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Power Plays: NHL DFS Picks & Top Stacks for DraftKings + FanDuel with Nathan MacKinnon | 5/7/21

Josh Anderson



NHL DFS Picks DraftKings FanDuel lineup optimizer optimal lineup plays best projections ownership rankings fantasy hockey today tonight Nathan macKinnon Stacks Colorado Avalanche Minnesota Wild advice tips strategy cheat sheets betting picks odds lines predictions parlays moneyline

Friday’s slate brings seven games to pick from, and there are plenty of NHL DFS picks to look over. The end of the regular season is nearing, and has already arrived for some teams, so predictability may be out the window, but expectations can only be based off what is available. As always, I’ll use Awesemo’s industry-leading projections, ownership projections and Top Stacks Tool to help narrow down picks for fantasy hockey lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

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NHL Power Plays: DraftKings + FanDuel DFS Picks | May 7

NHL DFS Picks: Center

Nathan MacKinnon (COL vs. LA)

DraftKings – $9,200

FanDuel – $8,800

This is one of the few games that involves two teams still jockeying for playoff spots. The Avalanche have secured a playoff spot but still have plenty of work to do to gain the No. 1 seed and hold off the Wild. It is not often prudent to go to a narrative-based play, but when they are as dependable as MacKinnon it’s good to have extra motivation. After a somewhat slow start to the year, MacKinnon has tallied 14 multi-point games since March 12. On a per-60 basis, MacKinnon is still leading the league in assists at 2.23 while also adding in 20 goals.

The Kings have been amongst the league’s worst defensive teams all year, allowing the third- and second-most scoring chances and high-danger chances. There is nothing the Avalanche do better than possessing the puck and getting scoring chances, as they are No. 1 nearly across the board in all. MacKinnon is still a very good value, with a projection well over double his price, and he has the upside to trump anyone on the slate.

Others: Tyler Seguin, Christian Dvorak, Logan Couture

Latest NHL DFS Content

NHL DFS Picks: Winger

Conor Garland (ARI vs. SJ)

DraftKings – $5,600

FanDuel – $5,200

It is tough to find a better point-per-dollar play than Garland, even on a slate loaded with value. He carries the second-best projection at his position at a generous tag and ownership to match (under 15% on each site). In addition to those standout points, he also draws a fantastic matchup with Sharks, who rank in the bottom third in all defensive metrics at even strength.

Garland has not had the year everyone expected given his previous year’s output and progression, but his overall shot totals are up to nearly five per game. Having a career-worst year in shooting percentage at just 7.9% (well below league average), he should still find positive regression with his lofty projection.

Others: Jonathan Marchessault, Mikko Rantanen

NHL DFS Picks: Defensemen

Seth Jones (CBJ vs DET)

DraftKings – $6,500

FanDuel – $4,700

This is another tale of two sites, as Jones is severely over-priced on DraftKings considering his point production this year, but that should help keep his ownership down. That said, even with his great price on FanDuel, his projected ownership is just 11.8%. Getting a power-play quarterback facing the Red Wings deserves more attention than that. For the year, Jones is still putting up very respectable NHL DFS numbers, with over 11 fantasy points per games on FanDuel. The floor is always there with his 25 minutes per game, and with such low ownership, he’s the top leverage spot on the slate.

Others: Filip Hronek, Miro Heiskanen

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Top Goalie

Cam Talbot (MIN vs ANA)

DraftKings – $7,000

FanDuel – $7,000

With projected ownership under 1% across the industry, it is impossible to ignore Talbot at home, especially on FanDuel. On DraftKings he is priced up accordingly, but with ownership to be considered, he’s very much in play on a slate with plenty of goalies facing better offenses. Per usual, the Wild are fantastic at forcing teams to shoot from the perimeter, facing the second-fewest high-danger chances. This should lead to some easy saves for Talbot (91.8% save percentage), and more importantly on FanDuel, it should get him an easy win.

Top Overall Stack

Col1: Rantanen – MacKinnon – Landeskog

This one isn’t really close on DraftKings. The Avalanche’s top line is uber-expensive, but that price is leading to under 10% projected ownership and six times the leverage of any other stack according to the Top Stacks Tool. Getting to just 15 to 20% COL1 stacks will be plenty and make for simple differentiation. On FanDuel it is quite a different story with the softer pricing, but they are still gaining positive leverage in comparison to their top-two stack percentage in the mid-30s.

Top Value Stack

DAL2: Seguin – Benn – Kiviranta

Follow us on all of our social channels! Check out our Twitter, Facebook, Instagram and YouTube for more great Awesemo content. The daily fantasy hockey rankings for fantasy points and value are derived directly from Alex's own NHL DFS projections tonight. Initial DFS hockey ownership projections for main slates will be posted daily by 4 p.m. Find more NHL DFS and NHL DFS plays as well as the best DFS NHL lineups tonight. The best DFS NHL projections model was created and is maintained by Alex Baker and Jake Hari.

"gottagetthiswiiin" - Born and raised in Wisconsin with a degree in Marketing. DFS has been a big part of my life since 2016 and has changed my career path and quality of life so much I can't not love it. I enjoy all sports and I'm definitely not a diehard Packers fan, or any team for that matter besides maybe the Wild. Love to travel with the wife and kid - Germany if I'm picking a favorite place. Hope to help people make more thoughtful, and informed, DFS decisions.

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