is that Minnesota has been on fire of late (winning three of their last four games). They are also 5-1-1-1 at home while scoring 3.12 goals per contest. The center has been a bit unlucky of late with no goals on his last 13 shots, despite generating 14 scoring chances. The Zach Parise line is the one that has been clicking with Mikko Koivu and that could be an option on Thursday also.

Koivu is cheaper and allows for more stacking. Vancouver can get cratered metrics wise often — they only generate 43% of scoring chances in games. Their high danger chance differential is -39 which is one of the highest on this slate. Some will sleep on Staal and even the Minnesota power play. Vancouver contrarian plays may include Bo Horvat on Thursday.

Other Centers in play:

Steven Stamkos, Alexander Barkov, Mika Zibanejad, Brayden Point, Max Domi, Matt Duchene, Nolan Patrick

VALUE

Mikko Koivu, Colin White (if he plays — DTD injury), Joe Thornton

 

WINGERS

 

Nikita Kucherov – TB vs NYI – DK $6,800 – FD $7,800

If I’m not paying up for the chalky Pittsburgh or even Philadelphia plays, I’ll be looking to some TB1.  Kucherov has multi point upside every night, and the matchup tonight dictates a good spot.  Kucherov may see Malkin on the top line which again gives as good as he gets. Remember the top Tampa line still has full correlation on the power play. So, Steven Stamkos and JT Miller can come along if one feels contrarian enough. Pittsburgh yields nearly four goals a game at home and the implied goal total is again a good bit over six for this one. The fact that Kucherov’s price dipped for tonight does not hurt either. Miller is likely under $5,000 across the board which helps in mini stacks. For a nine game slate, there are enough options that it feels like an even larger schedule.

 

Claude Giroux – PHI vs NJD – DK $6,300 – FD $7,400

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Giroux becomes a nice tournament choice tonight but ownership may flock to him as lock draws closer. Why? Consider the uncertainty with injuries and illness tonight. Pittsburgh and Columbus are significant pivot points depending on which way the news goes. Yes, Artemi Panarin is still ill. So, is the New Jersey Devils team defense. Philadelphia may even be able to resurrect their near-dead power play (13.6% currently) against a penalty kill that has yielded the third most high-danger chances over the last ten games.

Furthermore, Giroux is also shooting at a good bit over three shots a night — basically back to his hot stretches of last year. It almost does not matter who starts in net for New Jersey tonight. The expectation is goals. Giroux only had an assist in the first meeting but generate four scoring chances and three high-danger ones. A PHI PP 1 stack is not out of the question. If one flips over, looking to Taylor Hall and Damon Severson could be an intriguing mini play.

Mike Hoffman – FLA vs CLB – DK $6,400 – FD $5,700

I know it may sound redundant but riding the wave may be beneficial here. Hoffman comes in on a 13 game point streak and is still priced too low on FanDuel ($400 below player average). Columbus has been more stingy of late (ten goals allowed in their last five games) but their overall average is 3.33 goals yielded at home. Florida plays a fun style most of the time and the chances of 70 shots combined in this game is moderate. The big uncertainty is will Panarin play and what condition he will be in. The flu has been wicked this month. Ryan Murray is also out for Columbus which will help in matchups for Florida. Florida line one could be a way to go.

 

Other Choices To Play:

Taylor Hall, Ryan Dzingel (goal potential), Tomas Tatar, Filip Forsberg, Evander Kane/Timo Meier, Jason Zucker.

 

Value:

Andreas Athanasiou, Travis Konecny, Brady Tkachuk, Blake Coleman.

 

DEFENSEMEN

Shayne Gostisbehere – PHI vs NJ – DK $5,900 – FD $5,700

Gostisbehere provides good shot volume with 25 shots in his last ten games.  Furthermore, he has five points in his previous eight contests.  He also is blocking a shot or two each night and logging over 20 minutes of ice time.   He is still on the top unit power play and generating chances. New Jersey has been allowing a lot of dangerous point shots to get through in their 3-8-1 stretch. Therefore, the defenseman is in play.

Mark Giordano – CGY vs MTL – DK $5,600 – FD $5,600

Giordano logs huge minutes and is a big floor provider (3.6 shots and 2 blocks per game over the last ten contests). The Calgary defenseman provides a reasonable price to attempt and stack some of Calgary line one. A two forward-one defenseman stack could be a way to go if a train (four or more player stack) is not optional. Also, Giordano has nine points in the last ten games.

Thomas Chabot – OTT vs DET – DK $6,300 – FD $4,900

Although Chabot may be exceeding his means, his FanDuel price is still a must play on Thursday. He has 22 points in 18 games on the year all while providing a nice floor. He is averaging nearly 23 minutes of ice time a night and playing in all situations. Ottawa has been under priced all year on FanDuel. However, if one does not feel comfortable with the young blueliner, Matt Dumba becomes an attractive play. Dumba’s price and power play correlation play big roles tonight.

Other Defensemen in play:

Keith Yandle, Brent Burns, Ryan Ellis (If P.K. Subban out), Neal Pionk, Jeff Petry, Mike Green

VALUE 

Damon Severson, Jared Spurgeon, Dennis Cholowski, Ryan Pulock/Nick Leddy (matchup oriented only).

 

GOALIE

Chalk: 

Devan Dubnyk – MIN vs VAN – DK $8,400 – FD $8,800

Pekka Rinne (if Raanta OUT) – NSH vs ARZ -DK $7,900 – FD $9,200

NEWS:

Andrei Vasilevskiy is out with a fractured foot. Louis Domingue starts in his place against Pittsburgh tonight. The injury will keep the Tampa goaltender out for several weeks at a minimum — it may be more than a month.

GPPs

Thomas Greiss – NYI vs NYR – DK $8,000 – FD $7,800

Greiss expects to see a good bit of rubber come his way in what projects to be another crazy Rangers-Islanders game. The Islanders in their last five meetings with the Rangers have yielded nearly 37 shots per game. Every start except for one has been a quality start and all of them have been wins. Just make sure Greiss does indeed start (he is currently projected only).

VALUE: 

Richard Bachman (high risk), Brian Elliott, Craig Anderson (high risk)

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