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Let’s get into it:
It’s a good idea to focus on ownership for these small slates. As such, I’ll be recommending low-owned plays that could win you a tournament, if they score.
With value peppered all over the slate, expect COL1 to hit 40-50% ownership tonight. I’d say your best bet to differentiate your lineups in GPPs is to fade them and cross your fingers.
Carolina Hurricanes (2.8, 110) at Arizona Coyotes (2.7, -100)
Deep dives into bottom-six forwards are often necessary for two-game slates. The Coyotes 4th line provides an sneaky play opportunity. They saw 25% 5v5 ice time last game – which is unheard of for a 4th line. Strome gets PP2 time.
No major changes.
AR1 – 25%, ARI2 – 20% ARI3 – 17% ARI4 – 25%
PP1 – 43% PP2 – 57%
D-stacking: Ekman-Larsson with ARIZ1
The aforementioned Arizona 4th line of Dylan Strome, Lawson Crouse and Nick Cousins features three players in the top-10 in Coyotes shots for, and they’ve combined for four goals this season. Crouse is third on the team in Individual high danger chances for.
As a one-off I like Michael Grabner who leads the team in individual high danger chances for.
For goalies, Anti Raanta (Grade: A, DK Value: A, FD Value: B) has the most upside tonight, against the Hurricanes and their NHL leading 42 shots per game.
No major changes
CAR1 – 24% CAR2 – 30% CAR3 – 22% CAR4 – 7%
PP1 – 64% PP2- 36%
D-stacking: Faulk with CAR1, Hamilton/Slavin with CAR2.
CAR2 has been downright ridiculous this year, from a shots for and chances for perspective. The pucks haven’t gone in of late, which has lowered their price. Warren Foegle leads the team in Individual corsi for, individual scoring chances for and individual high danger chances for. He is just $3800 on DK and $4100 on FD.
Colorado Avalanche (3.3, -135) at Vancouver Canucks (2.8)
It might not be tonight, but at some point, regression and insane ice-time is going to catch up to COL1. They’re on back-to-backs and make for an intriguing fade, given the bereft top-line options elsewhere on the slate (ie, super-chalk).
- Tyson Jost is still out.
- Matt Calvert is projected on the PP1 and could be a nice way to differentiate those COL1 lineups.
D-stacking: Barrie with COL1
COL1 – 35% COL2 — >10% COL3 – 14%
The Canucks have broken up the Boeser-Pettersson combination. Both of the top lines are now viable scoring lines. Loui Eriksson moves up to the second line to play with Pettersson and is a great value tonight as well.
D-stacking: Hutton with VAN1
If you’re looking for a one-off, Shotgun Jake, aka Jake Virtanen (Grade: B, DK Value: A, FD Value: A), has been killing it lately, with three goals and 8 shots in his last two games. He’s another great one-off tonight. As well, Ben Hutton has stepped up in the absence of Alex Edler and Chris Tanev. Starting Jakob Markstrom isn’t a bad bet to differentiate your lineups and gain an edge if COL1 underperforms.
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