NHL Pick 3 – Saturday, March 9
This article focuses on tonight’s ten-game NHL main slate, highlights a few DFS players that stand out, and a few potential wagers against the spread. Feel free to jump in our sports betting Slack channel for additional information and updates when it comes to tonight’s action.
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Please note that the evening slate starts at 7:00 PM EST for all your sports betting needs.
The biggest game on the slate
Pittsburgh @ Columbus, 7 PM EST – Pittsburgh is one of the better teams in the league at 36-22-9 while Columbus is 37-27-3. Pittsburgh is rolling in with a 4-0-1 mark over their last five, and they sport a 9-0-1 record against Columbus in their last ten meetings. Columbus is 1-4 in their last five while averaging just 1.4 goals per game. The records don’t explain why this is so close as Columbus is a slight -135 favorite. Part of that stems from the fact that Pittsburgh is seven over .500 on the road and scores 3.47 goals a game.
If the moneyline stays around +110 to +120 for Pittsburgh, that would be a good number to bet. Honestly, Columbus may press too hard which could create more scoring chances for Pittsburgh. Matt Murray is expected to face Sergei Bobrovsky based on current projections.
Columbus is basically healthy, while, Pittsburgh, on the other hand, is missing Kris Letang and Bryan Rust, and Olli Maatta. The over/under projects to stay at 6 1/2 and is not likely to teeter back to 6.
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William Nylander – Toronto Maple Leafs – $3800 DK – Edmonton’s penalty kill struggled mightily all season and sits at 75.7% on the season. Toronto’s power play still clicks near the league’s best when it is moving the puck. Nylander has three of his last four points on the man advantage and had a two-point night in the previous matchup. The Toronto forward uses his speed well and must remember that against an Edmonton team which forgets to move its feet a lot. Value plays on this large slate carry more weight than most expect. Nylander is one of those — particularly on DraftKings.
Michael Grabner – Arizona Coyotes – $3500 DK – Spotlighting values on this slate is important tonight because there is an elevated amount of such plays. Grabner hit the net five time in his return while playing 17 minutes. Will the forward keep seeing ice time in all situations? That answer is not definite, however, Los Angeles struggling to play consistent offense and defense is encouraging. Arizona going up against a slower, plodding team will help Grabner and give him chances short-handed.
Games Against the Spread
NY Rangers (-160) vs New Jersey – New York comes in rested, while New Jersey played in Washington last night and lost 3-0. With all the injuries to New Jersey, we expected the line expected to open much more in favor of the Rangers, however, it didn’t. Henrik Lundqvist appears likely to start against Cory Schneider in this tilt. New Jersey has a league-worst eight road wins on the season and allows 3.91 goals per game on the road, which includes yielding 3.75 goals per game at Madison Square Garden over the last two-plus seasons.
Arizona (-175) vs Los Angeles – This matchup sets up well for Arizona. Arizona has won four of five versus a Kings team which has lost ten of their last 12. Los Angeles has allowed 20 goals in their last five games while Arizona has tallied 14. The over is at 5, which indicates a game for the goalies. Los Angeles averages just 2.09 goals per game on the road (1.98 over the second half) and features a 75.5% penalty kill. Their power-play allows among the most short-handed scoring chances per 60 in the entire league. Arizona presents solid value.
An Extra Bonus
Pittsburgh (+115) vs Columbus – This is a late entrant but only if the value stays around the current line. The Blue Jackets have a mental block against the Pittsburgh Penguins. The record shows it. Pittsburgh dominates the matchup and then capitalizes on Columbus mistakes. Yet, Columbus remains a -135 favorite mostly because they are at home and some feel they are due. This may be true, however, the Blue Jackets’ recent play dictates that not to be the case. Until Sergei Bobrovsky and the Blue Jackets make a stand, siding towards Pittsburgh is wiser and more profitable.
Notable Score And Period Props
Take a look at the New York Rangers at -140 to score first. New Jersey allowing a quick goal early is almost inevitable. New York will carry some risk because they will come out more aggressively. The over period prop for the Rangers and Devils at -122 is not bad. Arizona scoring 3 or 4 goals is at +125. Given how many goals Los Angeles has allowed lately (3.18 goals per game on the road), that is not a bad bet. Finally, the New York Rangers “60-minute line” prop is at -115, which is much better than the -160 moneyline currently offered.
Please note also that Tampa Bay’s and Boston’s puckline is -2.5 against the Detroit Red Wings and Ottawa Senators respectively. Also, a Bruins-Rangers-Blackhawks parlay (all three teams must win) is a whopping +385. It carries risk with Chicago obviously.
If you have any NHL questions, find me in the sports betting channel on the Awesemo.com premium Slack chat or @ChrisWasselDFS on twitter.