NHL Pick 3 – Saturday, February 23

NHL Pick 3 – Saturday, February 23

This article focuses on tonight’s eight-game NHL main slate, highlights a few DFS players that stand out, and a few potential wagers against the spread. Feel free to jump in our new sports betting Slack channel for additional information and updates when it comes to tonight’s action.

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Please note that the evening slate starts at 5:00 PM EST for all your sports betting needs.

The biggest game on the slate

Montreal @ Toronto, 7 PM EST – Montreal is one of the better teams in the league at 33-21-7 while Toronto is 36-20-4. Both teams are struggling a bit coming in as Montreal is 2-4 in their last six while Toronto has lost three straight. Despite this, Toronto opened up as a -180 favorite and remains around -175. Part of that stems from the overtime win in their last meeting over Montreal a couple Saturdays ago.

If the value stays at +155 or higher for Montreal, that would be a good number to bet. Since November 27th, Carey Price has been a top-5 NHL goaltender. Montreal is a team that relies on team speed and Toronto has its own speed burners as well. This could be an up and down fast-paced game with plenty of quality chances galore. The last meeting was a 4-3 final in overtime with over 70 shots combined. Four of the last ten meetings going extra time keeps the puckline in play.

Frederik Andersen versus Price presents itself as quite the matchup if it occurs. Please note that Montreal is basically healthy. Nazem Kadri is out with a concussion and that carries a bit of significance but not enough in the eyes of oddsmakers. The over/under projects to stay at 6 and based on the last ten matchups, that is a solid number. This is because both teams have combined for 5.4 goals per contest.

**The AwesemoOdds betting show is on Fridays at 11:30 EST. Go check it out for all your sports betting picks and more!**

DFS Targets

William Nylander – Toronto Maple Leafs – $3800 DK – Montreal allowed 3.2 goals per game against Toronto in their last ten matchups including four in the last meeting. Nylander has been better generating shots of late (28 in his last ten games) and his price is at a value level. His ice time inching up over 15 minutes a night includes a few games above 17 lately. That indicates some more trust from Mike Babcock and the coaching staff. That encourages a play here.

Viktor Arvidsson – Nashville – $7000 DK – Arvidsson has cooled a little with only 7 points in his last ten games and five goals. The left winger fires pucks on net at the rate of nearly four per game plus a goal rate of 0.67 per night. The price is a solid play given how sustained Arvidsson’s goal production has been (26 goals in 39 games). Arvidsson should fire 4+ shots tonight and have a few chances on the man advantage as well. The chances Nashville’s top line finds the back of the net is high. Also, Colorado comes in off playing Chicago last night and the high-paced outcomes should continue.

Games Against the Spread

Dallas (-110 – even) vs Carolina – Dallas plays well at home and Ben Bishop returns from injury tonight. Bishop sports a 13-5-2 record in Dallas with a 2.17 goals-against-average and .930 save percentage. That includes three shutouts also. The goaltender won all three starts so far played after the All-Star Break. Carolina activated Jordan Staal while Dallas has been without Stephen Jones, Tyler Pitlick, Marc Methot, and Martin Hanzal for awhile. Those are not significant injuries, however. What is significant is Dallas does not allow goals at home. The under is 5 1/2 and could be in play. Expect Bishop to face 30+ shots and have a good chance at a win on Saturday night.

San Jose (-130) vs Columbus, Over 6 1/2 –  The matchup feels like the game San Jose played against Pittsburgh a few nights ago with one difference. Columbus with Matt Duchene has two balanced lines which can score. Furthermore, they should generate power-play opportunities. Fortunately, San Jose can do the same and the Columbus goaltending is just as inconsistent as the Sharks. Both goalies can allow three goals with ease which places the over in play. Taking San Jose involves risk but could yield to reward.

An Extra Bonus

Vancouver vs New York Islanders under 5.5 -125 – This is a late entrant but only if the value stays around the current line. The Islanders will want to tighten their defense up further after allowing four goals to Edmonton. They face a Vancouver team with a dangerous top line led by Elias Pettersson. Expect New York to slow the game down a bit whenever they can. Vancouver averages just 29.4 shots per game while New York generates 28.4 shots per contest (27th and 30th respectively). The Islanders yield just 2.35 goals per game which are tops in the league while Vancouver is 24th in goals scored at 2.77 per game. A bounce-back effort from New York is likely following a three-game losing streak. Getting back to defense means the under is a likely target to bet.

Notable Score And Period Props

Take a look at Dallas at -110 to score first. Carolina allowing a quick goal early is likely. Dallas will carry some risk because they will come out more aggressively. Their top line matches up well versus Carolina. The “60-minute line” for Nashville bears a look at -125. This is much better than the moneyline which hovers around -200. The first period over/under is 1.5 but at -144 may be too risky to wager. Looking at Edmonton to score three or four goals is just as risky at +130 but could be worth a look.

 

If you have any NHL questions, find me in the sports betting channel on the Awesemo.com premium slack chat or @ChrisWasselDFS on twitter.

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