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DraftKings

NHL Lineup Notes — November 8th

Nolan Kelly

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NHL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy hockey lineups on March 4 with the Awesemo Strategy Show featuring Brock Boeser

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As always, we have Jake Hari’s projections and line stacks, as well as Jeff Votteler’s Power Plays column.

Only a three-game slate tonight, but loads of changes to keep up on.

Slate strategy

Not a tonne of big news for the high implied total, top lines tonight. I’d expect that both TB1 and BOS1 will be the top owned combos tonight, with good reason. I can’t make an argument to get off either one of those lines – other than the fact that they’ll cost you a pretty penny, and come with ownership to boot.

Jaro Halak will be the chalkiest goalie. He’s reasonably priced and the Boeser-less Canucks are implied for .3 less goals than anyone else on the slate.

If you’re going with those top lines tonight, consider dipping down do some of Awesemo’s highly rated third-lines in his rankings. DFSers rarely look past the top-six, but doing so can pay large dividends in GPPs (see: Sissions, Colton, last night).

BIG NEWS

  • Brady Tkachuk returns from injury and will slot in with Tierney and Ryan on OTT2. Boedker moves down to OTT3. He is still listed as on the DL on both sites.
  • Cody Eakin takes Erik Haula’s spot on VGS2. Alex Tuch is back on the PP1, William Karlsson is off.
  • Svechnikov is off CAR1, back to his spot on the third line. Teravainen appears to be out of the doghouse, with Aho and Ferland.
  • Brandon Saad is off CHI1. Kahun takes his spot. PPs are being shuffled.
  • Joe Thornton is off SJS1. Pavelski centres Kane and Donskoi.
  • Eric Staal is back in on MIN1 with Coyle and Greenway.

Advice:

A few of these big changes actually happened before line rushes last game, so your likely not going to catch anyone off guard with unique stacks. VGS2 is viable as a cheap, contrarian option, with two players on the PP1 now.

LITTLE NEWS

  • Brock Boeser is out again for the Canucks. Lines are the same.
  • Frank Vatrano is on FLA2, Mike Hoffman on FLA1
  • Ty Rattie is back up on EDM1, in case you missed the news from last game. Cagguila on EDM3.
  • Charles Hudon is off MTL2. Andrew Shaw takes his place alongside Drouin and Domi. Kenny Agostino is on MTL3.
  • Reinhart moves up to BUF2 with Sobotka and Rodrigues, Okposo to BUF3 with Mittlestadt and Sheary. Joel Armia is out.
  • Denis Gurianov is on DAL2, Radulov is still out. Check lines before puck drop – they’ve been changing during line rushes.
  • Alex Goal-a-game-ski is a GTD.
  • Tomas Hertl is a GTD.

Advice:

Nothing too exciting here. BUF2 is in play. Definitely watch those Dallas Line rushes if you have a late swap in. Or just stack DAL PP1.

The Canucks are likely in trouble, but if you want a mini-stack that no one is going to own for large GPPs, Elias Pettersson and Jakob Markstrom. Not for the faint of heart, but I don’t mind it as a one-off if you’re entering a tonne of Boston lineups, just to cover those bases.

Highest implied totals

Tampa Bay Lightning (-215, 3.6, vs. Islanders)

Boston Bruins (-260, 3.5, vs. Canucks)

Florida Panthers (-148, 3.3, vs. Oilers)

Philadelphia Flyers (3.2 vs. Coyotes)

Lowest implied totals

Vancouver Canucks (2.1, @Bruins)

New York Islanders (2.4, @Lightning)

Ottawa Senators (2.5 vs. Vegas -162)

Buffalo Sabres (2.6, @Habs)

5v5 recent high ice-time correlation

OTT1: 32%

DAL1: 33% (likely broken up)

5v5 recent low ice-time correlation

PHI1: 18%

D-stacking (based on recent TOI together)

Mcdonagh with TB2 (12 min TOI vs. 6 min TOI with TB1)

Krug with BOS1

Chabot with OTT1

Miller with VGS1

Klingberg with Benn-Seguin (especially if they’re on a line together: 17 mins last game)

LA: Martinez and Muzzin with LA1, Doughty with LA2.

CAR: Faulk with CAR1, Hamilton/Slavin with CAR2

Advice: Some interesting combinations here. My usual tendency would be to stack McDonagh with TB1 because of their PP1 usage. A TB2 stack with makes for a nice pivot on TB1. Krug is probably your safest bet for high implied total ice-time and goal correlation.

I've been obsessed with fantasy sports since as long as I can remember. Back in 1993, while seated in the last row of Mr. MacMillan's math class, I'm fairly certain a few buddies of mine and I invented daily fantasy sports -- popping down our fivers and using nothing more than a newspaper box score, we'd make our NHL player picks for the night's action. Twenty years later I started out playing DFS on DraftStreet, when three-max tourneys with 490 people were a big deal, and I've been hooked ever since. More than anything, I'm interested in using my technical writing skills to articulate and clarify our content in order to help you become a better fantasy sports players player. Armed with Awesemo's grades and the projections from our experts, we're here to help you take the next step. You can contact me by emailing [email protected].

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